Article

2023-12-11 Science & Technology

Optimism linked to bad decision-making, lower cognitive ability: study

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Skidmark 2023-12-11 05:07|| || Front Page|| [16 views ] Top

#1 Thousands of blue state residents flock to Idaho, bringing conservative politics with them: data

Posted by Skidmark 2023-12-11 05:09|| 2023-12-11 05:09|| Front Page Top

#2 people with excessive optimism are more likely to struggle with decision-making and could have lower cognitive function.

In short, inability to learn from experience.

Posted by Grom the Reflective 2023-12-11 05:11|| 2023-12-11 05:11|| Front Page Top

#3 Deductive reasoning vs. inductive reasoning. Sadly, oftentimes now described as 'conspiracy thinking.'

Deductive reasoning, also known as deduction, is a basic form of reasoning. It starts out with a general statement, or hypothesis, and examines the possibilities to reach a specific, logical conclusion, according to Norman Herr, a professor of secondary education at California State University in Northridge. The scientific method uses deduction to test hypotheses and theories, which predict certain outcomes if they are correct, said Dr. Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller, a researcher and professor emerita at Albert Einstein College of Medicine.

"We go from the general — the theory — to the specific — the observations," Wassertheil-Smoller told Live Science.

In deductive reasoning there is a first premise, then a second premise and finally an inference (a conclusion based on reasoning and evidence). A common form of deductive reasoning is the syllogism, in which two statements — a major premise and a minor premise — together reach a logical conclusion. For example, the major premise "Every A is B" could be followed by the minor premise, "This C is A." Those statements would lead to the conclusion "This C is B." Syllogisms are considered a good way to test deductive reasoning to make sure the argument is valid.

Link to Live Science article

Posted by Besoeker 2023-12-11 05:28|| 2023-12-11 05:28|| Front Page Top

#4 We go from the general — the theory — then Climate or COVID Hysteria.

The modern model of reasoning. Who needs specifics or observation?

Posted by Procopius2k 2023-12-11 06:47|| 2023-12-11 06:47|| Front Page Top

#5 That reasoning? It's all feelz with these "people".

Posted by Grom the reflective 2023-12-11 06:51|| 2023-12-11 06:51|| Front Page Top

#6 As Frank Zappa said, "I'm not a cynic, I'm a realist."

Posted by M. Murcek 2023-12-11 06:56|| 2023-12-11 06:56|| Front Page Top

#7 Also this gem from the Murphy's Law Calendar:

"Good judgement comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgement."

Posted by M. Murcek 2023-12-11 06:57|| 2023-12-11 06:57|| Front Page Top

#8 The glass is neither half full or half empty. The glass is twice the size that it needs to be.

Posted by Super Hose 2023-12-11 09:20|| 2023-12-11 09:20|| Front Page Top

#9 Not speaking for the other Jews on the board, I think this explains us pretty well.

For generations and generations, the Jews who said, "We have nothing to worry about. We are totally okay. I'm sure they won't attack us."
Have been weeded out of the ashkenazic genetic base.

Posted by Penguin_of_the_Desert 2023-12-11 10:08|| 2023-12-11 10:08|| Front Page Top

#10 ^IMO, the other way around. You can't live with the thought than any moment your neighboors may rise up to kill you & your family. So, over the time Jews learned to ignore reality.

Posted by Grom the Reflective 2023-12-11 11:39|| 2023-12-11 11:39|| Front Page Top

#11 Don't feel shat upon grom. We're experiencing "ignored reality" at our Southern border on a daily basis.

Posted by Besoeker 2023-12-11 11:43|| 2023-12-11 11:43|| Front Page Top

#12 ^Is not about victimhood competition, Visitor. Just stating a fact.

Posted by Grom the Reflective 2023-12-11 11:53|| 2023-12-11 11:53|| Front Page Top

#13 Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get me.

Posted by Abu Uluque 2023-12-11 12:57|| 2023-12-11 12:57|| Front Page Top

#14 Both Penguin and Grom are correct with regard to the Jews over history. Both variants are always present in the population — each being selected for or against as conditions change locally… but not globally.

Posted by trailing wife 2023-12-11 22:17|| 2023-12-11 22:17|| Front Page Top

22:17 trailing wife
21:12 Mullah Richard
21:09 Mullah Richard
20:16 Super Hose
19:37 trailing wife
18:56 Frank G
18:49 Frank G
18:43 trailing wife
18:43 ed in texas
18:43 borgboy
18:41 borgboy
18:31 M. Murcek
18:29 NN2N1
18:23 Skidmark
18:15 Skidmark
18:12 Maggie Lumumba9669
17:23 magpie
16:59 Skidmark
16:57 Mullah Richard
16:32 Besoeker
16:25 Skidmark
16:23 Skidmark
16:22 Angstrom
16:22 Skidmark