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Nasrallah says Hezbollah has 100,000 trained Lebanese fighters
Today's Headlines
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Page 4: Opinion
9 15:55 49 Pan [241] 
2 18:59 Bertie Crains2651 [205] 
1 05:16 Skidmark [82] 
4 06:15 Merrick Ferret [115] 
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Page 1: WoT Operations
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5 09:21 Thiling the Unfortunately Complexioned4371 [155]
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Page 2: WoT Background
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Page 3: Non-WoT
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16 17:18 Jean DuSable [317]
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Page 6: Politix
5 15:50 Crusader [163]
7 17:21 Jean DuSable [197]
3 12:55 Tom [94]
6 13:25 Abu Uluque [159]
2 11:09 Glenmore [119]
1 02:00 Besoeker [117]
5 17:47 Ebbomoger Speaking for Boskone4589 [180]
6 22:22 Chealing Chomotle4158 [225]
1 01:05 Merrick Ferret [95]
11 14:40 swksvolFF [330]
-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
COVID-19+ Lessons Learned and Still Learning
Analysis by Rantburg’s own NN2N1.
As of Yesterday 10-18-2021
3.35% of the world was claimed to have had COVID-19+.
0.068% of 1% of the world is claimed to have died from Covid-19+.

that Government still does not fully grasp.

1. Know your problem before running off half cocked.

2. Only let the non-politically aligned experts define the problem and make recommendations.

3. After meetings with the experts and congressional leadership, only the President should be making National Level statements and explaining decisions.

4. Indicate whom provided the facts and what and why decisions were based on. Because it tends to keep the experts honest to avoid professional and public embarrassment.

5. Only State Governors, not Mayors, should make State/Local level decisions and then only based on state area data and related issues.

6. Do not use and avoid experts that:
a) previously have a bad track record for accuracy,
b) have only flown a desk and have not been actively hands on with the situation,
c) tend to pander to Politicians and elitists with non-national agendas,
d) rely on anonymously written computer models,
e) love Media Notoriety and run to the cameras every chance they get.

7. Do not use or trust how figures are arrived at by 3rd parties:
a) Establish how official figures will be collected from the start.
b) Establish who is responsible for the figures.
c) Establish a standardized and use a consistent publicly understandable way of presenting figures.
d) If presentation issues change, or issues arise then so state, explain and move on.
e) If any figures were deliberately falsified, then any person(s) involved should be criminally charged.

8. Regarding data figures.
a) Always show weekly Infected, cured and death rate together. Always Put things in proper prospective.
b) Remember Guesstimates only cause Panic.... Never use them.
c) Show which demographic groups are being more seriously affected and factually explain why?
d) Show what environments are causing the most seriously issues.
e) Never allow media, politicians or others to sell panic over Facts for revenue & attention.
f) Any Federal, State or media person spewing hype and panic over facts should be exposed and removed from public media access.

9. Media Updates
a) The Pandemic or its updates should NEVER be allowed to become a Political Circus.
b) Call out all public figures and violators that publish misleading facts.
c) Refuse to answer future questions from such violators and openly explain why.
d) All questions should be related to Current Known Data, no predictive data.
e) Explain how it is being addressed and what the next steps are in the plan..
f) Avoid politics and politically based agendas of those focused on Blame and not solutions.
g) If a reporter presents inaccurate misleading open ended data in a question, point it out BEFORE answering, or rephrase the question to properly answer it.
h) If a media person goes on a blame game agenda, call them out for it.
i) Do NOT feed those 2nd guessing actions for personal or political reasons with answers.
j) Do not tolerate a person or media outlet that is trying use a press briefing to become a celebrity or cause a news worthy political agenda spectacle. Warn them and openly remind them they are there to collect news, not become part of the news. If they continue, terminate the press briefing and post the facts to the official website along with an explanation why.
k) Develop and post a written set of Rules of Decorum expected of all media and persons present. Clearly state if not followed then what action will be taken and have all media sign the agreement.

10. When all is said and done. Hold a Closeout historical briefing of official findings, handling stumbles, issues encountered and mistakes made in handling the emergency. Post this on a publicly accessible website.

NOTE: Your additional suggestions and Lesson Learned are welcomed.
Posted by: NN2N1 || 10/19/2021 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [248 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Well written. Well said. Well done NN2N1. Most excellent.
Posted by: Dale || 10/19/2021 4:06 Comments || Top||

Please Note:

These are pretty much all collected comments posted by Y'all here on Rantburg, over the last 18+ months.

