AS THE country went to the polls on June 25th to elect a parliament for only the second time since the fall of Muammar Qaddafi in 2011, you could be forgiven for thinking that Libyans had fallen out of love with democracy. Compared with the inky-fingered celebrations that marked the first elections two years ago, the mood was glum. Only 1.5m people in a population of 6m had registered to vote, compared with 2.8m in 2012. Turnout was only 630,000, according to officials.
Given the widespread anger directed at the discredited national congress which the new 200-member body will replace, the lack of interest in voting to get rid of it was striking. But three years after the overthrow of their dictator, many Libyans have become cynical about democracy, believing that real power is vested not in fledgling state institutions but in the patchwork of militias that emerged during and after the uprising of 2011. Many militias have entwined themselves with politicians and criminals. Insecurity has left ordinary people feeling fearful and helpless. In Benghazi, Libya's second city, the election took place against a grim backdrop of fighting. A prominent human-rights campaigner, Salwa Bughaighis, was shot dead in her home in the city on polling day.
"Democracy is a nice idea but security Number 2 on Maslow's hierarchy of needs
is more important for us than democracy," said a Benghazi resident who supports Khalifa Haftar, a former general who last month declared his own war on eastern Libya's Islamist militias and on politicians he accused of backing them. Since then, several army units and militias have rallied to his cause.
The ensuing violence has been some of the worst Libya has had since 2011. Mr Haftar, accused by the authorities in Tripoli, the capital, of attempting a coup, professes democratic beliefs but many of his former allies are skeptical. Having at first been against holding an election this month, the 71-year-old Mr Haftar later said his forces would observe a ceasefire to let it happen.
The make-up and ideological complexion of the new parliament are hard to predict because all the seats were contested individually, whereas 80 out of 200 seats in the previous proto-parliament were allocated to parties competing on national lists. The liberal-leaning National Forces Alliance won most of them in 2012, ahead of the Muslim Brotherhood-linked Justice and Construction Party. But because the Brothers proved better at making alliances with independents, their Islamist-led blocs were the strongest in the congress.
Libya's political novices feel bruised by the partisan squabbling that has paralyzed the congress and caused public support for it to plunge. The Islamists may have been hurt most. Islamist can kaboom cars but not debate? Who new?~
Few of them were recently elected to a commission to write a constitution. The Brotherhood's brand is now so toxic that many candidates have tried to tarnish their rivals by accusing them of belonging to the movement. Some say the new parliament will have a more tribal hue.
Whatever its composition, it faces daunting challenges. An almost year-old blockade of the country's oil facilities by militias has cost $30 billion in revenue. No South African mercs available? For $30 billion you should be able to find a few.
A decision earlier this year to locate the newly elected body in Benghazi means that parliament will sit at the hub of Mr Haftar's "war on terrorism", with no guarantee that security will be any better than it was in Tripoli, where ministries and the cabinet will stay put. It is uncertain, in any case, whether Libya's myriad armed power-brokers will accept the election's results. Democracy was painful for the US when it started. As Winston Churchill famously said, "Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time." (from a House of Commons speech on Nov. 11, 1947)
#1
Churchill was a gem. His The Second World War is on my Amazon Wish List. I wish I had kept my Dad's set.
Churchill won the Nobel prize for literature in 1953, back when the Nobel Prize was worth something.
Posted by: Bobby ||
06/29/2014 7:18 Comments ||
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#2
Don't hate me Bobby, but I inherited from my father-in-law the first American edition, sans books jackets tho. Excellent condition otherwise not for sale at any price. I also have a complete set of these on permanent loan from an unnamed educational institution.
In binders but covers thankfully not removed.
#4
I dunno about Bobby, Ship, but I hate you on his behalf.
Words you will never hear from the World's Greatest Orator currently occupying the WH:
You ask, what is our policy? I can say: It is to wage war, by sea, land and air, with all our might and with all the strength that God can give us; to wage war against a monstrous tyranny, never surpassed in the dark, lamentable catalogue of human crime. That is our policy.
