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1
2005-01-22 
Snowshoe palooza...still on.
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Posted by Seafarious 2005-01-22 9:05:18 PM|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [498 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 It's a .commie plot!
Posted by .com 2005-01-21 9:36:57 PM||   2005-01-21 9:36:57 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 Rantburg is an all-weather operation. A little snow and you don't have to fly should not slow down OPS.
Posted by Alaska Paul  2005-01-21 10:36:09 PM||   2005-01-21 10:36:09 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 This is the third or fourth of these get-togethers Sea's planned. I'm starting to think God wants us sitting in front of keyboards, not meeting...
Posted by Fred  2005-01-22 12:23:50 AM||   2005-01-22 12:23:50 AM|| Front Page Top

#4 Yeah, and I'm starting to take it personal.
Posted by Seafarious  2005-01-22 12:45:37 AM||   2005-01-22 12:45:37 AM|| Front Page Top

#5 Hmmm.

Here are Metro's preparations for this weekend: Metrorail will operate on a normal Saturday schedule, with service from 7 a.m. to 3 a.m.; all trains will operate with four cars; (Note: Metrorail will maintain its normal Saturday schedule as long as conditions are favorable. Service plans could change depending on weather conditions throughout the day)

Metro can move trains in the snow without any problems until the snowfall accumulation reaches eight inches or more at which time the depth of snow starts to interfere with the electronic components under the trains. In the past, during the blizzards of 1996 and 2003, major snowfalls in excess of eight inches of snow caused extensive railcar damage...

...If the Washington metropolitan area faces a major winter storm where snowfall is expected to reach eight inches or above, Metro will operate underground rail service only at 30-minute intervals. This will help Metrorail service to return to normal as quickly as possible. Under this plan, Metrorail service would operate as follows:

Red Line: between Medical Center and Union Station

Orange Line: between Ballston-MU and Stadium Armory

Green Line: between Georgia Ave-Petworth and Congress Heights

Yellow Line: between Pentagon and Crystal City Blue Line: between Rosslyn and Stadium Armory which parallels a portion of the Orange Line

Posted by Pete Stanley 2005-01-22 2:24:28 AM||   2005-01-22 2:24:28 AM|| Front Page Top

#6 UPDATE...INCREASINGLY CONCERN ABT PRECIP TYPE FCST WHERE FZRA HAS
BEEN REPORTED AT ELKINS AND PKB WV. ONLY MODEL DOING THE BEST JOB IS
06Z 12KM ETA WHERE SHOWS FZRA THAT FAR NORTH. WILL MONITOR PRECIP
TRENDS VERY CLOSELY THIS MORNING AND AWAIT 12Z SOUNDING BEFORE
MAKING DRASTIC PRECIP TYPE CHANGES TO FCST. ETA SUGGEST AS DEEP
RH/OMEGA EXITS THE AREA AFTER 21Z AND AROUND 00Z ACROSS ERN COUNTIES
LACK OF ICE CRYSTALS AND WEAK FORCING SUGGEST A PERIOD OF FZDZ THIS
EVENING UNTIL SFC WINDS SHIFT TO THE NW. GIVEN RELATIVE SHORT
DURATION OF EVENT SN TOTALS LIKELY TO BE NEAR THE LOWER END OF THE
FCST.


BTW: Ensemble was built at FSU.
PREVIOUS AFD...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-TONIGHT)

.TODAY...DESPITE BEING SO CLOSE TO EVENT FCST REMAINS QUITE
CHALLENGING ESPECIALLY REGARDING PRECIP TYPE. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
TRENDED STRONGER WITH FEATURES SFC/ALOFT. MID-LVL TROUGH DEEPENS AS
IS IT SWINGS SEWD CLOSING OFF A H5 CENTER OFF THE NJ COAST BY 12Z
SUN. AT THE SFC...BASED ON 22/00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS LOW PRES OVR
WRN IL EARLY THIS MORNING FCST TO TRACK EWD ALG THE OH RIVER THEN
ACROSS THE SRN HALF OUR FCST AREA REFORMING OVR THE SRN BAY AND
DEEPENING QUICKLY SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ON SUN. 00Z ENSEMBLE DATA
STILL REVEALS CONSIDERABLY AMT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH SFC LOW TRACK
INDICATING POSSIBLE TRACKS AS FAR NORTH AS DC AND AS FAR SOUTH AS
NRN NORTH CAROLINA. EVENTUAL TRACK OF SFC LOW WOULD DICTATE HOW FAR
NORTH DOES SLEET/FZRA GETS. HAVE TO SAY THAT HOW FAST DOES WARMER
AIR ARRIVES ALOFT AND HOW FAR NORTH IT GETS STILL REMAINS VERY
UNCERTAIN. BASED ON HPC WWE GRAPHICS HAVE BROUGHT IT A CHANCE OF
SLEET AS FAR NORTH AS DC ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL FALL AS
SNOW. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE SOUTH FOR A QUICK CHANGEOVER TO
FZRA/PL. THEREFORE...CUT DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY IN SNOW ATMS FROM
PREVIOUS FCST. ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE A SIG SNOW EVENT FOR THE REST
OF THE AREA CONFIDENCE IN AMTS CLOSE TO 10 INS OR HIGHER REMAINS
VERY LOW GIVEN TRACK OF H85 LOW IS ACROSS SRN PA AND PRECIP DURATION
LOOKS LIKE MAINLY TO BE 6-12 HRS AS PRECIP IS FCST TO EXIT THE AREA
QUICKLY AFTER 00Z SUN. THINK OUR SNOW TOTALS WILL BE CLOSER TO OUR
LOWER END OF THE FCST. THE ONLY THING THAT LOOKS CERTAIN IS THAT
COLD AIR WILL HOLD AT THE SFC WITH STRONG WEDGE IN PLACE AND VERY
COLD SFC TEMPS.
Posted by Shipman 2005-01-22 9:19:43 AM||   2005-01-22 9:19:43 AM|| Front Page Top

