Worth noting, korrespondent.net has compiled its Invasion of Ukraine series into separate months, beginning May 9th, 2023. Linked in the title.
[Korrespondent] 21:25 Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState reports that the Russian army has occupied Ugledar in Donetsk Oblast - Russian publics are publishing tricolors hung in all corners of the city.
20:39 Russians shot 16 Ukrainian prisoners of war in the Pokrovsky direction - an investigation has been launched into another war crime by the Russian army, the Prosecutor General's Office reported. Information about the alleged execution of 16 Ukrainian servicemen appeared in Telegram channels on October 1. According to media reports, the Russian army committed another war crime in the area of the villages of Nikolaevka and Sukhoi Yar in the Pokrovsky district.
The released video shows captured Ukrainian servicemen leaving a forest plantation under enemy control. After they lined up, Russian soldiers deliberately opened fire on them to kill. The wounded, who showed signs of life, were finished off with a burst of machine gun fire at point-blank range. This is the largest known case of the death penalty of Ukrainian prisoners of war on the front line.
20:01 The number of victims as a result of the enemy attack on Zaporizhia has increased to 32 people, 69 apartment buildings and private houses have been damaged and destroyed, reported the head of the OVA Ivan Fedorov.
19:43 Zelensky said that he heard a report from the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate, Kirill Budanov: "About how our intelligence assesses the prospects for this year, Russian intentions, the tasks that the Kremlin sets for its military. We clearly see the main guidelines of what exactly needs to be responded to and how exactly."
19:08 The number of victims as a result of the enemy strike on Zaporizhia has grown to 24, including three children aged between nine and 12 years old, one person died, reported the head of the OVA Ivan Fedorov.
18:12 In occupied Melitopol, near a plant for auto and tractor parts, a VAZ 2110 car exploded, in which there were three Russian servicemen. As reported by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, the operation to eliminate the occupiers involved in the brutal terror of the local population was carried out under the coordination of intelligence by Ukrainian underground fighters, who set up a mine trap.
17:26 New NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has called for not listening to Russia's nuclear threats and said that the allies do not currently see any direct risks of using nuclear weapons. He added that if the world were to make concessions to Putin's threats in general, it would set a dangerous precedent.
Rutte also spoke in favor of allowing Ukraine to strike at Russian territory, but at the same time acknowledged that these should be decisions by individual countries: "Ukraine is waging a war of self-defense. This means that Ukraine has the right to defend itself. And, as we know, under international law, this right does not end at the border. This means supporting Ukraine's right to self-defense. But each ally determines the level of its support for Ukraine. I do not decide this on behalf of the Alliance. The partners decide this."
NATO Secretary General estimated Russia's losses in the war with Ukraine at 500,000 soldiers: "Russian losses are 1,000 killed or wounded soldiers per day. This means that about 500,000 were killed or wounded. This is significant in the context of the continuation of the Russian war."
17:19 Zelensky said that he had heard reports from Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrsky, and Chief of the General Staff Anatoly Bargilevich. They discussed the situation at the front, the need for weapons and equipment, coordination with allies, and preparations for the Rammstein meeting.
17:11 Forced evacuation of families with children has been announced from 90 settlements of Sumy district, the district council reported. Children will be evacuated from Belopolskaya, Vorozhbyanskaya, Krasnopolskaya, Khotynskaya, Yunakovskaya, Miropolskaya, Nikolayevskaya communities.
17:05 Russians shelled Malaya Tokmachka in Zaporizhia Oblast, one person was killed, reported OVA head Ivan Fedorov.
16:56 Half of the ammunition that the Ukrainian Armed Forces use at the front is of Ukrainian production, Shmyhal said. According to the Prime Minister, the production of domestic weapons has tripled in 2023. The missile program is being implemented, and the country is also reaching significant volumes of production of artillery systems and armored vehicles. By the end of the year, Ukraine will produce 1.5 million drones, Shmyhal said.
"We are not only producing drones, but also training personnel to operate them. Today, the government is launching a pilot project to certify UAV operator schools. We are setting clear requirements for these schools and unifying the educational process. It will be easier for trained drone operators to obtain the appropriate military registration specialty," the prime minister added.
15:58 The Foreign Ministry has denied the Financial Times' information about Sybiha allegedly discussing possible territorial concessions in the war with Russia in New York. According to Foreign Ministry spokesman Georgy Tykhy, "there were no proposals, discussions or even hints about any territorial compromises at any meeting." On the contrary, according to him, the minister's position is unwavering: "There can be no compromises on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. The information from the Financial Times' source about the minister discussing compromises is simply untrue. And we wonder who is interested in spreading such false narratives."
15:21 The Financial Times reports, citing sources, that Biden may advance the status of Ukraine's bid for NATO membership before he leaves office as US President, while Ukraine is now speaking more openly about possible compromises. Thus, Ukrainian officials are discussing a possible ceasefire with their Western counterparts - even if Russian troops remain in the occupied territories. The changes in rhetoric became noticeable at the UN General Assembly meeting in New York. Western diplomats called newly appointed Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiga "more pragmatic" than Kuleba on the issue of compromises.
15:09 The government has issued a decree allowing military units to mobilize reservists and conscripts who voluntarily wish to serve during mobilization. In particular, military unit commanders are authorized to issue orders for military training and staff combat units with volunteers. Conscripts and reservists-volunteers can also choose a military unit without contacting the TCC. The list of such military units will be determined by the General Staff.
