Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Malek Dudakov
[REGNUM] The US presidential race continues to center around the figure of Donald Trump. He attracts much more attention than Joe Biden. The American public is discussing either Trump's legal wars or his extravagant campaign promises. Be it a promise to immediately deport 20 million migrants from the United States or declare war on drug cartels in Mexico.
He won’t have to deport them all any more than he did last time, when they felt so unwelcome that they self-deported.
Trump is now actively working with major donors - from Wall Street financial tycoons to oil tycoons - asking them for tens and hundreds of millions of dollars for his campaign. Sponsors need to be lured with something - and for their sake, the ex-president often says things that he would never say in public.
Recently, the eccentric billionaire has twice caused scandals after his rounds of communication with US business elites. First, he promised to expel foreign students from America who participate in pro-Palestinian protests.
Good.
Although Trump does not publicly allow himself to make such statements - he only vaguely promises to reconcile everyone in the Middle East.
Well, the second concerns Ukraine. Here, Donald has long liked to claim that a full-scale conflict would not have happened during his presidency. True, this usually goes without explanation as to why. Well, now Trump has begun to add to this that he would threaten to strike Moscow or China if there was a war in Ukraine or a conflict over Taiwan.
Moreover, in public, Trump uses completely different rhetoric. He constantly blames Biden for starting the third world war and promises to stop the Ukrainian conflict in 24 hours, because he understands that his audience is already tired of Ukraine. Two-thirds of Republican voters oppose sending new tranches to Kyiv. Therefore, they need to move forward with one agenda. And for sponsors and elites - another.
Fair’s fair — how many times has President Putin theatened to nuke Ukraine or Europe over this little war he insists on waging?
We have heard such a diversity of opinions throughout the four years of Trump’s presidency. He himself constantly changed his position. In some ways, this even helped during his time in the White House - everyone heard from him what they wanted. Although it added chaos to his entire policy, which is something to expect in his second term if he wins.
In the context of Ukraine, Trump's current advisers hope to somehow persuade Moscow and Kyiv to negotiate. His team already wanted to use a threat strategy for this. For example, block the allocation of trenches and at the same time promise Russia that if negotiations fail, Kyiv will receive more long-range missiles and fighters. This is why Erik Prince, founder of the Blackwater PMC and Trump ally, is now so actively discussing the possibility of supplying a large number of old decommissioned US fighters to Ukraine.
However, in both cases many questions arise. At the beginning of 2024, Ukraine had not received American financial assistance for several months. And this did not in any way affect the policy of Kyiv. On the contrary, the hitch with the tranches rather strengthened the position of the “war party” in the camp of the Kyiv regime, oriented toward the British lobby and European hawks.
Well, Trump will not scare Russia with the supply of missiles and fighters. There are not many long-range missiles like ATACMS left in the US arsenals. In total, about 6 thousand of them were produced, but many were released in the Middle East or sold to other countries. And now the release of ATACMS has been completely discontinued due to lack of funding from Congress.
As for the old F-16 fighters or A-10 Thunderbolt attack aircraft, there really are quite a few of them in storage—at least several thousand. But many of them are in very poor condition and require lengthy repairs. To place them in Ukraine, it will be necessary to create a large-scale infrastructure there to service the whimsical American military aircraft.
It, like fighters at airfields, will immediately be subject to attacks by the Russian Aerospace Forces.
The plan for peace negotiations proposed to Russia and Ukraine is also in question. The ex-president's de facto advisers want to provide Kyiv with security guarantees without joining NATO. And force Ukraine to accept the loss of territories by freezing the conflict along the current front line. But there will be no official recognition of the new borders by the West, and the United States will allow Ukraine to fight battles about borders at the diplomatic level.
In the future, the Trump team will force European countries to actively rearm, increase military spending and purchase American weapons. Republicans are thinking of finally shifting responsibility for further confrontation with Russia onto the shoulders of Europeans. Well, they themselves will reorient themselves towards confrontation with Iran in the Middle East and China in the Indo-Pacific region.
The plan looks nice on paper - but, as usual, they forgot about the ravines. Whether Ukraine will survive until 2025 or by that time the front will collapse with the fall of the Kyiv regime is still an open question. As well as whether any of the Ukrainian politicians will be ready to negotiate with the recognition of the loss of territories, knowing that they will be killed by their own nationalists for this.
Not to mention the fact that Europe, split by internal contradictions, may not find a common language with the Trump team. European bureaucrats cannot stand him, but Eurosceptics and isolationists love the eccentric politician. They could win up to a third of the seats in the early elections to the European Parliament. But among right-wing Eurosceptics there are quite a few opponents of the militarization of Europe.
Moreover, if Trump wins, Washington will face a long period of political instability. Democrats will do their best to sabotage the transition of power - with riots and pogroms against an unloved opponent, an attempt to block the certification of election results in Congress. Any cabinet appointments coming from Trump will also be blocked. Therefore, at best, he will only be able to fully form his cabinet and systematically engage in foreign policy in the spring-summer of 2025.
