Article

2014-02-20 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Farmers Almanac more accurate than govt climate scientists

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Posted by DarthVader 2014-02-20 15:06|| || Front Page|| [6 views ] Top

#1 CPC grades its prediction accuracy on a Heidke skill score, which ranges from 100 (perfect accuracy) to -50 (no better than playing pin the tail on the donkey while blindfolded).

CPCs score for Octobers weather predictions for November through January was -22 and the September weather prediction for October through December was at -23.

AKA... the climate change people are full of shit.

Posted by DarthVader 2014-02-20 15:07|| 2014-02-20 15:07|| Front Page Top

#2 The default score that should be used for year long accuracy is the same time scale i.e. this time last year.
Bet you it's less accurate than that.

Posted by Bright Pebbles 2014-02-20 16:22|| 2014-02-20 16:22|| Front Page Top

#3 These weather guessers couldn't predict yesterday's weather.

Posted by Lowspark 2014-02-20 17:16|| 2014-02-20 17:16|| Front Page Top

#4 I remember reading some place (Instapundit I think) that a statistician have shown that astrologers are more accurate than economists.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2014-02-20 17:43|| 2014-02-20 17:43|| Front Page Top

#5 Anybody is more accurate than govt climate "scientists"

Posted by Barbara 2014-02-20 19:18|| 2014-02-20 19:18|| Front Page Top

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