14:52 In Zaporozhye, the number of victims as a result of today's Russian attack has risen to 21, including a 12-year-old child, one person died, said the head of the OVA Ivan Fedorov.
14:37 One of the people wounded in the Russian attack on Izmail in Odessa Oblast on September 27 has died in hospital, OVA chief Oleg Kiper reported. The attack has brought the total to four victims and ten wounded.
14:12 The advantage of Russian troops in artillery shells on the battlefield has decreased almost threefold since the winter of 2024, said First Deputy Defense Minister Ivan Gavrilyuk: "Today, the ratio of the use of artillery ammunition on the battlefield has decreased compared to the winter of 2024. Then the ratio was 1:8, today it is 1:3."
13:26 Russians attacked Zaporizhia with aerial bombs - one dead and six wounded, reported OVA head Ivan Fedorov. Multi-story and private houses, infrastructure facilities were damaged.
13:13 Die Zeit writes that Scholz plans to speak with Putin on the phone for the first time in two and a half years.
12:59 In the morning, Russians dropped four guided aerial bombs on civilian infrastructure in the Esman community of the Shostka district of the Sumy region: one person was killed, two were wounded, the prosecutor's office reported.
12:52 Russia is preparing for a long-term confrontation with the United States, said Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov. According to him, Moscow is sending Washington "all the necessary warnings so that it does not underestimate Russia's readiness for confrontation."
11:40 There are still 107 people left in Ugledar, Donetsk region, all children have already been evacuated from the city, said the head of the OVA Vadim Filashkin. He confirmed that the fighting is taking place within the city limits, so it is practically impossible to bring in humanitarian aid.
11:33 Zaporizhzhya NPP is again on the verge of a blackout: as a result of a Russian attack on a main substation, one of the power lines of the occupied station was de-energized, the Ministry of Energy reported. Power engineers are currently working to eliminate the consequences of the enemy shelling.
11:24 The new NATO Secretary General, former Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, promised that aid to Ukraine would remain a priority for the Alliance: "We will continue to implement priorities. In particular, those concerning Ukraine. We must ensure that Ukraine wins as a sovereign, independent, democratic state." Rutte added that NATO should increase spending on deterrence and defense, and Ukraine, in his words, "must have a place" in the Alliance.
10:46 As a result of today's Russian attack on a market in the center of Kherson, six people were killed and six were wounded, reported the head of the GVA Roman Mrochko.
09:49 In the Kherson region, 18 people were wounded as a result of Russian shelling over the past day, OVA reported. This morning, the Russians struck the central part of Kherson, there are dead and wounded, the information is being clarified.
09:41 On the evening of September 30, Russians fired an FPV drone at a car in the village of Ivashki, Bogodukhov district, Kharkiv region - four people were injured, including a 17-year-old teenager, said the head of the OVA Oleg Sinegubov. In addition, in Kupyansk, as a result of FPV drone attacks, one person was killed and two were injured.
09:15 Viktor Orban has once again taken up peacekeeping activities. Now the Hungarian prime minister is trying to organize a peace summit, to which Ukraine and Russia are supposedly to be invited. According to media reports, this summit is to be a continuation of Orban's "peacekeeping mission." Read more in the article The Comeback of a Peacemaker.
08:52 Air defense destroyed 29 of 32 Shahed-type attack UAVs at night, the Air Force reported. Three more enemy drones were lost in location. The drones were shot down in Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Poltava, Sumy and Dnipropetrovsk regions.
08:19 In Donetsk Oblast, two people were killed as a result of Russian shelling on September 30 - in Mirnohrad and Seversk. Three more people in the region were injured in the past 24 hours, reported OVA head Vadim Filashkin.
07:54 The General Staff announced the estimated losses of the Russian Federation as of the morning of October 1:
personnel - about 654,430 (+1,370) people,
tanks - 8883 (+9),
combat armored vehicles - 17,547 (+44),
artillery systems - 18,855 (+33),
MLRS - 1204 (+0),
air defense systems - 963 (+0),
aircraft - 369 (+0),
helicopters - 328 (+0),
Operational-tactical level UAVs - 16,322 (+98),
cruise missiles - 2613 (+3),
ships/boats - 28 (+0),
submarines - 1 (+0),
automotive equipment and tank trucks - 25,621 (+73),
special equipment - 3314 (+1).
05:23 The US Department of Defense announced that it had allocated $6.9 billion to Boeing to produce small-caliber bombs for Ukraine, Bulgaria, and Japan. Work under the contract is scheduled to be completed by December 31, 2035.
00:36 Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState reports that the Russian army entered Vuhledar from the west and south. Russian military publics publish videos of shelling of the central part of the city, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to defend themselves, as well as the movement of their infantry in the city and inside multi-story buildings. In the western part of the city, the Russians hung out tricolors.
00:17 Ukraine can make its own decisions about strikes with its own weapons on targets in the Russian Federation. In addition, the United States does not prohibit the use of American-made weapons in Russia's border regions, said State Department spokesman Matthew Miller. "Ukraine does not need our permission to carry out retaliatory strikes on Russian targets. It is a sovereign country, and they can use the weapons they have created themselves, and there are a lot of them," he noted. According to Miller, "Ukraine has great potential to defend itself."