#7 Meaning Ima think God is smiling on you for about 6 hours....
Posted by Shipman 2005-01-22 9:21:14 AM||   2005-01-22 9:21:14 AM|| Front Page Top

#8 I would LOVE to be able to go but weather conditions for driving from East Tennessee are not promising. Maybe next time.
Posted by Deacon Blues  2005-01-22 11:37:28 AM||   2005-01-22 11:37:28 AM|| Front Page Top

#9 As a faithful reader,I would love to have joined you. Had to cut loose tho before the precip. You otta consider SoCal next year.
Posted by Angitle Fleth2925 2005-01-22 11:44:25 AM||   2005-01-22 11:44:25 AM|| Front Page Top

#10 Paypalled a round - wish I could attend
Posted by Frank G  2005-01-22 11:53:11 AM||   2005-01-22 11:53:11 AM|| Front Page Top

#11 hit the paypal - take a cab! Enjoy!
Posted by 2b 2005-01-22 12:54:26 PM||   2005-01-22 12:54:26 PM|| Front Page Top

#12 Wish I could ship y'all some of my current weather - sunny and mid-60's in Tucson. But I wish I could be there anyway.
Posted by PBMcL 2005-01-22 12:54:28 PM||   2005-01-22 12:54:28 PM|| Front Page Top

#13 Worked all night; got to bed at 7 this morning. I have to go back this afternoon, but Dottie said to call her after 2 for the time, so I'll be joining in the toast from home. :-D

Sea, I'll call you shortly for a number.

I didn't get the chance to check back yesterday - does anyone know if Aris answered my question? Is he willing to join us? Just curious.
Posted by Barbara Skolaut  2005-01-22 1:03:11 PM||   2005-01-22 1:03:11 PM|| Front Page Top

#14 No, I don't believe he ever answered it. Somehow I get the impression he's not what we would call a "people person".

Here's wishing for a good turnout despite the shitty weather, and I'll be joining in at 2pm with a toast here in my nice, snug, warm abode. Cheers, all!
Posted by Dave D. 2005-01-22 1:13:13 PM||   2005-01-22 1:13:13 PM|| Front Page Top

#15 Cheers, all!
Posted by Rex Mundi 2005-01-22 2:09:49 PM||   2005-01-22 2:09:49 PM|| Front Page Top

#16 Thanks for the call, Jackass, so I could join in the fun. Hope I looked good in the picture with the President Bush life-size cut-out. ;-p

For those of you not there or on the phone, we toasted Rantburg, the President, America ("God Bless America"), and Ronald Reagan (he rolled the darkness back).

Feel free to lift your glasses to any or all of these toasts. As a matter of fact, I think I'll do just that - again.

Back to work. ;-p
Posted by Barbara Skolaut  2005-01-22 2:16:52 PM||   2005-01-22 2:16:52 PM|| Front Page Top

#17 Its a little late, but am thinking of you all. Thanks for the report, Barbara -- I raise a glass to all those toasts, to our boys and girls overseas and at home who keep us safe, and especially to all of you, who are helping keep me as sane as can be expected. Bless them and you all!
Posted by trailing wife 2005-01-22 6:51:38 PM||   2005-01-22 6:51:38 PM|| Front Page Top

#18 Had a great time.
Posted by JackAssFestival 2005-01-22 7:02:15 PM||   2005-01-22 7:02:15 PM|| Front Page Top

#19 Me too.
Posted by JAB  2005-01-22 11:50:21 PM||   2005-01-22 11:50:21 PM|| Front Page Top

20:24 Atomic Conspiracy
20:24 Atomic Conspiracy
00:19 ed
23:59 anonymous2u
23:58 Cromorong Choque7321
23:54 Mike Sylwester
23:50 JAB
23:30 ed
23:30 liberalhawk
23:30 Alaska Paul
23:27 Xbalanke
23:27 AJackson
23:25 Alaska Paul
23:24 AJackson
23:23 AJackson
23:19 OldSpook
23:19 Alaska Paul
23:14 Alaska Paul
23:05 Alaska Paul
22:48 Mike Sylwester
22:47 Mike Sylwester
22:32 Snoluck Thrusing8432
22:22 lex
22:16 Captain America
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