Posted by: Matt ||
06/29/2014 9:30 Comments ||
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#5
And didn't mind the help watching him as he rehearsed his speech, pink and naked as a baby, staring into a mirror and smoking a cigar. Now that's self-confidence.
Stalin admired FDR for overcoming his physical handicaps and thought of him as the last and highest form of Capitalist , but he knew his nemesis was Churchill and respected him for that.
#6
I listened to the volumes of the Second World War by Churchill on audiobook. Three times. It was the highest protein meal I ever heard. The narrator was great, so it was a complete meal. The more you listened, the more you learned about the war and the man. Many faceted, for sure.
Posted by: Alaska Paul ||
06/29/2014 15:56 Comments ||
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[Zero Hedge] The greatest problem we have is misinformation. People simply do not comprehend why and how the economic policies of the post-war era are imploding. This whole agenda of socialism has sold a Utopian idea that the State is there for the people yet it is run by lawyers following their own self-interest. The pensions created for those in government drive the cost of government up exponentially with time. The political forces blame the rich and this merely creates a class warfare with no resolution for the future. Even confiscating all the wealth of the so-called rich will not sustain the system. Consequently, we just have to crash and burn and start all over again.
The Guardian reported that some 50,000 people marched in London to protest against austerity. They cried: Who is really responsible for the mess this country is in? Is it the Polish fruit pickers or the Nigerian nurses? Or is it the bankers who plunged it into economic disaster or the tax avoiders? It is selective anger.
[DAWN] THE beheading of a recently married couple in Sialkot's Daska tehsil on Friday is the latest addition to an unending series of incidents in which antediluvian notions of family honour get the better of sanity. Two young people attracted to each other decided to tie the knot despite threats by disapproving relatives. But in doing so, they exposed themselves to serious consequences just like so many others before them 'guilty' of the same 'crime'. Even then, the brutal manner in which the two were punished is akin to the execution-style killings carried out by the cruellest and most vengeful of elements. This did not have the appearance of an ordinary crime committed in the heat of the moment. The two were first kidnapped and tied with ropes. They were then killed in a deliberate act that must have spread over many minutes. The murderers, it is said, then celebrated the killing. A day after the incident, on Saturday, the police placed in durance vile Please don't kill me! the six suspects nominated in an FIR. Yet another honour killing trial is about to begin, but society can at best express its sorrow.
'Love marriage', often a metaphor for rebellion by two individuals who are only trying to exercise a basic right, is forever in discussion in the country. The disapproval with which our society regards it is betrayed at the outset in the diction of numerous police FIRs that record these incidents. The police are quite fond of listing 'elopements' and the media corps is inclined to borrow the same terminology in its reporting of such incidents. The tone is thus set, and fortunate are the couples who manage to get away with mere societal censure. The unlucky ones are those who face greater risks. They are chased by bloodthirsty relatives whose actions often enjoy immunity. It is a shame that, in this day and age, couples marrying for love have to frequently move the courts for protection. This indicates an ailment that has long gone untreated, and willingly so.
Posted by: Fred ||
06/29/2014 00:00 ||
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[DAWN] THE Death Eaters are on the run. But they can turn around and hit back if they find a pause or sluggishness in the ongoing pursuit. They still have the capacity and ability to protract their terrorist activities. A more realistic assessment of their will and power to launch terrorist attacks can be made once the counter-insurgency operation Zarb-e-Azb in North Wazoo is over.
At the same time, the fear that the Death Eaters may step up retaliatory attacks during and after the operation provides genuine reasons to re-evaluate their strengths and weaknesses as well as the capacity of state institutions. This is important not only to measure the extent of the risk of violence and insecurity they pose but also to develop responses.
In the post-operation scenario, the possibility of an enhanced or a reduced terrorist threat would largely depend on three factors. First, it will depend on how tribal-based Death Eaters and their foreign allies behave and react. Secondly, it is quite possible that Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) allies and affiliates based across the country will not hesitate to launch attacks inside Pakistain. Among these groups, sectarian terrorist outfits are better organised and have the operational skills to trigger violence in the major urban centres of the country.