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] The Ukrainian Armed Forces are causing damage to the Russian army.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are in control of the situation and are exhausting the enemy along the entire line of combat engagement and in the rear.
Since the beginning of the current day, 74 combat clashes have occurred on the front. Russian invaders are actively operating in the Pokrovsky, Kurakhovsky, Kupyansky and Limansky directions. This was reported by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in an operational summary as of 16:00 on Tuesday, October 1.
Thus, in the Kharkov direction, there were two enemy attacks in the areas of Volchansk and Staritsa. Fighting is currently ongoing there.
In the Kupyansk direction, the enemy has been trying to advance towards the Ukrainian Armed Forces positions in the areas of 10 settlements throughout the day. Nine enemy attacks are ongoing near Sinkovka, Novoosinove, Kurelovka, Novoselovka, Kolesnikovka and Stelmakhovka. A total of 17 combat clashes have been recorded in the direction.
In the Liman direction, the aggressor has increased the number of attacks to 10. Fighting is taking place near Grekovka, Nevsky, Novosadovo and in the Serebryansky forest.
In the Kramatorsk direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to repel attacks near Chasy Yar and Grigoryevka. The offensive in the direction of Stupochki has already been repelled.
In the Toretsk direction, seven assaults took place in the areas of Toretsk and Shcherbinovka. Two combat clashes are still ongoing.
In the Pokrovsky direction, battles of varying intensity have begun 14 times. They are still ongoing in two locations in the Lisovka and Selidovo areas.
Fighting continues in the Kurakhovsky direction. Near Tsukurino, Gornyak, Georgievka, Konstantinovka and Katerinovka, 17 clashes occurred during the day. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are currently repelling five assaults.
In the Orekhov direction, the enemy unsuccessfully attacked three times in the area of Malye Shcherbaki and Novodanilovka.
"In other areas, there have been no significant changes in the situation. Ukrainian troops are in control of the situation and are exhausting the enemy along the entire line of combat engagement and in the rear," the statement said.
Let us recall that in the course of 24 hours on September 30, Russia lost about 1,400 soldiers killed and wounded at the front. The total number of losses of the aggressor country is approaching 660 thousand.
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[EngMilRu] The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
In Liptsy and Volchansk directions, the Sever Group of Forces inflicted losses on formations of the 57th Motorised Infantry Brigade of the AFU, 36th Naval Infantry Brigade, and 113th Territorial Defence Brigade near Liptsy, Volchansk, and Volchanskye Khutora (Kharkov region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 95 troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, and three motor vehicles. One field ammunition depot was destroyed.
The Zapad Group of Forces liberated Vishnevoye (Kharkov region).
Moreover, Russian units inflicted damage on manpower and materiel 4th, 53rd, 60th Mechanised brigades, 4th Tank Brigade, and 117th Territorial Defence Brigade near Stavki, Yampol (Donetsk People's Republic), Lozovaya (Kharkov region), and Nevskoye (Lugansk People's Republic).
Two counter-attacks launched by assault groups of 14th and 116th Mechanised brigades of the AFU were repelled. The AFU losses amounted to up to 410 troops, five motor vehicles, a U.S.-made 155mm M-777 howitzer, a UK-made 155mm FH-70 howitzer, two 122mm D-30 howitzers, two U.S.-made 105mm M-119 guns, and an Anklav-N electronic warfare station. Two ammunition depots were wiped out.
The Yug Group of Forces took more advantageous lines and hit formations of 24th, 58th, 72nd Mechanised brigades, 56th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 143rd Infantry Brigade of the AFU, and 119th Territorial Defence Brigade near Razliv, Konstantinovka, Fyodorovka, Zaliznyanskoye, and Mayskoye of the Donetsk People's Republic.
One counterattack launched by a unit of the 5th Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was repelled. The AFU losses amounted to up to 900 troops, five motor vehicles, U.S.-made 155mm M-777 and M-198 howitzers, a 152mm 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, a 152mm D-20 gun, a 122mm D-30 howitzer, and a UK-made 105mm L-119 howitzer. One ammunition depot was wiped out.
The Tsentr Group of Forces liberated Krutoy Yar of the Donetsk People's Republic.
Moreover, the Group's units damaged manpower and materiel of 47th, 151st Mechanised brigades, 95th Air Assault Brigade, 68th Jaeger Brigades, 109th, 116th, 119th Territorial Defence brigades, 12th and 15th National Guard Brigades near Selidovo, Dzerzhinsk, Nikolayevka, Lysovka, Sukhaya Balka, Druzhba, and Shevchenko (Donetsk People's Republic).
Nine counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 28th, 47th, 150th, 151st, 154th Mechanised brigades and 25th Airborne Brigade of the AFU were repelled. The AFU losses amounted to up to 635 troops, a U.S.-made M-113 armoured personnel carrier, three armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, a 152mm Msta-B howitzer, three 152mm D-20 guns, and two 122mm D-30 howitzers.
The Vostok Group of Forces improved the tactical situation and delivered strikes at manpower and hardware of the AFU 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 127th Territorial Defence Brigade near Dobrovolye, Zolotaya Niva, and Rovnopol of the Donetsk People's Republic.