So Y'all pat yourselves on your backs?

Posted by: NN2N1 || 10/19/2021 8:47 Comments || Top||

#3  Remember, above all: We all gotta die eventually. Circle of life, or some such shit.
Posted by: Frank G || 10/19/2021 9:00 Comments || Top||

#4  - Do not try to dictate medical care options nationally. Let doctors treat their patients.

- Peer review has issues under normal circumstances. In a crisis it's too slow. Let information flow freely and the marketplace of ideas sort it out.

- Do not censor information.

- Expect facts to change quickly, especially at the start. Be prepared to change policy too. Using the same policies 18+ months later is basically an admission that those things had nothing to do with fighting the disease.
Posted by: Angstrom || 10/19/2021 10:13 Comments || Top||


Nominated for the 2021 RFSA
for An Original Work
Contributed by Reader


Rantburg Five Star Award

Posted by: Victor Emmanuel Glavins7140 || 10/19/2021 10:20 Comments || Top||

#6  3.35% of the world was claimed to have had COVID-19+.0.068% of 1% of the world is claimed to have died from Covid-19+

13.7% of the US is claimed to have had Covid-19. 0.22% of the US is claimed to have died of it. Lots more Americans seem to catch it but it is slightly less deadly to us when we do.
Posted by: Glenmore || 10/19/2021 10:59 Comments || Top||

#7  Ideally, yes, great synopsis, and bonus points for difficulty level.

5. Only State Governors, not Mayors, should make State/Local level decisions and then only based on state area data and related issues.

Kansas governor was doing the Michigan model t+1 week.

Kansas is not Michigan. Kansas is not Topeka. You don't get Topeka without the food producers, that is packing plants, that is by large proportion Latino community who gave the biggest up yours finger to The Covid Protocols. In fact, it was the first time I had seen the Latino community demonized on local wine mom morning TV.

Other groups caught hell on lwmmTV, mostly them damned cross worshipers, but if you recall there was talk about sending the military in to take over processing plants which I readily laughed at, like Private Upham knows how to dress an animal because camouflage.

My point, other than the know nothing decision makers know nothing, is if the locals had done the Capital Ideas, you all would be 12 months into meatless.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 10/19/2021 11:01 Comments || Top||

#8  this reminds me of the many times my mother asked me "Are you sure you know what you are doing"

I generally answered "No" because we frequently deal with problems that are not completely or even only partially known.

You do not have the luxury of 'know your problem' in the Covid response or in many other things.

Posted by: Lord Garth || 10/19/2021 11:38 Comments || Top||

#9  Once the vaccines were developed, politicians and bureaucrats should have stepped away from the pandemic and left it up to the actuaries. If the actuaries are right, their companies will profit. If they are wrong the insurance companies will bleed money. Can't have that. Then, if you want to get vaccinated, get vaccinated. If you don't then don't. Just don't come crying to me when your health insurance company jacks up your premiums or if your employer decides he can't afford to keep you on the group policy. That might work differently for different people depending on other risk factors...depending on the actuarial tables. That is my understanding of how America is supposed to work. I believe the market is smarter than #FJB and Fauxi combined. I believe #FJB and Fauxi understand that too. But covid is a valuable tool for them to use to gain and maintain power and so they will not let go of it. That's why we have all this controversy and divisiveness. That's how you know #FJB and Fauxi are evil.
Posted by: Abu Uluque || 10/19/2021 13:57 Comments || Top||

#10  3.35% of the world was claimed to have had COVID-19+.
0.068% of 1% of the world is claimed to have died from Covid-19+.

I don't have the time, patience or the expertise to bother myself with all those numbers. I don't trust them anyway. That's why I say leave it to the actuaries. It's their job and they have a vested interest in getting it right.

9. Media Updates

See above.
Posted by: Abu Uluque || 10/19/2021 14:07 Comments || Top||

#11  Oh, I almost forgot, the only lesson I'm likely to learn from all of this is #FJB and Fauxi are evil.
Posted by: Abu Uluque || 10/19/2021 14:10 Comments || Top||

#12  Like the military, senior federal bureaucrats should be capped at 30 years of 'service'.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 10/19/2021 14:20 Comments || Top||

#13  /\ A mandatory removal date (MRD) for the feather merchants. What a novel idea.
Posted by: Besoeker || 10/19/2021 17:21 Comments || Top||

#14  Before announcing anything, the question must be answered: WHAT IF I AM WRONG?

