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2022-11-17 China-Japan-Koreas
Taiwan invasion would be 'dangerous game' for China, top US general warns
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Posted by Fred 2022-11-17 00:00|| || Front Page|| [7 views ]  Top
 File under: Commies 

#1 ...On the one hand, if GEN Milley told me the sky was blue, I would take a team of trusted NCOs out to confirm it.

On the other hand, he's right. So is a stopped clock twice a day, but there it is. Trouble is that Milley's actions in the past, and the demonstrated military incompetence the Biden Administration have shown, has done nothing to convince the PRC that that they shouldn't do this.

Xi believes he has a clear path to pull this off, and even if we can somehow muster the forces to stop it, he's betting he can absorb the casualties on the one hand, while still taking Taiwan out of the game for an indefinite period of time.


Mike
Posted by MikeKozlowski 2022-11-17 06:50||   2022-11-17 06:50|| Front Page Top

#2 Yeah.. I bet Miley spends hours each day in front of the mirror practicing misgendering people.
Armed with a 12-page book of inappropriate pronouns. Xi better watch out this guy is serious!
Posted by CrazyFool 2022-11-17 07:34||   2022-11-17 07:34|| Front Page Top

#3 His friends are not where they need to be for an invasion today, but I bet he has plans to get them where they need to be.
Posted by Super Hose 2022-11-17 12:55||   2022-11-17 12:55|| Front Page Top

#4 https://www.climatestotravel.com/climate/taiwan

I'm guessing February is the optimal period for cross channel naval blockage and invasion sustainment by sea and air. The added benefit for that period is the political distraction/chaos of the new House of Representatives bloviations and initial PR efforts.

The South China Sea has a predominately tropical climate, dictated by two monsoons that are characterized by their direction of airflow. The Northeast monsoon is active in the winter months of November to March, while during the summer between May and September the Southwest monsoon is active.
Posted by NoMoreBS 2022-11-17 13:08||   2022-11-17 13:08|| Front Page Top

#5 China can much less afford a bad result of any action they take than Russia has.
Posted by M. Murcek 2022-11-17 13:15||   2022-11-17 13:15|| Front Page Top

#6 Bomb the three gorges dam as soon as they start anything.
Posted by Sloluger Crusomble4225 2022-11-17 13:50||   2022-11-17 13:50|| Front Page Top

#7 May and October are the best windows for invasion. The skies are fairly clear and the ocean fairly calm. China would have to finish the invasion in 30 days for each window before iffy weather becomes a real possibility again. Combine that with a decent moon and best tidal times you can narrow down the invasion date each year pretty well.
Posted by DarthVader 2022-11-17 13:56||   2022-11-17 13:56|| Front Page Top

#8 Good idea #6
Posted by Chris 2022-11-17 14:05||   2022-11-17 14:05|| Front Page Top

#9 Quick look at the invasion beach locations:

https://twitter.com/adam_tooze/status/1313151964826333197/photo/1

Bloomberg link:

https://www.bloomberg.com/toaster/v2/charts/2a1fb12a801548c0971a9eb0c0e43f52.html?brand=politics&webTheme=light&web=true&hideTitles=true
Posted by NoMoreBS 2022-11-17 14:50||   2022-11-17 14:50|| Front Page Top

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