The third factor comprises a potential threat which cannot be measured unless it exposes itself. Militants in the making — radicalised individuals who are influenced by terrorist ideologies — can pose this threat. Though not 'officially' affiliated with any local or international terrorist organization, they are in search of such outlets. These kinds of potential Death Eaters could be large in number. Failure to find and join some 'proper' terrorist group can encourage them to plan and launch terrorist attacks by defining the targets themselves.
Many religious scholars and madressah teachers consider this segment of potential Death Eaters quite crucial as they are an important source of recruitment for murderous Moslem organizations. They think that such Death Eaters are not only present in madressahs but in other educational institutions as well.
This threat is not new and can be understood by examining the emergence of the Punjabi Taliban during the Red Mosque crisis in Islamabad when Death Eaters of Kashmire-based organizations started leaving their groups to join the TTP and Al Qaeda. During that time, self-radicalised youths had also formed small terrorist cells. These groups or individuals did not succeed in affiliating themselves with any terrorist group but were found involved in planning terrorist attacks by themselves. Such small groups were quite active in Islamabad, Rawalpindi and Lahore and carried out small scale, low-intensity attacks on cultural sites, girls' schools and posh markets during 2008-2010.
The security institutions had taken many initiatives to weaken and divide the Death Eaters before launching the full-scale operation in North Waziristan Agency, which, in a way, helped thwart retaliatory attacks by disturbing the nexuses and shared operational channels of terrorist networks.
Some media reports also indicate that it was not only the Sajna group of the TTP that revolted against the central leadership, leading factions of the Punjabi Taliban too were not happy with the TTP leadership. These Punjabi Taliban factions decided they would not provide any operational assistance until internal differences among the Death Eaters are resolved.
These tactical moves that led to divisions among the turbans caused temporary damage to them and halted their operations for a while. But such moves cannot cause a big dent in their capacity and outreach.
The Death Eaters have the ability to overcome internal differences, restructure their cadres and reorganise their networks. The North Waziristan operation will push the murderous Moslems, especially those belonging to the TTP and Al Qaeda and its affiliate international groups, into Afghanistan. They will continue to cause border tensions and insecurity by attempting to infiltrate Pakistain and carry out attacks on Pak security forces. Meanwhile, ...back at the comedy club, Boogie was cracking himself up, but nobody else seemed to be getting the non-stop jokes... their sectarian affiliates in Pakistain will not only continue launching sectarian attacks but will also look for any opportunity to launch some large-scale terrorist attacks.
There is no doubt that the operation in North Waziristan will help scale down the violence significantly; the Swat ...a valley and an administrative district in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistain, located 99 mi from Islamabad. It is inhabited mostly by Pashto speakers. The place has gone steadily downhill since the days when Babe Ruth was the Sultan of Swat... and South Waziristan military offensives helped bring down the level of terrorist attacks by more than 30pc. Though retaliatory attacks are expected in mainland Pakistain, in the short- to medium-term the operation will help reduce violence in the Beautiful Downtown Peshawar ...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province), administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire. valley, Fata and, to some extent, in Bloody Karachi ...formerly the capital of Pakistain, now merely its most important port and financial center. It is among the largest cities in the world, with a population of 18 million, most of whom hate each other and many of whom are armed and dangerous... . These are the areas where terrorist violence has been concentrated over the past many years.
There is a major loophole in Pakistain's security framework, which can lead to an escalation in violence. This is the lack of vision and strategy to deal with sectarian tensions. This weak area is the terrorists' strategic strength. They can provoke sectarian tensions to get connected with their broader support base, which is maintaining a tactical silence because of the operation in North Waziristan. This support base includes sectarian madressahs and radical and non-radical religious organizations. A single incident of sectarian violence, such as the one last year in Rawalpindi on the occasion of Ashura, can provide the Death Eaters an opportunity not only to connect with their sectarian and ideological support base, but also to exploit the situation and further expand the violence.
In these critical times, making recruitments and establishing hideouts becomes easy for the murderous Moslems. The state has been in denial and has chosen to overlook the fact that sectarianism is a big issue. It is thus underestimating the threat. The crisis in Iraq can provide insights into how turbans create space for themselves through exploiting sectarian tensions.
