[Daily Mail, where America gets its news] A new analysis shows the 'worst case scenario' for Antarctica's melting glaciers is much less severe than the United Nation's current estimates.
The UN's prediction that the melting of Antarctica's so-called 'Doomsday' glaciers could alone raise global sea levels two feet before the year 2100 has shaped global climate policy since at least 2016, when the estimate was first introduced.
The model — which the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) does admit is 'low likelihood' — projects this melt could raise sea levels up 50-ft by 2300.
But three new, more sophisticated climate models, produced with the backing of the National Science Foundation, now call this UN glacier model 'extreme' and 'unlikely.'
More realistic new scenarios, revealed by these new 'ice melt' simulations, predict the glaciers are not likely to break apart in the feared, cascading chain-reaction.
'We're not reporting that the Antarctic is safe and that sea-level rise isn't going to continue,' study co-author and earth sciences professor Mathieu Morlighem, who researches the physics of glacier ice at Dartmouth University, said.
'All of our projections show a rapid retreat of the ice sheet,' he emphasized.
What Morlighem and his co-authors did do was focus their modeling on the polar continent's 'Doomsday Glacier,' the Thwaites Glacier: a 75-mile-wide, heavily monitored plateau of ice whose collapse could swell oceans catastrophically.
What they hoped to test is whether or not the disappearance of massive portions of this glacier's floating outermost edge, its ice shelf, could trigger a the sliding of Antarctica's land-locked ice into the ocean — where it would raise sea levels rapidly.
'High-end projections,' like IPCC's worst case scenario, Morlighem said, 'are important for coastal planning and we want them to be accurate in terms of physics.'
A dramatically high and unlikely scenario, in other words, could lead a city council in Miami to waste taxpayer money on sea walls that are much higher than needed.
'These projections are actually changing people's lives,' Morlighem noted.
His team developed three ice melt models capable of simulating the Thwaites Glacier's retreat at a higher resolution than the IPCC's latest low resolution model.
The new study, published Wednesday in the journal Science Advances, employed a computer model created by Dartmouth in collaboration with NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory and the University of California at Irvine.
The model, known as Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM), was capable of handling 75,000 individual elements within its simulation at a resolution of about one mile (1.5 kilometers).
Their two other simulations, were similarly complex.
One, named Úa started with initial conditions consisting of 90,000 elements, and a resolution of 0.62 miles (1 km) near the key points in need of modelling, including where the large pieces of the glacier shelf could 'calve' or break off into the sea.
The last model, called STREAMICE, also had a resolution of 0.62 miles (1 km).
All of these models predicted an instantaneous increase in flow speed of up to 3 km/year right after the initial ice shelf collapse, or a doubling of today’s ice flow speed.
The new study also simulated the rate at which the Doomsday Glacier thinned and the speed at which is would 'calve' portions of the glacier and slide those new icebergs into the sea.
But, ultimately, it found that a lost ice shelf would not lead the remaining glacier to retreat inland, nor trigger a runaway breakdown.
'Ice front retreat requires that the calving rate due to cliff failure exceeds this ice speed,' the team wrote, 'which is rarely the case in our simulations.'
But while these findings undermined the projections of the UN IPCC's models, it did not paint a completely rosy picture of planet Earth's southern-most continent.
Glaciologist Dr Dan Goldberg at the University of Edinburgh, a co-author on the new paper who was once a visiting professor at Dartmouth, noted that the Doomsday Glacier is likely to keep retreating inland in unpredictable ways past this century.
#6
Trust the science...just not the scientists, especially if they work for the government.
Posted by: Abu Uluque ||
08/22/2024 12:38 Comments ||
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#7
'These projections are actually changing people's lives,' Morlighem noted. No, these projections are being used as an excuse to force people to change their lives.
The point is not the change, it's the force.
Posted by: ed in texas ||
08/22/2024 15:07 Comments ||
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[GEOTV] Referring to demolition of Bangladesh founder Sheikh Mujibur Rahman's statues during the recent protests led by students, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that the one who spearheaded an anti-Pakistain movement met his fate.
Infuriated people vandalised several statues, pictures and murals of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman following an end to the loathesome Sheikh Hasina ...Bangla dynastic politician and now exiled former Prime Minister of Bangladesh. She was President of the Bangla Awami League since the Lower Paleolithic. She is the eldest of five children of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, the founding father of Bangla. Her party defeated the BNP-led Four-Party Alliance in the 2008 parliamentary elections. She once before held the office, from 1996 to 2001, when she was defeated in a landslide. She and the head of the BNP, Khaleda Zia showed such blind animosity toward each other that they are known as the Battling Begums. That is probably because Khaleda's late husband was the Pak tool who had Mujib assassinated... -led government who fled to India on board a military helicopter along with her sister.