Two counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU were repelled. The enemy lost up to 125 troops, a tank, an infantry fighting vehicle, six motor vehicles, a Polish-made 155mm Krab self-propelled artillery system, and a 122mm D-30 howitzer. Two ammunition depots were wiped out.
The Dnepr Group of Forces inflicted losses on formations of the 35th Naval Infantry Brigade, 39th Coastal Defence Brigade, and 124th Territorial Defence Brigade near Malaya Tokmachka (Zaporozhye region), Antonovka (Kherson region), and Kherson.
The AFU losses amounted to up to 60 troops, three motor vehicles, and an Anklav-N electronic warfare station. Three AFU field ammunition depots were destroyed.
Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, and Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces engaged AFU manpower and hardware clusters in 128 areas.
Air defence units shot down three U.S.-made ATACMS tactical missiles, three U.S.-made HIMARS rockets, and 31 Ukrainian fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles.
In total, since the beginning of the special military operation, 646 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 32,558 unmanned aerial vehicles, 579 anti-aircraft missile systems, 18,468 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,469 MLRS combat vehicles, 15,450 field artillery guns and mortars, and 26,765 units of support military vehicles have been neutralised.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the operation to neutralise an enemy group, which broke into the territory of Kursk region.
The Sever Group of Forces continues offensive and damaged formations of the 21st, 22nd, and 115th Mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 82nd and 95th Airborne Assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 1st National Guard Brigade, the 36th Naval Infantry Brigade, as well as the 129th Territorial Defence Brigade near Lyubimovka, Novy Put, Nikolayevo-Daryino, and Plekhovo.
Over the past 24 hours, the Sever Group of Forces repelled two enemy's counter-attacks towards Plekhovo.
The AFU lost up to 20 people killed and wounded and a motor vehicle.
With the support of Army Aviation and artillery fire, two AFU attempts to break through the border of the Russian Federation in the direction of Novy Put were foiled.
The enemy's losses are about 25 troops killed and wounded, an armoured fighting vehicle, and three motor vehicles. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.
Army Aviation and artillery strikes inflicted losses on manpower and hardware clusters of the 21st, 22nd, 41st, 61st Mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 80th and 95th Air Assault brigades, the 1st and 17th National Guard brigades, 36th Naval Infantry Brigade, as well as 103rd, 112th, 116th, and 129th Territorial Defence brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Bogdanovka, Guyevo, Daryino, Zeleny Shlyakh, Lyubimovka, Malaya Loknya, Martynovka, Mirny, Novy Put, Orlovka, Plekhovo, Pravda, Russkoye Porechnoye, Tolsty Lug, Cherkasskaya Konopelka, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Yuzhny.
Operational-Tactical Aviation and Missile Troops have inflicted fire damage in Sumy region on concentration areas and reserves of the 21st, 41st, 47th, and 115th Mechanised brigades, 95th Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 1st National Guard Brigade, as well as the 101st, 103rd Territorial Defence brigades near Belovody, Bruski, Budivilnoye, Glukhov, Klevan, Kucherovka, Mirlogi, Obody, Pavlovka, Rechki, Studenok, Yastrebshchina.
The AFU losses amounted to more than 340 troops, five armoured vehicles, including two tanks and three armoured fighting vehicles, as well as five artillery guns, and seven motor vehicles. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.
Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost more than 19,250 troops, 135 tanks, 65 infantry fighting vehicles, 98 armoured personnel carriers, 859 armoured fighting vehicles, 569 motor vehicles, 155 artillery guns, 33 MLRS launchers, including eight of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, nine SAM launchers, five transport-loading vehicles, 38 electronic warfare stations and nine counter-battery radars, three air defence radars, 19 engineering and other vehicles, including 11 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, and two armoured recovery vehicles.
The operation to neutralise the AFU units is in progress.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[NewsFront] 21:35 Telegram channel «Fisherman»:
Pokrovsk-Kurakhovskoye direction: offensive on Selidovo and successes of the Russian Armed Forces in the Tsukurino area.
– Russian troops are working to liberate territories of the Donetsk People's Republic on a section of the front with a total length of more than 80 kilometers. The most significant advances are recorded both on the northern flanks and southeast of Kurakhovo.
– West of Novotoretske, the Russian Armed Forces' assault aircraft pushed the enemy to the right bank of the Kazeny Torets River, and in the Grodovka area they broke through the Ukrainian Armed Forces' defense, taking two large strongholds. Now the Russian army has an open path to Moskovskoe and Mirnograd located beyond it.
– Further south, during the fighting on the Nikolaevka-Sukhoi Yar line, units of the Russian Armed Forces advanced west of the Novogrodovskaya mine, gaining a foothold in the forest belt on the approaches to Lysovka.
According to some reports, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have also lost control over the Novogrodovskaya mine No. 2 waste heap, but this information has not yet been confirmed by objective control personnel.
– West of Marinovka, an armored group of Russian troops attacked Ukrainian formations along the M-30 highway at the northern entrance to Selidovo. And on the southern outskirts of the city, paratroopers of the Russian Armed Forces landed near the city hospital, where they had previously failed to gain a foothold.
- At the same time, Russian troops have started fighting on the southern outskirts of Tsukurino and in the area of the St. Basil the Great mine. At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces are driving the enemy out of the forest belts along the railway, advancing from the Selidovskaya mine and launching attacks from the direction of Ukrainsk.