In certain aspects, he may turn out to be an even more serious opponent than Biden. At a minimum, it will be more active in pursuing its policy and trying to contain the gradual decline of the United States as a world power. But it will also greatly aggravate the division within America. It will manifest itself both in the White House, between isolationists and hawks, and outside, in the culture wars between Republicans and Democrats.
In any case, you definitely shouldn’t pin any hopes on Trump’s presidency. We need to continue working regardless of who is president of the United States next year. “Donald Fedorovich” will “delight” us more than once with his extravagant statements. They only benefit him - firstly, he is in the center of attention. And besides, he implements his favorite “madman strategy”, which everyone should be afraid of.
However, we shouldn’t be afraid of Trump, nor should we take any of his statements at face value.
#1
There is nothing crazy about Trump's strategy. For the longest time it was held that Russians could kill thousands of US troops, as they did in Korea and Vietnam, but the reverse would trigger a Russian nuclear first strike. Then Trump killed hundreds of Russians in Syria, and **crickets**.
The issue for Putin is that his nuclear trigger is attached to a metaphorical shotgun pointed at his own head. Pull it and the ensuing retaliation kills him and his entire clan. Hitler wasn't, in principle, against gassing people. Hence Treblinka and Sobibor. Fear of retaliation in kind kept his chemical arsenal untouched, except against civilians who could not retaliate. For much the same reason, Putin is unlikely to authorize a nuclear attack on a nuclear state with good early-warning systems and a robust counterstrike capability - a finely-honed sense of self-preservation
#4
Trump will hit them economically in a way that Biden couldn’t because he is corrupt.
Posted by: Super Hose ||
05/30/2024 16:40 Comments ||
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#5
Trump will hit them economically in a way that Biden couldn’t because he is corrupt.
Trump said he'd send ballistic missile subs to the Baltic Sea if the Russians made any more nuclear threats. Flight time to Moscow? Single digit minutes. The point was to emphasize to Putin that if he nukes the US, he will join his fellow Muscovites in a gigantic funeral pyre.
I've never been convinced that any other US president would try to kill every last Russian in exchange for a Russian nuclear strike. Trump is the exception. When he said the US could win in Afghanistan by exterminating its people, it's clear that the thought had occurred to him as a live option, but the level of offense (3,000 dead on 9/11) made such an option unacceptable to most Americans. But tens of millions of dead Americans? With apologies to Halsey, if that occurs under Trump, Russian will be spoken only in hell.
Most US presidents are New Testament, turn the other cheek leaders. Trump is one of the few exceptions, an old Testament leader.
[Econ Collapse] In recent years, Americans have been fleeing our largest cities in unprecedented numbers, and many of them have decided to settle down in quiet little towns all over the country. There are many reasons why this is happening, and I will highlight several of them below. If this trend continues, what will our major metropolitan areas look like? Violence, theft, drugs, homelessness and international migration have all risen to crisis levels and are putting a tremendous amount of strain on our core urban areas. Meanwhile, many small towns are absolutely booming as wave after wave of big city refugees comes pouring in.
People have been leaving large metropolitan areas for a long time, but once the pandemic arrived that trend greatly accelerated...
In the three years before the pandemic, counties in metro areas with at least 1 million residents lost a total 200,000 or so residents annually to other regions, after figuring both people moving in and leaving, according to the Goldman report. After COVID, those losses vaulted to 750,000 in 2021, 650,000 in 2022 and 550,000 in 2023, according to Goldman and Census data. The numbers reflect annual changes through July of each year.
A separate study by Lombard shows the domestic migration losses were concentrated in the largest metro areas with more than 4 million residents. Those cities shed a total 400,000 residents annually before the pandemic and have lost 820,000, 707,000 and 591,000 residents, respectively, over the past three years.
And it is being reported that last year small towns became "the nation’s top destination for domestic migrants for the first time in decades"...
#9
typically these small towns are satellites of larger urban areas
Posted by: Lord Garth ||
05/30/2024 12:20 Comments ||
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#10
Lobe plugs, hog rings, and a side shave.
Austin manners, didn't root for the home team, likely play Covid all over again. Didn't scout out where her and her 'husband' were moving to? Brilliant - bet they run stops with their bikes too.
That's what happened out here during Covid; liberal granola fruits would spend a week so they could go maskless, bike through stop signs and have their coyote bait dogs just shit wherever.
#11
I'm all for barriers and traps along 1-10 west of El Paso. You know, the california road.
Posted by: ed in texas ||
05/30/2024 13:48 Comments ||
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#12
Because, for the moment at least, we're left alone to live our lives as we see fit. And at least where I live that goes for everyone: white, black, or Hispanic. None of us are exactly eager to go back to "the real world."
#13
Small towns still feel, look sound and smell like the United States. Situational awareness made sane people see the insanity being forced on the urban cores, and they fled, we certainly did.
#2
Water rates going up to cover estimated revenue loss of ACS. Seems ACS was a big user of water for the generation of power. Energy costs to go up I would guess as well.
Charge a per mile tax, leave the gasoline tax on as a 'Sin Tax'. Then go to GPS tracking for different rates on different roads, then on to what time of day using that road.
