Article

2010-10-26 Home Front: Politix

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2010-10-26 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11130 views ] Top

#1 Real Clear Politics Map for Senate

Real Clear Politics Map for House

Posted by Water Modem 2010-10-26 00:57|| 2010-10-26 00:57|| Front Page Top

#2 It would also be nice if they graded each candidate on probability of winning along with where they fell in the political spectrum. Maybe even where they stood on important individual issues such as where they stand on Obamacare, guns, abortion, spending, debt/deficits, size of government, pork, sleaze factor, etc..

It would let us know which shade of purple to expect, and which shade we got after the dust settled.

Posted by gorb 2010-10-26 01:30|| 2010-10-26 01:30|| Front Page Top

#3 There just aren't enough Democrat seats up for election right now.

Posted by crosspatch 2010-10-26 03:33|| 2010-10-26 03:33|| Front Page Top

#4 I'm not so sure the "toss-ups are not still up for grabs for Senate seats.

Posted by JohnQC 2010-10-26 10:33|| 2010-10-26 10:33|| Front Page Top

#5 Sounds more to me that the "Odds Makers" are trying to shift the odds a bit by lying, to get a better return on their bets.

Posted by Redneck Jim 2010-10-26 14:26|| 2010-10-26 14:26|| Front Page Top

#6 Well, lets see:

RCP has 4 seats in the R column and 7 toss ups. Those toss ups are:

CA: Boxer (D)
CO: Bennet (D)
IL: Open (D)
NV: Reid (D)
PA: Open (D)
WA: Murray (D)
WV: Open (D)

Of these, the best prospects are CO, IL, NV, PA and WV. Polls show the R's ahead in these races, though generally within the margin of error.

But, assuming things continue as they have been, that gets us to 50 seats. Control would have to come from winning CA, WA (very close) or pulling off an upset in either CT or DE.

Another way of looking at it is that we would have to win 6 of 7 races listed as too close to call. Hard, but not impossible in a big wave year. In fact, there generally *are* surprises in a wave year.

Of course, control of the Senate means very little if Murkowski is reelected. If you want a different result, then you have to send different people.

Also, from a strategy standpoint, just 51 seats puts us in charge, but no stronger than our weakest members (Collins, Snowe, Graham, McCain, etc). So on one side we have Bammo blasting us every chance he gets, and on the other side we have our own people unwilling to repeal ObamaCare, rein in the EPA, cut spending, lower taxes, etc. Not a great scenario.

Better to focus on getting the right people elected (e.g. Miller in Alaska) this time around, and control in 2012. Leaving the Dems in charge of the Senate gives us a great deal of buffer when Bammo attacks "Congress". Then, in 2012, we can move to 55+ seats which is enough to neutralize our "moderate" friends and do the heavy lifting of rolling back socialism.

Posted by Iblis 2010-10-26 16:22|| 2010-10-26 16:22|| Front Page Top

#7 ong>11-4

Humm.... come on baby... a little more an a flyer is due.

Posted by Zombie Hillary Lover 2010-10-26 20:27|| 2010-10-26 20:27|| Front Page Top

#8 ...within the margin of ~~error~~ theft.

FIFY, they're already on the job. Amazing how many of these errors always favor one party.

Posted by Procopius2k 2010-10-26 21:12|| 2010-10-26 21:12|| Front Page Top

23:41 JosephMendiola
23:40 newc
23:39 JosephMendiola
23:27 JosephMendiola
23:16 Skidmark
23:16 JosephMendiola
23:03 JosephMendiola
23:00 JosephMendiola
22:55 newc
22:55 JosephMendiola
22:45 CrazyFool
22:34 crazyhorse
22:34 Alaska Paul
22:15 JosephMendiola
22:08 SteveS
22:04 JosephMendiola
22:02 gromky
21:41 Pappy
21:26 American Delight
21:19 Thing From Snowy Mountain
21:17 Broadhead6
21:13 TZSenator
21:12 Procopius2k
20:44 Rambler in Virginia