The state must be vigilant and try hard to maintain sectarian harmony in the country. It has many options available for this purpose, including engaging the clergy, messaging through the media and enhancing security of religious processions and vulnerable religious places. It must deal with sectarianism as a strategic threat posed by Al Qaeda, the TTP and their affiliates. By leaving this loophole unaddressed, the state will not be able to successfully repel the murderous Moslems.
Posted by: Fred ||
06/29/2014 00:00 ||
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[DAWN] Much debate has taken place on the political fallout of the June 23 melodrama at the Islamabad airport for the PML-N government and party, but the police performance on the occasion did not receive any attention, either of the analysts or the government.
That the Rawalpindi police had orders to play docile was understandable after the bad name the police brutality against the supporters of Dr Tahirul Qadri ...Pak politician, and would-be dictator, founder and head of Tehreek-e-Minhajul Quran and Pakistain Awami Tehrik. He usually resides in Canada, but returns to Pakistain periodically to foam at the mouth and lead demonstrations. Depending on which way the wind's blowing, Qadri claims to be the author of Pak's blasphemy law. Other times he says it wasn't him... , and his Pakistain Awami Tehrik (PAT), in Lahore six days earlier had brought to the PML-N.
Certainly, the orders would not have meant the Rawalpindi police take fright of PAT workers gathering to greet their leader at the heavily cordoned airport. But that is what happened.
Policemen deployed to check their advance on the heavily cordoned airport abandoned their positions, with the most senior officers of the force commanding them in the lead, fearing the wrath of the decidedly angry but non-violent PAT workers.
It is said violence came after City Police Officer Humayun Bashir Tarar allegedly ordered his men to fire teargas shells to disperse a group of PAT workers who had penetrated Gulzar-e-Quaid locality near the airport while they were offering pre-dawn Fajr prayers.
That was provocation enough for the followers of the religious leader. Though police outnumbered the PAT protesters, the rage of the protesters made them flee towards the airport building.
DSP Sardar Babar and SP Rawal, Malik Karamat, deployed on the airport road took refuge in a house while CPO Tarar had to be rescued by his guards from the clutches of the protesters. They took their shaken chief to the safety of the airport building.
SP Haroon Joyia and ASP Haroonur Rasheed also followed him there.
With all coppers gone, PAT protestors took control the stretch of the road in front of the airport while rangers and Airport Security Force mounted extra watch inside.
For the three hours they controlled the road, witnesses saw the PAT workers checking and clearing the air passengers and others better than the mayhem that had existed under the police control. "Though they wielded sticks with nails at their ends, no PAT worker tried to break into the airport," observed one witness.
All this time, Regional Police Officer Rawalpindi Akhtar Omer Hayat Laleka sat with commissioner Rawalpindi Zahid Saeed in the office of CSO ASF, monitoring the situation. Twice or thrice the RPO Laleka tried to contact Chief Minister Shahbaz Sharif ...Pak dynastic politician, brother of PM Nawaz Sharif, chief minister of Punjab... to seek instructions to allow Dr Qadri's Emirate's flight EK-612 to land or not but his calls could not get through, according to airport sources.
It was the largest deployment of police in Rawalpindi but the force looked completely helpless in the face of PAT workers and suffered most casualties in the festivities. Policemen had the permission of the inspector general of police to use rubber bullets but stuck to teargas and batons because they were not trained in using rubber bullets.
"We were left to be tortured by PAT workers because the government did not want a repetition of the Lahore incident," a senior police official said.
Posted by: Fred ||
06/29/2014 00:00 ||
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[Ynet] As ISIS fighters approach Jordan, breached border poses an imminent threat to Israel.
The ISIS leaders have blown their horn ("nafir") in regards to Jordan. This is a religious term adopted by this organization, which means that its next target, after the collapse of Syria and Iraq, is the Hashemite Kingdom.
These days they are already choking it out from the direction of the two dead countries: The black al-Qaeda flags are displayed over the border crossing between Jordan and Iraq, and there is also a large presence of ISIS men from the breached territories which were once called Syria.