– To the south, the Russian Armed Forces have driven the Ukrainian Armed Forces from their positions between Ostroy and neighboring Maksimilyanovka, creating the preconditions for reaching the northern outskirts of the latter. At the same time, strikes continue against the few Ukrainian Armed Forces groups remaining in Ostroy, and unmanned aircraft are systematically destroying enemy equipment and infrastructure facilities in the Kurakhovo area.
– The situation in the fields to the west of Nevel'skoye has become somewhat clearer, from where no reports or footage had been received for a long time. And the published statements by certain media outlets about the occupation of this area by the Russian Armed Forces fighters caused a certain skepticism, especially against the backdrop of the repeated “liberation on the Internet” of the settlement.
– Nevertheless, in light of the incoming information about the advance of Russian troops in the lowland near Zhelanny Pervy and the Btory of the same name, we can talk about the long-awaited occupation of the fields to the west of Nevelskoye, although with the assumption of a focal presence of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
20:50 Chronology changes in the LBS and the liberation of territory by the VOSTOK group in the Ugledar direction from September 1 to September 30, 2024.
During this period, the Far Eastern units actively advanced in the Prechistovka area and towards Zolotaya Niva, broke through the enemy's defenses in the Vodyanoye area and then entered the territory of Yuzhnodonbasskaya mines No. 1 and No. 3.
Units of the Russian 68th Army Corps advanced in the direction of Katerinovka. Later, units of the 29th and 36th armies and the marines quickly broke through to the north and began to encircle Ugledar.
20:43 Krasnoarmeysk - Nikolaevka.
Military operationsin the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Claimed as a clearing of the Ukrainian Armed Forces position by an assault group of the Russian Armed Forces in the vicinity of Nikolaevka. The Russian Armed Forces advanced more than one km towards Krasnoarmeysk and took up new positions north of the Zhuravka River.
19:44 Around 18.30 Moscow time stopped another attempt by the Kyiv regime to carry out a terrorist attack using aircraft-type UAVs against targets on the territory of the Russian Federation.
A Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicle was destroyed by air defense systems on duty over the territory of the Belgorod region.
19:19 Special military operation. Situation as of October 1 –map.
18:48 Buk-M2 SAM systems crews reliably cover the skies in the Kherson direction –video.
Anti-aircraft gunners of the Dnepr group of forces continue to fight reconnaissance UAVs, ballistic missiles and attack drones of the enemy. This time, the Buk-M2 crew shot down two rockets fired from the M142 HIMARS MLRS.
18:12 Svatovo – Makeyevka.
Positional military actions in the Svatovo area. Assault units of the Russian Armed Forces were able to advance 400 meters in Makeyevka and take up a new position on the slope in the direction of height 168.6. The forward position of the Russian Armed Forces west of Makeyevka under fire from the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Panorama of the western bank of the Zherebets River in the Makeyevka area.
17:44 Russian military struck a building in the village of Velyka Oleksandrivka in the Kherson region using an Iskander missile, where a meeting of the leadership of the 37th Marine Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was taking place.
Up to 60 command personnel, three minibuses and 12 cars were destroyed, the Ministry of Defense reported.
17:01 Telegram channel «Fisherman»:
South Donetsk direction: liberation of Ugledar, advance of the Russian Armed Forces to Katerinovka.
– The Russian army has liberated Ugledar, as evidenced by the mass appearance of footage of Russian Armed Forces soldiers on the roofs of multi-story buildings and administration buildings with Russian flags and the Victory banner.
– Flags are already flying at the addresses Molodezhnaya 9 and 10, and on the garage cooperative on the western outskirts of the city on Molodezhnaya 16 – a marines’ vest. In the east and in the center, the banners have been raised on houses 19, 23 and 25 on 13 Desantnikov Street. In the center, the administration buildings and the multi-story building on Trifonova 26 are occupied.
- At the same time, scattered enemy groups may remain in the city, the mop up has not yet been completed. In addition, there are several places in the city where the local population is hiding, they still need to be removed.
- This is not the only area where the advance of the Russian Armed Forces is recorded. On the Katerinovka-Konstantinovka line, Russian attack aircraft advanced north of the Solyonenkaya gully, taking several forest belts, and, in fact, reaching the outskirts of Katerinovka.
16:48 Novomikhaylovka – Konstantinovka.
Active military actions in the Novomikhaylovka area. Attack of the Russian Armed Forces by an armored column south of Konstantinovka along the Ugledar-Konstantinovka highway. Overcoming minefields. Expansion of the Russian Armed Forces control zone west of Novomikhaylovka to 400 meters.
16:29 Su-35S pilots carried out a scheduled patrol in the border areas of the Kursk region –video.
During the performance of combat missions, the crews of the Su-35S multi-role fighters practiced patrolling in a designated area and providing cover for the actions of bomber and attack aircraft, as well as army aviation helicopters, when carrying out air strikes on military facilities and equipment of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
15:57 Statements by representatives of the North, West, South, Center, East and Dnepr groups on the progress of the special military operation (as of October 1, 2024) –video.
15:31 Sumy region.
District settlement Konotop –reportedon arrival at the location of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (location of enemy equipment).
14:10 Krutoy Yar.
Assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces with the support of aviation and armored vehiclesreleasedthe settlement of Krutoy Yar and move on.
13:07 Ugledar.