And the overriding principle MUST be: ALL medical care must be decided in confidentiality by the individual and their treating physician.
Posted by: Chealing Chomotle4158 || 10/19/2021 22:19 Comments || Top||

Gen. Keith Kellogg: Our military and the alarming disappearance of accountability
[FOX] Accountability remains one of the most important tenets in leadership and, until recently, was a crucial component to success in the military. Accountability develops trust, demonstrates stewardship, and influences decision-making. By virtue of its necessity, it is interwoven into nearly every aspect of life in uniform. Troop formations, combat success, physical fitness tests, individual performance reports, financial liability investigations for property loss -- all are mechanisms and tools of accountability.

Dangerously, accountability in decision making at the highest levels of the military appears to have all but disappeared. Over the past decade, stars on shoulders became Afghan participation trophies and we all but celebrated mediocrity in our leaders.

As Kabul fell so did our trust and faith in our military senior leaders. The chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan and the ’just-for-show’ hearings in Congress that followed indicate the weakness and inability of our uniformed and elected leaders to accept the most fundamental aspect of their job...accountability.
Posted by: Besoeker || 10/19/2021 08:37 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [205 views] Top|| File under:

#1  It predates Kabul by a long run. How many failed programs have they recycled through senior officers all the time giving each departee one of them 'happy - glad' tour medals? That's been going on for decades.

How many officers violated regulations and the result was amending the regulations with another paragraph or paragraphs of instruction rather than hold the miscreant responsible and as an example to others? That has been going on for decades.
Posted by: Procopius2k || 10/19/2021 13:58 Comments || Top||

#2  American military should display on their chests only medals given for valor. The rest is just salad dressing and ego tripping.
Posted by: Bertie Crains2651 || 10/19/2021 18:59 Comments || Top||

Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Russian historical document node
[ISMATinfo] This is a tremendous resource for historians and historical buffs, such as myself, of Russian/Soviet history.

One example is a list of ships to be built for the Imperial Russian Navy starting in 1905. That document can be seen here.

Link in the title is a text version of the 1856 Treaty of Paris.
Posted by: badanov || 10/19/2021 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [115 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Badanov you have a list of Italian ships sold to Soviet Union before WW2 including NKVD?
Posted by: Kofi Panda2845 || 10/19/2021 1:27 Comments || Top||

#2  I am interested in all relations between Fascist Italy and Soviet Union. I know there was some aeronautic cooperation about 1930 and then it seems to have been only naval one in this case one sided with Italians supplying technology and some ships.
Posted by: Kofi Panda2845 || 10/19/2021 1:30 Comments || Top||

#3  That sounds like a pretty esoteric subject, so no, I know of no such list.
Posted by: badanov || 10/19/2021 6:08 Comments || Top||

#4  Historian Ian Johnson (Faustian Bargain) of U. Notre Dame might know (or at least point you to a good source who would)
Posted by: Merrick Ferret || 10/19/2021 6:15 Comments || Top||

Shortages now being blamed on Americans
[Business Insider] Americans are buying everything they can get their hands on, and they'd be buying even more if it weren't for those pesky supply-chain snarls, the National Retail Federation said.

"Spending might have been higher if not for shortages of items consumers are eager to purchase," Jack Kleinhenz, the NRF's chief economist, said in a statement issued on Friday.

Those shortages seem so ubiquitous that the term "everything shortage" is now being used liberally to describe consumers' frustration as they try to get goods of all sorts: paper towels, milk, toys, and more.

Yet claims that the country is running short on everything miss a key point. America has, in fact, imported an immense amount of stuff in the past eight months. And that's part of the reason we're in the midst of an epic supply-chain congestion.
Posted by: Besoeker || 10/19/2021 10:49 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [241 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Rationing for gas and oil products only. Electric vehicles will remain exempt.
Posted by: Besoeker || 10/19/2021 10:59 Comments || Top||

#2  Many businesses consider customers a "necessary evil" at best. I blame MBAs.
Posted by: M. Murcek || 10/19/2021 11:00 Comments || Top||

#3  Some think ahead (0:30).
Posted by: Procopius2k || 10/19/2021 11:07 Comments || Top||