[Gateway] You’ve heard of a "win-win" scenario, right? Well clueless Democrats don’t understand it yet, but this New York Trump trial is the first-ever "win-win-win" scenario.
Trump can only win, or win, or win even bigger.
Let me explain. Please keep in mind, I’ve studied Donald J. Trump since I was a freshman at Columbia University in 1979. I’ve considered him my mentor in business and politics for over 40 years. And I’ve been right about everything I’ve predicted regarding Trump for a decade now (since he came down that escalator in 2015).
I even wrote the book on Trump titled, "TRUMP RULES: The Greatest Winner and Warrior in History!" That book came out AFTER Trump lost the 2020 election. I predicted, way back then, that Donald J. Trump would become the greatest "comeback kid" in world history, rise from the ashes, and against all odds, become the 47Th President of the United States.
How’s my prediction looking right now?
Trump is leading Biden in every poll. And leading by a wide margin in virtually every battleground state. The latest poll shows Trump beating Biden among black voters. I predicted this "Trump Miracle." And now we’re all seeing it.
Here is why this New York Trump trial is a "win-win-win" no matter what the verdict is.
First, on the remote chance if Trump is acquitted, or much more likely receives a "hung jury," it’s going to be one of the biggest wins in history for Trump.
Trump will be branded as unbeatable and unstoppable.
Not even a fake crime, a frame job, with a rigged judge with "Trump Derangement Syndrome," and a rigged jury filled with biased New York liberals, can beat Trump. He will be seen as super-human. So, there’s win number one. And it’s a big one. Historic. Legendary.
[Hot Air] All hat and no cattle. All bark and no bite. Useless as tits on a bull.
That's Joe Biden. It would be an improvement if he only failed at everything he tried. Instead he makes things worse.
Just as Jimmy Carter's presidency could be summed up in the failed attempt to rescue the hostages in Iran, Biden's can be summed up by his Gaza Pier.
Announced during his State of the Union Address, the $320 million pier was a stupid idea made worse by an execution that could, at best, be characterized as incompetent. The floating pier took months to build, delivered almost no aid to Gaza, none of the aid made it to the intended recipients, was attacked by Hamas with mortars while a UN official was inspecting it, and broke apart in seas that a fishing boat would have easily survived.
The idea was stupid from the beginning, and it was pure Biden. I am mildly surprised that he didn't just send over pallets of cash to create a solid foundation. Surely, Jerome Powell would have been happy to print them for him. I am not surprised that he didn't send his precious transgender soldiers to build it, given that they are far too vital to national security to risk in the middle of a war zone.
#5
What would the founding fathers of Tyre say?
Why, they wouldn't say anything. Alexander the Great had a causeway built right up to the island, put the city to siege, and sacked it.
You: what is the difference, if any, between a citizen and a politician?
A citizen takes responsibility for their decisions and actions. A politician does not?
Straight from the textbook. But what does it mean?
It means that treasury looting in the form of military campaigns and taxation has destroyed more empires than can be remembered, and none are immune to those consequences.
[Bee] GAZA — Hamas leadership proudly announced Wednesday that their Pride Month festivities would soon start with a wild party where anything goes. The location? The roof of a very tall hotel where they can do the best kicking-off.
"We are honored to start Pride month with a kick-off of many, many homosexuals," said elusive Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. "We will have the biggest kick-off from this roof as is humanly possible. We invite all Queers for Palestine to come join in being kicked off."
According to IDF intelligence, the extremely tall hotel will be decked out with Pride flags, rainbow-colored streamers, and a magnificent LED light show in an effort to attract as many homosexuals as possible. An invitation has been extended to Sir Elton John to MC the event, though sources indicate it is unlikely he will accept.
"Like moths to a flame," Sinwar said with pride as he put the finishing touches on a banner that reads, "Gay Stuff On Roof!"
The local gay community is reportedly cautiously optimistic ahead of the festivities. "I really don't want to be kicked off a roof again," said local gay man Hamzah "Hammy" Hamas, "But I'm kind of interested in how they decorated this year."
Hamas leadership has advised all the normal people to stretch their legs ahead of the party so no one strains their quadriceps.
At publishing time, the UN nominated Hamas leadership for a Nobel Peace Prize for their ongoing efforts to incorporate the LGBTQIA+ community in their activities.
Posted by: Frank G ||
05/30/2024 10:55 ||
Comments ||
Link ||
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[Daily Mail, where America gets its news] Just before dawn from May 31 to June 3, a parade of six planets from our solar system will come into alignment — but only a lucky few will be able to spot all six.
The orbits of Mercury, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune will enter into something like a morning procession.
But, for most of the world, as NASA astrophysicist Ronald Gamble of the Goddard Space Flight Center put it, 'The sun's going to be photobombing the parade.' Ah'm anticipating a parade of quakes, volcano eruptions and CMEs.
Many who brave the early morning hours, however, will get to see Mars and Saturn accompany a crisp crescent moon — and astronomers said that a much more visible and impressive alignment will be coming on January 31, 2025 shortly after 6pm.
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
[Hot Air] All hat and no cattle. All bark and no bite. Useless as tits on a bull. 