Consequences of military operations in Ugledar. Servicemen of the RF Armed Forces are installing flags in various parts of the city, confirming the confident control of Ugledar by the RF Armed Forces. Flag parade.
12:02 Around 11:00 Moscow time stopped another attempt by the Kyiv regime to carry out a terrorist attack using an aircraft-type UAV against targets on the territory of the Russian Federation.
Two Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed over the territory of the Belgorod region by air defense systems on duty.
11:44 Krivoy Rog.
A single powerful explosion thundered at a military industrial enterprise in the suburbs of Krivoy Rog. The strike was carried out by our Iskander OTRK missile.
10:38 Ugledar.
RF Armed Forces strengthen control over the eastern and western outskirts of the city. The enemy continues to maintain a presence in the central part of the city, relying on high-rise buildings. The exit from the city to the north through the plantings is not cut off, but is under fire control; small enemy groups continue to suffer losses when attempting to leave Ugledar.
The rapid collapse of positions on the western outskirts of the city indicates that the organized defense of Ugledar is in the process of disintegrating into focal points of resistance.
10:18 Dzerzhinsk – Nakhalovka.
Positional military actions in the Gorlovka area. The forward position of the Russian Armed Forces in the residential area of Dzerzhinsk came under fire from the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian Armed Forces expanded the control zone in the direction of the Tsentralnaya mine to 200 meters along Tsentralnaya Street.
09:49 During the past night stopped a number of attempts by the Kyiv regime to carry out terrorist attacks using aircraft-type UAVs against targets on the territory of the Russian Federation.
Eight Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed over the territory of the Belgorod region by air defense systems on duty.
09:14 Crews of 152mm towed guns "Giatsint-B" of the "North" group of forces destroy armored vehicles, fire weapons and concentrations of manpower of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the border area of the Kursk region -video.
Artillerymen use high-explosive fragmentation ammunition. Fire damage is carried out at a distance of several tens of kilometers.
08:53 Frontline summary as of the morning of 01.10.2024
- Zaporizhzhya Front. No significant changes. The battles are mainly positional in nature. Long-range weapons are actively working on both sides.
– Donetsk Front. Here the main attention is focused on the assault on Vuhledar, where Russian troops were able to enter from another direction – the western one. The central part of the city, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces hold positions, continues to be hit by long-range strikes.
Also, it is reported that the Russian Armed Forces are advancing from Vodyane towards the settlement of Bogoyavlenka. However, information about the Ukrainian Armed Forces leaving Ugledar along the remaining escape routes has been coming in for several days, however, the units remaining in the city continue to put up fierce resistance to the advancing Russian troops.
Selidovo also risks being caught in a pincer movement, the Russian Armed Forces continue to develop their offensive from the north and south, trying to cut off Ukrainian logistics by taking the highways leading to the city under fire control.
- Chasovoyarsk direction. No significant changes. The combat activity in the direction has decreased, but Russian troops are not giving up their attempts to improve their positions on the flanks.
- Khar'kov Front. No major changes in the LBS. Fighting continues in Volchansk and in the area of Glubokoe. The Russian Aerospace Forces continue to strike the territory of the Aggregate Plant in Volchansk, which indicates that the presence of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on its territory is still maintained.
- Kursk Region. There are reports that the Russian Armed Forces have restored control over a section of the border in the Plekhovo-Borki area.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to attempt to advance in the area of the village of Vesyoloye, Glushkovsky District, but they have not achieved any tangible results. There are reports of another batch of Ukrainian armored vehicles being destroyed in this area.
08:10 Telegram channel «Fisherman»:
Chronicle of a special military operation for September 30, 2024.
– Russian troops attacked a train carrying ammunition in Kazaryanka, Nikolaev region, as a result of which the transported ammunition detonated, and traffic on this section has been blocked to this day.– In the Kursk direction, Russian troops carried out a counterattack with an armored group in the direction of Plekhovo, fighting continues near Vesyoloye
– In the Aleksandro-Kalinovsky direction, fighting is taking place in the area of Druzhby Street not far from the center of Dzerzhinsk.
– In the Pokrovsky direction, an armored group of the Russian Armed Forces attacked enemy positions west of Marinovka at the northern entrance to Selidovo.
– In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops have consolidated their positions on the southern outskirts of Tsukurino and have also expanded their zone of control to the north of the village.
– In the South Donetsk direction, Russian troops entered Ugledar from the west, gaining a foothold in the northwest in several high-rise buildings and on the territory of a health resort in the south.
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin is in italics. Ugledar is liberated!
[ColonelCassad] The remnants of the enemy forces have retreated to the north. The city is still being cleared. Our flags have appeared in the central part of the city.
The liberation of Ugledar is an important operational success of Russian troops and one of the main victories in the 2024 campaign. Remember today those who fell in the battles for the city, which lasted almost 2.5 years.
Peace to the ashes of the dead and glory to the liberators of Ugledar!
According to the authors of the article, the Russian army surrounded the city from three sides, cutting off the Ukrainian militants' escape routes and striking any armored vehicles that the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers try to use to escape from Ugledar.
“Hundreds of Ukrainian fighters could be trapped [in Ugledar] as Russian forces complete the encirclement of the city and advance,” the publication says.