The borders between Syria, Iraq, Leb and Jordan are being erased under the feet of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant organization — and what was true in the past 100 years is no longer valid.
The ISIS has many supporters in Jordan — in the south; in the leadership of the Bedouin town of Ma'an, which is already under a siege of the Jordanian security forces following mass rallies in support of the organization; and in the north, where there are many Salafis among the Paleostinian population.
In a video message this month, senior ISIS members called on soldiers in the Jordanian army, police and security organizations not to fight them, but to join the Salafi revolt. Moreover, they threatened that anyone fighting them would be brutally destroyed.
"We defeated America in Afghanistan, in Iraq and in the rest of the states of Islam, and we are on our way to Jordan," they declared. "If we managed to beat America, we will also beat its heretic supporters."
ISIS members refer to the Jordanian king as "taghut," the instigating Satan, and their clear goal is to remove his regime. The key question is whether the leaders of the kingdom's Bedouin tribes will support Abdullah, who they are not so fond of for many reasons, for example due to his support for the United States.
The ISIS is working to convince them to abandon the king, following its success among the leaders of Iraq's Sunni tribes. The organization's goal is that the Jordanian army will not fight it, just like most of the Iraqi army deserted the battlefield for tribal and communal reasons.
All this means that the trouble is approaching Jordan, which is surrounded by a radical Islamic storm. This is the state which was established by the Brits in a bid to eat into the territories of the promised Jewish state, and the ISIS reiterates that there is no such thing as Jordan and there never was. As far as the organization is concerned, Jordan should be part of the huge Islamic caliphate it seeks to establish in the entire region.
Our border with the Hashemite Kingdom is the longest, and is in fact the only one which is breached. The illusions of "peace" have led many people in Israel to believe that the state of calm from that direction will remain forever, just like the regime there will remain forever. But if we take a look at much stronger countries which have collapsed, we'll understand that Jordan is in trouble.
Just like we are distancing ourselves from the communal fire raging in Syria, we must do the same in regards to what could happen in Jordan. The time to build a massive security fence on the eastern border, like the one with Sinai, was yesterday — but it's not too late. We must start building it from the south and north simultaneously due to the expected threat: Refugees, terror, weapons, Salafis and subversion. Our unshut border with Jordan is now turning into a threat.
This also demonstrates the extent of the existential risk in US Secretary of State John F. I was in Vietnam, you know Kerry Former Senator-for-Life from Massachussetts, self-defined war hero, speaker of French, owner of a lucky hat, conqueror of Cambodia, and current Secretary of State... 's demand that we hand the Jordan Valley over to Arab hands. This means that the ISIS would have quickly reached that area too, and then Judea and Samaria, and then central Israel would have ceased to exist.
In light of the imminent threat, we must do the exact opposite of what the secretary of state demanded: Shut the border with Jordan with a fence in the Jordan Valley as well, set up a series of military Nahal communities and take control of the area as security precautions. Clearly, we must strengthen the settlement there, as well as in the Arava region and Beit Shean Valley.
The Arab Spring has turned out to be a jihadist spring of the Middle Ages, which is removing countries, regimes and borders. We must be prepared.
Posted by: trailing wife ||
06/29/2014 00:00 ||
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Top|| File under: Islamic State of Iraq & the Levant
#3
We need a massive fence, too, on our southern border.
Posted by: Alaska Paul ||
06/29/2014 15:53 Comments ||
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#4
Alaska Paul, I live near the border in Tucson, Az.
It's worse than you think. Hispanic nationalism runs very high here. Many,
(but happily not all) fight assimilation - a dirty word to the 'activists' - and work for a Latino based culture and gov't. I taught in the public schools here for many years, and it is fearful what the students are taught in 'Mexican Studies' classes. Use your imagination...and you'll be spot on. Having said that, I am very happily married to my wonderful Mexican born wife, who abhors the situation as I do.
[Ynet] It's time to deal with Nazi-like propaganda and education systems maintained by Paleostinian Authority.
