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2007-05-09 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Special Tropical Disturbance Statement
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Posted by Steve 2007-05-09 08:14|| || Front Page|| [3 views ]  Top

#1 ...We've been under it all night and expect to be catching wind, rain and high tides all day. It's been a strong storm, but definitely no more than that. On the other hand, this thing came literally out of nowhere and the weather forecasters were terrified that it would grow into a tropical storm - or worse - and they'd have to explain how they'd missed it.

Mike
Posted by Mike Kozlowski 2007-05-09 08:41||   2007-05-09 08:41|| Front Page Top

#2 the storm didn't come out of nowhere

it formed May 6 well off the NC coast as a more or less typical frontal low

the movement was unusual in that it moved southwest rather than northeast; the other unusual thing is that it strengthened substantially; however it is in the process now of weakening -- very few reporting stations have high winds (e.g., Jacksonville, FL is reporting 0-3 mph)
Posted by mhw 2007-05-09 09:54|| http://hypocrisy-incorporated.blogspot.com/]">[http://hypocrisy-incorporated.blogspot.com/]  2007-05-09 09:54|| Front Page Top

#3 mhw-

I stand corrrected on the 'out of nowhere' comment - that was the impression I was getting from some other sites.

Mike
Posted by Mike Kozlowski 2007-05-09 12:44||   2007-05-09 12:44|| Front Page Top

#4 Hope it holds on to enough rain bands to knock down that Georgia fire a little.
Posted by Shipman 2007-05-09 13:32||   2007-05-09 13:32|| Front Page Top

#5 AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

ANDREA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALONG THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ANDREA IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER ANY LAND AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.
Posted by Steve 2007-05-09 13:51||   2007-05-09 13:51|| Front Page Top

#6 "SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT"

Except, of course, it ain't. They admit in the next sentence it's a "NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM."

It's like they're trying to make the weather seem worse and more extreme that it has been in the past.

Oh, wait....
Posted by Barbara Skolaut">Barbara Skolaut  2007-05-09 18:17|| http://ariellestjohndesigns.com/]">[http://ariellestjohndesigns.com/]  2007-05-09 18:17|| Front Page Top

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