The Hasina government collapsed on the back of riots — one of the worst in the country's history of 50-odd years. Almost 300 people were killed and thousands of others injured in the recent violence that started in early July.
The protesters launched their rallies last month, demanding the government abolish civil service job quotas. However,
a hangover is the wrath of grapes... the large-scale demonstrations escalated into the worst unrest of Hasina's 15-year rule, with protesters later calling on the 76-year-old to step down.
"What goes around comes around", the premier said while referring to the demolition of statues of Bangladesh former president, who according to him divided Pakistain.
Speaking about other issues at the National Youth Convention in Islamabad, PM Shehbaz said that Pakistain had sacrificed thousands of lives in its fight against terrorism besides suffering an economic loss of $150 billion. "Not just Pakistain, the whole world has benefited from the elimination of terrorism by Pakistain," he added.
The Convention was attended by federal ministers, Chief of the Army Staff (COAS) General Syed Asim Munir, Chairman of the Higher Education Commission, teachers, vice-chancellors and students from across the country.
Posted by: Fred ||
08/22/2024 00:00 ||
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Link ||
[11130 views]
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#1
So that's the end game here. They want to reunite with Pakistan.
Posted by: Abu Uluque ||
08/22/2024 12:41 Comments ||
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[DHAKATRIBUNE] With the fall of the previous government, Bangladesh currently finds itself in a particularly precarious position, especially when it comes to rule of law. With cop shoppes around the nation finally coming back into operation, it is now more important than ever for the public to cooperate with law enforcement.
Which is why yesterday's reported storming of the Secretariat by hundreds of students is such a disappointing development.
According to reports, hundreds of students stormed the Secretariat yesterday afternoon demanding the cancellation of the remaining Higher Secondary Certificate (HSC) and equivalent exams, bypassing police barricades. The circumstances had reportedly deteriorated to the point where law enforcement stationed at the Secretariat gates had to take refuge in a safe area.
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: Fred ||
08/22/2024 00:00 ||
Comments ||
Link ||
[11128 views]
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#1
The melting ice caps will take care of Banglos.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
[RedStar] New documents from the NKVD archives and German funds are presented on the Presidential Library portal.
[Bee] CHICAGO — A 34-year-old male identified as Damien Trevor, an out-of-state attendee at the Democratic National Convention, had his hopes dashed Wednesday when he thought he was waiting in line for a delicious burrito from a food truck but accidentally got a vasectomy instead.
"I thought it was weird when they asked me to get on the truck and take off my pants, but I thought, 'eh, this must be a great burrito,'" he recounted.
According to sources, it was not worth it.
"I just wanted a burrito!! No!!!" Damien Trevor reportedly cried after being snipped. "Why does this keep happening to me? This is worse than that time I accidentally got an abortion! Who puts a mobile vasectomy center next to a food truck anyway?"
Witnesses were reportedly empathetic to the plight of Damien Trevor but questioned his intelligence since there was no food signage on the truck. "There was even a sign that said, 'Free Vasectomies Here!' in large letters," said local bystander Joseph Wails as he was getting snipped for free.
"I just thought a vasectomy was some sort of hot sauce," Trevor admitted. "I mean, sure, I thought it was weird when they had me sign a waiver, but I just thought it was gonna be really really hot."
At publishing time, Damien Trevor was at least thankful he wouldn't be contributing to global warming by having any children.
Posted by: Frank G ||
08/22/2024 06:42 ||
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[11132 views]
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#1
OK, he got un-hot-dogged.
(Honestly, would you trust a food vendor at a Dem event?)
Posted by: ed in texas ||
08/22/2024 8:43 Comments ||
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[JPost] Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made clear that Israel intends to maintain a presence on the strategic Philadelphi Corridor between Gaza and Egypt.
He is right to stand firm on this issue.
Netanyahu’s detractors, always attributing to him the very worst motivations — in this case, that he does not care whether the hostages live or die — claim he is using this issue to torpedo an agreement that he doesn’t want with Hamas because it could collapse his government. Me, I don't give a f*ck about motivations - all I care about is results.
Evacuating the corridor or relying on the Egyptians or technological solutions to prevent its use as a superhighway for smuggling weapons into Gaza would be a colossal mistake, a mistake the country has already committed once. Netanyahu is correct to define this as a red line.
