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2020-07-16 Science & Technology

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Posted by Bobby 2020-07-16 09:42|| || Front Page|| [11131 views ] Top

#1 Georgia's Governor VOIDS mask mandate in 15 cities and counties but encourages residents wear them voluntarily as coronavirus cases surge in the state

Posted by Skidmark 2020-07-16 10:23|| 2020-07-16 10:23|| Front Page Top

#2 If this were a deadly worldwide pandemic, we'd all know it. We'd personally know people who had died. There wouldn't need to be scary headlines daily to remind us.

Posted by Iblis 2020-07-16 11:20|| 2020-07-16 11:20|| Front Page Top

#3 My Doc has 3 in ICU for 7 weeks so far.
(753 positive in the county, 8 dead)

I think that's 2 degrees of separation.

Posted by Skidmark 2020-07-16 11:58|| 2020-07-16 11:58|| Front Page Top

#4 My Doc has 3 in ICU for 7 weeks so far.
(753 positive in the county, 8 dead)

My 2 degrees of separation is a gentleman who was unable to receive a stent due to 'elective' surgeries being postponed. Also, I'd say people on this board will have a higher rate of acquaintance with the vulnerable just based on age. But point taken.

Posted by Iblis 2020-07-16 12:12|| 2020-07-16 12:12|| Front Page Top

#5 Dude I played rugby with and he’s only 45 was on a respirator for 2 months. He made it, but barely

Posted by Beavis 2020-07-16 13:16|| 2020-07-16 13:16|| Front Page Top

#6 Ok. Let me try this a different way. How many of us know someone who passed in the last year from cancer, heart attack, accident, etc? Now, compare that number to COVID deaths.

Posted by Iblis 2020-07-16 14:06|| 2020-07-16 14:06|| Front Page Top

#7 My take and reduced worry level of the C-19.

I don't pay attention to the always increasing number. Because naturally if you add 1 to a number it increases and the medias usual PANIC laced headline follows: Convid-19 Virus cases surge (citing the total number),

What we do know:
* nationwide C-19 testing is finally underway.
More testing obviously produces what? If you said increased results correct.

* More testing increases false positives results.

* False Positives range from 15.2% to 26.9% we are told this by the CDC/WHO/NIH and etc...

* Plus testing uncovers 10's of 1000's that have the antibodies by either natural or acquired immunity. Or had a mild to bad cold and were over in 2-3 days at home.
=====================

So here is how I look at the numbers:
there are ## Million residents in my state X # were infected over over 200 days since c-19 arrived. So on any given day of those 200 days X # of people were NOT INFECTED vs. how many that were. X # of Infected died vs. X number that did not die, out of ## Million.

Now use the US population of 342,000,000 (342M) X 200 days = 68,400,000,000 (68.4B) My odds getting C-19 are 68B ./.# of reported c-19 cases that day.

My odd of dying are FAR FAR LESS.

Posted by NN2N 2020-07-16 14:24|| 2020-07-16 14:24|| Front Page Top

#8 To be straight, the tests to indicate if you died are still valid right?
So if we only monitor deaths we'll at least have viable statistics.

Deaths are going down.

Posted by rjschwarz 2020-07-16 15:26|| 2020-07-16 15:26|| Front Page Top

#9 "So if we only monitor deaths we'll at least have viable statistics."

If only. We are counting all deaths *with* COVID as deaths *from* COVID. In other words, if you die in a car crash and a postmortem test is positive for COVID (and all dead are being tested), then it's reported as a COVID death. I wish I were making this up.

Also, keep in mind the ~30% false positive rate from current tests.

Posted by Iblis 2020-07-16 16:13|| 2020-07-16 16:13|| Front Page Top

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