The arrest of hard boyz released in the Shalit deal somewhat helped Israel regain its place in the family of sane nations, but getting out of the isolation ward entirely requires us to deal with the Nazi-like propaganda and education systems maintained by the ineffectual Mahmoud Abbas ... a graduate of the prestigious unaccredited Patrice Lumumba University in Moscow with a doctorate in Holocaust Denial... in Ramallah, which bear as much responsibility for the kidnapping and murder of Jews as what sent Der Stürmer editor Julius Streicher to the gallows.
After the fall of Nazism, those who sought to restore Germany's humanity began in the kindergarten. They replaced the textbooks, closed the partisan press and outlawed any Nazi book, song, symbol and slogan. To this very day, any expression of solidarity with that regime is considered a criminal offense. No one had a doubt as to the casual relation between systematic education to murder and the murder itself.
The education and propaganda which go together with the Paleostinian terror are a spitting image of the Goebbels doctrine which laid the foundations for the Holocaust, and they are blooming and thriving under Israel's rule. This suicidal policy was led by Defense Minister Moshe Dayan, who targeted the murderers and pampered the inciters.
In Berlin, one couldn't get hold of "Mein Kampf"; in Jerusalem — unrestrictedly. In Nuremberg today, one cannot write that the Jews are an inferior race, while in Ramallah it is obligatory literature to call them "the sons of apes and pigs."
In Germany, an Adolf Hitler ...late Fuehrer of Germany, founder of the Third Reich, currently communing with his pals Himmler and Heydrich. He is reincarnated every few days as a politician somebody doesn't like... Boulevard, a high school named after Heinrich Himmler or a sports competition in memory of Herman Göring are unimaginable.
In the Paleostinian Authority, according to the Paleostinian Media Watch, a child can walk on Abu Jihad Street (named after the criminal mastermind of the bus hijacking which left 37 Israelis killed) on his way to Ahmad Yassin School (named after the founder of Hamas, always the voice of sweet reason,), play soccer as part of a competition in memory of Abdel Basset Uda (who murdered 31) and end his day at a youth club named after Abu Iyad (who was responsible for the murder of Israeli athletes in Munich).
At some point, the left re-linked the casual relation between the inciting word and the criminal act, but only in regards to Jews — when after the Goldstein massacre and the Rabin murder, they began asking what kind of flowerbeds produced these flowers of evil. However, ars longa, vita brevis... until this very day, they won't ask the same question about the thousands of Jewish victims of Arab terrorism.
Had the settlers' radio broadcast something like "the hero prisoner Yigal Amir, who in his patience and strong resistance performed the most respectable acts of heroism," how many minutes would have passed before the police shut down the station and conducted arrests? But these words were broadcast by the Paleostinian television to glorify Nasser Awis, who murdered 14 people, and Israel didn't bat an eyelid.
These nights, the IDF is pulling some of the killers out of their beds, but letting those whose words kill be. Why won't those who educate to murder and preach kidnapping be put on trial in Israel too?
We learned from former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani that the war on heavy crimes begins in being strict about the smallest sins, and in a place where people are punished for littering, the homicide rate drops too. In nationalistic crimes too, there is one sequence leading from worshipping the martyr to a stone, a knife, kidnapping and murder.
Israel is abandoning itself on the diplomatic level too. It is ignoring, for example, the PLO's commitment in the Oslo Accords to act "efficiently and effectively against acts or threats of terrorism, violence or incitement."
Do you think, for example, that the government will refuse to hold negotiation as long as Ramallah fails to remove the names of Jews' killers from its streets and institutions and fails to eliminate the incitement in its education and media?
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
AS THE country went to the polls on June 25th to elect a parliament for only the second time since the fall of Muammar Qaddafi in 2011, you could be forgiven for thinking that Libyans had fallen out of love with democracy. Compared with the inky-fingered celebrations that marked the first elections two years ago, the mood was glum. Only 1.5m people in a population of 6m had registered to vote, compared with 2.8m in 2012. Turnout was only 630,000, according to officials.
Wazoo
[DAWN] Much debate has taken place on the political fallout of the June 23 melodrama at the Islamabad airport for the PML-N government and party, but the police performance on the occasion did not receive any attention, either of the analysts or the government.