As reported by the Regnum news agency, the Voennoye Delo Telegram channel reported earlier that the Russian Armed Forces had installed the Russian flag in the central part of Ugledar. Russian state flags are also now flying on several buildings in the northwest.
On the same day, Vladimir Rogov, Chairman of the Commission on Sovereignty, Patriotic Projects and Support for Veterans of the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation, said that Russian troops had already liberated the southern, western and eastern parts of Ugledar from Ukrainian formations. According to him, the city often sees "chaotic flight" of Ukrainian fighters.
On September 30, Sergeant of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Stanislav Bunyatov, citing a Ukrainian fighter remaining in Ugledar as part of the 72nd Brigade, wrote that the roads out of the city are littered with the bodies of Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters who tried to escape from it. He specified that the Ukrainian military loses from four to six fighters during such attempts.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on October 1 that Russian President Vladimir Putin is receiving direct information on the situation in Ugledar. The Russian leader's press secretary noted that the entire country is following the successes of the Russian military in this area.
“The city is located at a height, and, in addition to the reconnaissance drones constantly hanging in the sky, there were and are still stationary cameras hanging in high-rise buildings,” he noted in an interview with RIA Novosti.
He stressed that the Ukrainian Armed Forces' superiority in unmanned aircraft complicated both offensive operations and logistics and rotation of units.
According to him, the situation has changed dramatically over the past few weeks thanks to the coordinated work of all units and branches of the Russian military. Today, units of the Russian Armed Forces are trying to gain a foothold on the outskirts of Ugledar, the military man added.
As reported by the Regnum news agency, on September 25, the head of the DPR Denis Pushilin reported that the Russian Armed Forces had entered the territory of Ugledar, and that military operations were taking place within the city limits. Later, Russian security agencies reported that the Russian Armed Forces had blocked the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in Ugledar, taking the only remaining road from the settlement under fire control. It was noted that Russian troops were continuing to tighten the pincers around the city.
On September 30, the chairman of the commission of the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation on sovereignty issues, co-chairman of the coordinating council for the integration of new regions, Vladimir Rogov, stated that units of the Russian Armed Forces had advanced to the center of Ugledar and expanded the zone of control in several parts of the city.
According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, units of the South and Center military groups liberated Grigorovka, the village of Ostroe, Ukrainsk, and Marinovka in the Donetsk People's Republic during the week from September 21 to 27.
[RT] The president has cleared up any ambiguity about how Moscow will respond to any new threats in its backyard
On September 26, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced updates to the Foundations of State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Area of Nuclear Deterrence. The revised document implies that under certain conditions, Moscow may consider a proxy war against itself as justification for using nuclear weapons.
SALAMI TACTICS
Traditional nuclear deterrence doctrines date back to the Cold War and were developed with major world powers and military alliances in mind. The underlying assumption is that large states are unlikely to attack a nuclear power, since they risk facing a massive retaliatory strike.
However, the conflict in Ukraine has created a new and unprecedented reality: The West is waging war against Russia through a proxy state that shows little regard for its own self-preservation. At least under the grip of its current leadership.
Kiev actively attacks Russia’s historic territories. Incidents that have happened “for the first time since World War Two” are regularly reported in the news: e.g., a regional center being shelled in Russia, military facilities attacked in Volga Region or in the Kuban, or German-made tanks crossing into Kursk Region.
There have also been rumors of attacks on sites of Russia’s strategic nuclear forces. Such aggression is officially recognized as triggers for a nuclear response. Whether or not these rumors are true, this behavior is perfectly in line with the logic of Kiev and its Western sponsors. The goal is to use isolated drone strikes conducted by a proxy force to undermine Russia’s nuclear doctrine – or, speaking in IT terms, to hack it by means of a ‘zero-day exploit’.
After all, would Putin really start a nuclear war over one drone crashing near a strategic bomber base? What about two drones? Or ten? Or perhaps a couple of drones combined with a Western-made cruise missile?
This exemplifies classic ‘salami slicing tactics’: gradually pressuring the opponent, forcing them to change their strategic position without providing sufficient grounds for the opponent to deploy their primary (in Russia’s case – nuclear) forces.
STAYING BEHIND THE LINES
The only real red line between Russia and the West – and specifically, between Moscow and Washington – is something that would force one side to dramatically escalate the conflict.
Both the Kremlin and the White House are currently adhering to the so-called limited war strategy. Why? Because Russia can’t afford to shoot itself in the head because of Ukraine, and in a similar way, the West doesn’t want to blow itself up because of Russia. Any dramatic escalation could result in such an outcome, making the situation unpredictable even without the use of nuclear weapons.
Neither Russia nor the US desires an escalation in the conflict. Rather, both are aiming to keep it within its current boundaries. It’s like in the fable about the snake and the turtle: if one side makes a sudden move, the other is forced to respond, which could lead to dire consequences. For Russia, an escalation means mobilizing all resources, a situation that is fraught with peril for the nation. For the West, escalation means directly intervening, with no guarantee of success and a high risk of heavy losses or even a nuclear exchange.
For now, Russia has imposed a war of attrition on its adversary. Clearly, the Kremlin believes that this strategy has a better chance of working out
The US seems to understand this and wants to disrupt the Kremlin’s plan by increasing the costs but keeping everything within its present boundaries. This is why it resorts to so-called salami tactics.
