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2022-10-17 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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About the course of the NWO. 10/16/2022
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
Commentary by Russian military correspondent identfied as Kitten (Kotenok)
[ColonelCassad] Answers to questions about the course of the SVO for the channel "Voenkor Kotenok".
 - Kyiv and NATO are increasingly discussing the use of tactical nuclear weapons by the Russian side. Is the West ready to detonate its own charge on the territory of Ukraine in order to accuse Moscow?
- Such a possibility exists, especially since the practice of provocations with the use of chemical weapons in Syria is already known. In the case of Ukraine, such a scenario has existed since the first days of the operation. This applies to both provocations and the possible use of a dirty bomb, which could have been created even before the start of the war or imported from outside. With the subsequent accusation of the Russian Federation of the use of WMD.
- Continues to receive information that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are accumulating in the Zaporozhye direction. Kyiv has not abandoned the idea to take Energodar and Zaporizhzhya NPP at any cost?
Of course, there are prerequisites for the active actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye direction. This applies both to river landings in the area of Energodar and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, and to possible offensive actions in the direction of Vasilyevka, Tokmak and Pologi. Signals about such enemy activity continue to come through military channels. However, it cannot be ruled out that this is a certain psychological game of pulling Russian reserves in various directions.
Nevertheless, Zaporozhye remains one of the potential directions of the main attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the ongoing autumn campaign.
- Is there any military sense in the strikes against Belgorod, which are delivered from Ukrainian territory?
- There is no significant military meaning in these strikes, since the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not plan an attack on Belogorod. The strikes are for informational and logistical purposes. They cannot significantly undermine the military potential of the RF Armed Forces in the Belgorod sector. Nevertheless, it is necessary to strive for a situation where the ability of the Armed Forces to shell Belgorod will be reduced to zero, which requires the occupation of a significant part of the Kharkiv region in the medium term.
- In a number of areas, the weather is already deteriorating with an increase in mud, which seriously complicates the use of heavy military equipment. How long will the operational pause last after the onset of the autumn-winter period?
- Some decrease (but not a cessation of hostilities) will most likely last until the second half of November-December. In winter, one can expect the intensification of offensive operations from both sides.
So far, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are using the last weeks before the worsening weather to achieve operational and tactical results in the Kherson and Svatov directions, and are also preparing a strike in Zaporozhye.
— What caused the tightening of rhetoric on the part of official Minsk? Is it worth waiting for the entry of Belarusian troops into the NVO zone?
- The rhetoric of Minsk is associated with an increase in the number of provocations by NATO and Ukraine, as well as attempts of terrorist attacks on the territory of Belarus. In fact, a terrorist war is going on against Belarus, supported by NATO countries and Ukraine. Therefore, Lukashenka's rhetoric is more than justified, as are security measures. At the moment, Belarusian troops are not engaged in assembling a strike force for the invasion of Ukraine and are engaged in defensive measures on the border.
- How significant is the liberation of Artemovsk (Bakhmut) and how will this affect the situation at the front?
- The liberation of Artemovsk will break the strategic defensive line (axis) Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Artemovsk-Dzerzhinsk and deprive the Armed Forces of Ukraine of an important road junction. The story of the “Popasnaya flower” may repeat itself, when the loss of a large logistics center caused a crisis of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in many areas at once. That is why the Armed Forces of Ukraine have clung to Artemovsk so much and are constantly throwing reserves here in order to keep the city, which is of the utmost operational importance.
- It is known that the assault detachments of the "Wagner Group" play a primary role in the liberation of Artemovsk. How significant is the PMC factor within the entire Ukrainian front?
- Wagner PMCs show themselves as highly effective assault units, using their rich experience in participating in local conflicts and trained personnel. This makes it possible to more effectively break into the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and maintain the pace of the offensive, pushing the enemy directly to Artemivsk.
PMCs do not replace the armed forces, but effectively complement them. In the future, efforts should be made to increase coordination of actions and to review the role of PMCs in operational and strategic planning.
- In Kyiv, they report on the elimination of the consequences of strikes on the energy infrastructure. Should we trust such statements?
- Part of the consequences of strikes may well be eliminated in the medium or long term. And such work is constantly going on.
Even in conditions of obvious damage to infrastructure, there will be a longer-term and systemic effect if such strikes are carried out fairly regularly, which will lead to the fact that some of the objects will be completely destroyed, and some will be brought to a state where repairs will take too long, which will lead to inevitable rolling blackouts on a systemic basis, even without impacts on the infrastructure of operating nuclear power plants.
— What caused the partial evacuation of the population of the Kherson region? How likely is an attempt to break through the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the city with the imposition of urban battles?
- The evacuation was caused by systemic shelling of the cities of the Kherson region of the Russian Federation. Plus, in the event of a breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there is a high probability of intensifying battles for the city, which can lead to heavy casualties among civilians. Therefore, from the point of view of security, it is better to evacuate part of the population in advance for the same reasons that the residents of the DPR were evacuated before the start of the war.
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Posted by badanov 2022-10-17 00:00||
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