Much has been written about the need for Israel to learn the lessons of October 7; these lessons are myriad, and we believe a State Commission of Inquiry needs to be established to investigate what led to such a catastrophic failure so those lessons can be learned.
However, the lessons of October 7 are not the only ones Israel needs to learn. It also needs to learn the lessons of September 1, 2005, and the decision at the time — concretized in an agreement with Egypt — to evacuate the Philadelphi Corridor and authorize Egypt to deploy border guards to patrol the corridor on the Egyptian side.
Some members of the security establishment argued that, despite Israel’s full withdrawal from Gaza in August 2005, it should hold on to the corridor to prevent the smuggling of arms and terrorists into Gaza, but then-prime minister Ariel Sharon overruled them.
Sharon argued that maintaining a military presence there was becoming more of a security liability than an asset, as soldiers patrolling the corridor were easy targets for Palestinian terrorists. He also said that keeping soldiers there would be a constant source of friction that could destabilize the region.
Sharon further claimed that only by removing the Israeli presence from the corridor could Israel say — and have the international community recognize — that it had fully withdrawn from Gaza.
That decision has proven disastrous.
The Philadelphi Corridor, as well as the border crossing at Rafah, is the route through which Hamas turned Gaza into an armed stronghold with an arsenal of weapons that would make a small NATO country blush.
Reliance on Egypt to prevent smuggling, either through tunnels or at the Rafah Crossing by bribing poorly paid and unmotivated Egyptian soldiers, was a tragic mistake.
Not only that, but it did not prevent the international community from saying that Israel continues to "occupy" Gaza and that it was the "world’s largest open-air prison."
Those who argued adamantly against this move were cavalierly dismissed as doomsayers and told that if Israel saw that the corridor was being used to smuggle in arms and material, the IDF could easily retake it.
That turned out to be hubris. Israel saw that the corridor had become a highway for arming Gaza, but it did not take action to retake it. Why not? Because doing so is not simple, neither militarily nor in terms of international legitimacy. Now that Israel has retaken the area, it will vacate it again at its own peril.
Not only that, but it did not prevent the international community from saying that Israel continues to "occupy" Gaza and that it was the "world’s largest open-air prison." It's time to realize that Globalist philosophy, currently dominating "the West", is filth.
Those who argued adamantly against this move were cavalierly dismissed as doomsayers and told that if Israel saw that the corridor was being used to smuggle in arms and material, the IDF could easily retake it.
That turned out to be hubris. Israel saw that the corridor had become a highway for arming Gaza, but it did not take action to retake it. Why not? Because doing so is not simple, neither militarily nor in terms of international legitimacy. Now that Israel has retaken the area, it will vacate it again at its own peril.
If the IDF evacuates the area, whatever remains of Hamas after the war will use it — again — to rebuild its capabilities. The Philadelphi Corridor is Hamas’s lifeline. If Israel wants to prevent Hamas from reestablishing itself after the war, it needs to cut off this lifeline, and the only way to do that is for the IDF to be present.
This brings us to another important lesson, although this one is from October 7: Technological solutions to real security problems are not always the answer. One idea floated in recent days to get Israel to withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor was to rely heavily on state-of-the-art sensors to monitor the area.
Israel relied on state-of-the-art sensors and other technological wizardry on October 7 to defend its borders and prevent terrorist infiltration, but how did that work out?
Israel needs its own boots on the ground to protect itself, and what is true along the border with Gaza and Lebanon is true along the border between Gaza and Egypt. Without an IDF presence along the Philadelphi Corridor, Gaza could once again turn into a killing fortress. IMO, for more than a century Israel (and Israel on the way) fought Arabs with one brain lobe tied behind its back "We must have Peace. Therefore, we'll fight to defend ourselves but try not to endanger the future Peace". Long past time to switch to "it's us or them".
Posted by: Grom the Reflective ||
08/22/2024 02:45 ||
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[11125 views]
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#7
Who doesn't have the bullshit detector to see that the deep state is trying to frame Iran for Trump's upcoming successful assassination and get WW3 started that way?
Or not?
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
With the fall of the previous government, Bangladesh currently finds itself in a particularly precarious position, especially when it comes to rule of law. With cop shoppes around the nation finally coming back into operation, it is now more important than ever for the public to cooperate with law enforcement.
[Bee] CHICAGO — A 34-year-old male identified as Damien Trevor, an out-of-state attendee at the Democratic National Convention, had his hopes dashed Wednesday when he thought he was waiting in line for a delicious burrito from a food truck but accidentally got a vasectomy instead.