#4  Oh. My fault. Guess the solution is More Government.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 10/19/2021 11:18 Comments || Top||

#5  When the value of money is being rapidly degraded by inflation it makes good sense to buy all the 'stuff' you can get.
Posted by: Glenmore || 10/19/2021 11:41 Comments || Top||

#6  ^^^ Yes, that was a big part of the problem by the late 1970s. It was labeled "inflationary expectations," but it was exactly buying thinis before the prices went up yet again.
Posted by: Tom || 10/19/2021 12:50 Comments || Top||

#7  Should have started six months ago, but not too late. Four weeks maybe? When the 2022 price listings start to unveil.
Posted by: swksvolFF || 10/19/2021 13:00 Comments || Top||

#8  Just finished my Christmas shopping since it will be all FUBAR'ed in Nov-Dec.
Posted by: DarthVader || 10/19/2021 15:00 Comments || Top||

#9  Supply meet demand. But to blame it on the consumer?? A good socialist would not have the money to buy such items and we would not be in this problem. So I guess its all America's fault...
Posted by: 49 Pan || 10/19/2021 15:55 Comments || Top||

Who will form Iraq’s next government?
[Rudaw] Preliminary results in Iraq’s October 10 election, parallel to all expectations, saw Shiite holy man Moqtada Tater al-Sadr
...hereditary Iraqi holy man and leader of a political movement in Iraq. He had his hereditary rival, al-Khoei, assassinated only a few hours after the holy rival's appearance out of exile in 2003. Formerly an Iranian catspaw, lately he's gagged over some of their more outlandish antics, then went back to catspawry...
’s party win by a large margin with 72 seats. However they will still need to make deals with other parties in order to appoint a prime minister and form the government.

The Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) on Saturday announced updated preliminary results after completing manual counting. The results give a clear image of who won and who lost, but who will form the next government remains unclear as several parties will need to come to an agreement and election winners could be left out of the government.
Continued on Page 49
Posted by: trailing wife || 10/19/2021 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [82 views] Top|| File under: Govt of Iraq

#1  Who?
More pandering thieves.
Posted by: Skidmark || 10/19/2021 5:16 Comments || Top||

The Lion of Damascus strikes again
Posted by: Omomolet Phutch9064 || 10/19/2021 00:00 || Comments || Link || E-Mail|| [104 views] Top|| File under: Govt of Syria

Who's in the News
2Islamic State
2Govt of Pakistain Proxies
2Govt of Syria
2Sublime Porte
1Ottoman Proxies
1Govt of Iraq
1Govt of Iran Proxies
1Abu Sayyaf (ISIS)
1Govt of Iran
1Govt of Saudi Arabia
1Devout Moslems
1Muslim Brotherhood
1Arab Spring
1Migrants/Illegal Immigrants
1Human Trafficking
1Moslem Colonists

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Two weeks of WOT
Tue 2021-10-19
  Nasrallah says Hezbollah has 100,000 trained Lebanese fighters
Mon 2021-10-18
  Sadr sets out rules for the US when Sadrists assume premiership
Sun 2021-10-17
  Thailand Ends 17-Day Security Op in Deep South Swamp
Sat 2021-10-16
  Lebanon on edge as funerals held for seven killed in Beirut gunbattle
Fri 2021-10-15
  Socialist Labour Party MP in Leicester, England and a BLM activist, has been convicted over threatening to throw acid on the face of a woman
Thu 2021-10-14
  Six dead, dozens injured as Beirut protest erupts into heavy gunfights
Wed 2021-10-13
  Antifa member files frivolous lawsuit claiming he was injured by cops while rioting
Tue 2021-10-12
  Iraqis nab ISIS finance chief with $5 million bounty on his head
Mon 2021-10-11
  NIA raids 16 locations across Kashmir amid fresh civilian killings
Sun 2021-10-10
  UN: 10,000 Displaced as Clashes Escalate over Marib
Sat 2021-10-09
  Suicide bomber kills at least 100 at Shi'ite mosque in Afghanistan
Fri 2021-10-08
  Now in Power, Taliban Set Sights on Afghan Drug Underworld
Thu 2021-10-07
  Tunisia police seize equipment used by pro-Ennahdha channel
Wed 2021-10-06
  Turkey seeks to merge al-Nusra and National Army in Syria's Idlib
Tue 2021-10-05
  Palestinian president hosts Israeli minister in West Bank

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