Some experts believe that the ban on long-range missile strikes deep into Russian territory is the only real agreement that exists between Putin and [US President Joe] Biden. It’s not that such strikes would significantly change things, but this serves as a benchmark, a point of reference that is more or less understandable to both sides.
If you try to destroy us by means of a proxy force, we will destroy both the proxy and you
However, changes are about to happen in the White House. If the aforementioned agreements indeed exist, the Kremlin cannot be certain that the next administration will adhere to them.
This is why Russia needed to send a clear signal to the West (and to the whole world) about the current situation and how Russia will respond to various actions taken by the West.
Firstly, Moscow will not consider using nuclear weapons as long as it maintains the military initiative. Thus the likelihood of using nuclear weapons depends on its military success: if victory isn’t possible by conventional means, a nuclear strike becomes an option.
Secondly, because of this, Russia’s primary opponent (the US) cannot wage war against Russia directly and cannot arm the proxy state to such an extent as would change the course of the conflict. Therefore, the US must stay on the sidelines, watching as its proxy gradually loses the war. In this regard, nuclear deterrence is currently effective against the US and the West, at least until the administration in Washington changes. Putin’s new doctrine serves as a message and a warning to Biden’s successor.
Thirdly, the proxy state (Ukraine) is trying to find Russia’s weak spots and inflict a painful blow. As the situation on the front worsens for the Ukrainian forces, they may resort to more desperate measures, such as launching attacks on strategic missile deployment sites. These actions could potentially be effective. Will this provoke a nuclear response from Russia? Almost certainly not. The Kremlin is not considering a nuclear attack on Ukraine.
Why not? Because Ukraine does not pose a significant enough threat to justify starting a nuclear war. Russia can handle Ukraine through conventional means of warfare. And even though some incidents may be quite painful, they don’t change this reality.
Overall, Putin’s doctrine can be summarized as follows:
Fight weaker opponents with conventional forces and use nuclear deterrence to prevent major powers from intervening in ways that could turn these weaker opponents into serious threats.
Or, put simply: Russia will ensure its security as it sees fit, using the nuclear shield to deter anyone who might try to interfere.
Meanwhile, Ukraine serves as a vivid example of the fate that will befall any nation that wages war against Russia: it will be devastated, its industry and infrastructure will be destroyed, and it will suffer a demographic and economic collapse; as for the West, it will offer empty words of support, but in practice will push its proxy into the abyss.
One of the outcomes of Russia’s military operation should be a growing awareness among neighboring countries that looking for a fight with Moscow is a bad idea, and that NATO won’t be able to protect them.
Furthermore, the West must recognize that by inciting Russia’s neighbors to wage war against it, it risks prompting a nuclear war.
That is an approach James Monroe would certainly have approved of.
#2
While Iran's attack on Israel was on-going the Russian PM was in Iran to deal to open pipelines or trains to ship Russian Oil to India who resells it to the EU to get around the embargo.
I wonder if Russia will try to extend their Monroe like doctrine to protect Iran. The US, Israel, Saudi and others would not agree to that.
[RT] Kiev has reportedly altered its MiG-29 fighters specifically to deploy the GBU-39B Small Diameter Bomb
The US Department of Defense has signed a major deal with Boeing for the supply of Small Diameter Bombs (SDB). The $6.9-billion contract will include deliveries for “foreign military sales” to Ukraine, Japan and Bulgaria, it said in a statement.
The small-diameter ‘Increment One’ bombs, also known as GBU-39B, will be manufactured at Boeing’s plant at St Louis, Missouri, with the contract due to be completed by December 2035. The announcement was made along with a raft of new Pentagon deals totaling over $33 billion.
In service since 2006, the 113-kilogram (approximately 250lbs), precision-guided glide bombs can arm several types of aircraft, with future integration planned for unmanned air systems. The munitions are designed to attack fixed and stationary targets, such as fuel depots and bunkers.
Ukraine has received GBU-39B Small Diameter Bombs from Washington in the past. According to various reports, Kiev has modified its MiG-29 fighters to be able to carry eight of the weapons.
Israel, Saudi Arabia, South Korea and Australia, among others, have previously purchased SDBs from the US.
Last week, US President Joe Biden announced another $8 billion in military aid for Ukraine during Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky’s visit to Washington to promote his so-called ‘victory plan.’
The Zelensky plan was met with a “tepid reception,” according to the Wall Street Journal, which reported on Monday that the Ukrainian leader was unable to convince his American backers to agree to his primary request and allow Kiev to use US weapons to strike targets deep inside Russia.
While the US has continued to provide billions in military support for Kiev, the Biden administration is still “wary of making moves that Moscow could perceive as escalation,” the WSJ said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly said that the West’s supply of weapons to Ukraine only prolongs the conflict and will not change its ultimate outcome.
Last week, Putin proposed a change to the national nuclear doctrine to stipulate that “aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state, but with the participation or support of a nuclear state” will be regarded as a “joint attack” and therefore cross the nuclear threshold.
The implication is that this change would apply to a possible Ukrainian attack on Russian soil with weapons supplied by the US, Britain or France.
#3
It's good news for Russia, the muntions will arrive late, and likely not fit.
Contract to be completed Dec 2035?!
So I'm guessing peace is not in the cards.
Posted by: ed in texas ||
10/02/2024 10:55 Comments ||
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A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
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Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
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Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
