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#1 Uh, uh, ANY RELATION TO 1970's ICON CHARO + OPERATION "COOCHIE COOCHIE"???
* DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > UNMANNED COMBAT VESSELS COULD SOON BE WORKING FOR US NAVY.
* SAME > US NAVY NAMES NEXT FIVE ATTACK SUBMARINES.
* SAME > DEADLIER [US]ARTILLERY SHELLS.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2012-04-15 01:01||
#2 There's a problem with that scenario. China probably has no problem escalating to nuclear if attacked. They can lose 100 million people and that would be nothing.
The scenario as presented as being against China is fantasy. They would nuke the living crap out of us, absorb a retaliatory strike and nuke us again. Then the Russians might just nuke us just to finish us off.
Those aircraft would have no bases to which they could return. Their bases would be a smoking hole in the ground before they could get home.
More likely the scenario is one that is more general. I believe we would have to assume that even a conventional attack against the Chinese mainland would immediately go nuclear and I don't think we are prepared to go there.
Posted by crosspatch 2012-04-15 01:06||
#3 I can't see any possibility of a conventional attack on China.
The only scenario I can envisage is to cut China's trade routes. Sink ships, destroy bridges, collapse tunnels, and attack oil pipelines outside China itself. Precision munitions, UAVs and cruise missiles make this fairly easy.
Posted by phil_b 2012-04-15 05:40||
#4 The big money defense industrialists must have a boogey-man, eh? I more imagine this scenario would be appropriate for the less retaliation ready gulf states.
Posted by Skidmark 2012-04-15 08:20||
I'm going to respectfully disagree with you - it is absolutely in the Chinese interest to keep things from going nuclear. Keep in mind that dictatorships rely on two things above all else: order and control of communications. A single nuclear shot in China will end order right quickly, not to mention what more than that will do to communications. If nuclear weapons start going off, the only thing the Chinese leadership will control will be whatever is within literal arms' reach, and they value their backsides, power, and perks far too much to risk them.
This isn't to say that a US/PRC war couldn't spin out of control, but there are a lot of factors on both sides to militate against it.
Posted by Mike Kozlowski 2012-04-15 10:11||
#6 So, anything hidden at Chinese company controlled ports at each end of the panama canal? Nice location for nuclear blackmail. Bill Gerz talked about this years ago.
Posted by Alaska Paul 2012-04-15 11:58||
#7 The Chicoms loose more from the canal disappearing than do we. And we could develop a new no-lock canal rapidly.
Posted by Nimble Spemble 2012-04-15 21:00||