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2012-01-11 -Election 2012

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Posted by g(r)omgoru 2012-01-11 00:36|| || Front Page|| [11127 views ] Top

#1 Santorum came in 5th. I'm predicting he'll drop out after SC.

Looks like Romney picked up some of Bachmann's votes, which has bumped him past 25% for the first time ever. Still got the same number of votes in NH that he did in 2008. He is quite literally the worst Republican front runner ever.

Paul's rise is troubling. He's picking up some of the not-Romneys -- people who don't realize he's insane. Right now Paul is Romney's best friend in the world.

Posted by Iblis 2012-01-11 11:03|| 2012-01-11 11:03|| Front Page Top

#2 Romny had his victory margin halved in the week after Iowa. The question is "If he's that vulnerable with the press and Obama holding their fire, what's going to happen to him in the general?"

Posted by Frozen Al 2012-01-11 11:04|| 2012-01-11 11:04|| Front Page Top

#3 If done right, this is the general.

Posted by swksvolFF 2012-01-11 12:00|| 2012-01-11 12:00|| Front Page Top

#4 If Romney is the Pub candidate, he will pick up momentum for the general elections once the uncertainty of the primaries is gone. Even Matt Damon and Harry Bellefonte don't like Obummer (although they will probably vote for him when crunch time comes). Who is propping up Obama at this point other than the hardcore Donks who would vote for a firehydrant if it were Democratic? Obama has long ago surpassed Jimmy Carter. I cannot understand why anyone would vote for him at this point.

Posted by JohnQC 2012-01-11 13:17|| 2012-01-11 13:17|| Front Page Top

#5 "If Romney is the Pub candidate, he will pick up momentum for the general elections once the uncertainty of the primaries is gone."

Sure, just like McCain and Dole.

That's the only way we lose this year. Nominate someone Republicans don't want to vote for.

Posted by Iblis 2012-01-11 14:08|| 2012-01-11 14:08|| Front Page Top

#6 Nominate someone Republicans don't want to vote for.

That's what you get when you let only a handful of states (and small states at that) pick your nominee.

Posted by CrazyFool 2012-01-11 14:40|| 2012-01-11 14:40|| Front Page Top

#7 I heard it suggested that there is same day registration in NH and that could explain a lot of Ron Paul votes. Democrats acting as spoilers or whatever. Hope its not true but it is really the only explaination for Ron Paul's large vote that I can stomach.

Posted by rjschwarz 2012-01-11 14:51|| 2012-01-11 14:51|| Front Page Top

#8 Dampening enthusiasm and discouraging voters is in play; no vote against is as good as a vote for.

Posted by swksvolFF 2012-01-11 14:58|| 2012-01-11 14:58|| Front Page Top

#9 I would vote for a plant before I'd vote for Obama. I would prefer the plant be conservative. Bill Buckley was in favor of nominating the most conservative Republican who could get elected. There are other candidates who have dropped out or who most likely will drop out that I would have preferred. I'm not sure they could have gotten elected. I don't think these election dynamics are anything like those that surrounded Bob Dole or McCain during their campaigns. The country is going down the tubes under Obama--another four years of this will most likely finish it off.

Posted by JohnQC 2012-01-11 20:26|| 2012-01-11 20:26|| Front Page Top

#10 "I don't think these election dynamics are anything like those that surrounded Bob Dole or McCain during their campaigns."

The dynamic is that when the Republican nominee would make a fine Democrat, Republicans stay home, don't donate, don't put up signs, etc. Romney 100% fits into this category. Already 75% of the party can't stand him. Wait till the attack ads start.

The even bigger problem is with Independents. These are emotional voters. They need to get excited, feel good, etc. If we don't like our own guy, they pick up on it.

Bottom line. Romney vs. Obama is a false choice. Romney can't win. He can't win his own state (MA). He can't excite his own party. There is nothing to vote for. His only pitch is that he is not Obama, and given Obamacare, Global Warming, etc he is as close a Republican version of Obama as we have. I'd prefer a little more contrast.

Posted by Iblis 2012-01-11 23:26|| 2012-01-11 23:26|| Front Page Top

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