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2024-10-09 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Hurricane Milton: Live updates tracking the storm's path

[NYPOST] Ginormous Hurricane Milton is churning toward Florida's Gulf Coast, where it's expected to have a devastating impact when it makes landfall Wednesday.

Meteorologists are warning the monster storm could be one of the biggest hurricanes in history.

It's ''nearing the mathematical limit of what Earth's atmosphere over this ocean water can produce,'' one Sunshine State meteorologist said late Monday.

Early Tuesday, Milton was downgraded to a Category 4 with maximum sustained winds of 155 miles per hour — after topping 200 mph as a Category 5 on Monday. But Milton is expected to gain strength as it surges toward Tampa, Fort Meyers and other areas of the gulf coast.

More from regnum.ru

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Hurricane Milton heading toward Florida could strengthen to Category 6

[Regnum] Hurricane Milton, approaching the American state of Florida, may strengthen to an officially non-existent category six. This was reported on October 8 by the American magazine Newsweek, citing a study by climatologists.

According to experts, it is necessary to add an additional category to the hurricane scale according to the level of danger. Presumably, there are about 6 million people in the zone where the elements may hit.

By the morning of October 8, the hurricane's speed had dropped to 250 km/h, while the day before it had reached 290 km/h. Meteorologists do not rule out further strengthening of the wind before hitting Florida. The approach of the storm is designated as life-threatening.

As reported by Regnum News Agency, on October 6, the press service of the US National Hurricane Center predicted that in the coming days, tropical storm Milton, which formed over the Gulf of Mexico, will reach the west coast of the US. The weather phenomenon may hit Florida on October 8-9. Heavy rains may lead to flooding in populated areas and rural areas, and to the overflow of some rivers.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency in 35 counties in the state ahead of the storm, many of which are still reeling from Hurricane Helene.

Posted by Fred 2024-10-09 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11153 views ] Top

#1 at 800am EDT, the hurricane weakened slightly from the 500am status

continued weakening is expected until landfall because of upper winds sheeting the vertical uplift field

however it will likely be at Cat 3 or 4 at landfall

as of now the eye is very small and hurricane winds only extend about 30 miles from the center of the storm

however, as the storm weakens, the hurricane force wind field is expected to expand

the eye of the storm may make landfall south of Tampa Bay but, if this happens, it will still result in 5+ feet of storm surge in Tampa Bay and of course the worst will be just to the south of the eyewall's landfall

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 09:44|| 2024-10-09 09:44|| Front Page Top

#2 at 1100am EDT the hurricane has weakened a bit more although still a category 4 storm

forecasts confident of continued weakening but landfall will likely be at least a category 2 storm

forecasts becoming confident that landfall will occur south of Tampa Bay; Bradenton or Sarasota FL may get the eyewall passing over it.

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 12:35|| 2024-10-09 12:35|| Front Page Top

#3 at 2pm the Hurricane is down to just 1 mph above category 3

Since 5am the central pressure has gone up b about 40mb and the peak wind speed has gone down by about 30mph

Still a dangerous storm and the weakening of the central pressure vortex has, as expected, resulted in an expansion of the wind field

Central vortex landfall is likely to be after dark this evening and is still expected to be south of Tampa Bay

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 14:11|| 2024-10-09 14:11|| Front Page Top

#4 Waffle House, citing the Waffle House Index, closes Tampa locations ahead of Hurricane Milton

It’s serious

Posted by Beavis 2024-10-09 14:53|| 2024-10-09 14:53|| Front Page Top

#5 Am I seeing Tornado Excitement?

Posted by swksvolFF 2024-10-09 17:19|| 2024-10-09 17:19|| Front Page Top

#6 At 5pm EDT hurricane down to category 3. Hurricane winds still a small area but tropical storm force winds have expanded especially to the north. Still about 6 hours to landfall

Posted by Lord garth 2024-10-09 18:22|| 2024-10-09 18:22|| Front Page Top

#7 At 800pm EDT, the eye of the storm is just about to come ashore (faster than I thought it would). The center of the vortex will come ashore in the vicinity of Sarasota.

It is enough south that the damage to Tampa will be less than expected. Of course Sarasota and especially the barrier islands on the coast will be hit very hard.

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 20:03|| 2024-10-09 20:03|| Front Page Top

#8 at 930 pm EDT, the entire eye of the hurricane is onshore

I haven't seen any reports of sustained wind speeds over 75 mph yet but that doesn't mean there aren't any. Also I've seen no reports yet of 8' + storm surge partly because it is dark and the webcams aren't going to be able to show it.

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 21:34|| 2024-10-09 21:34|| Front Page Top

#9 at 1100pm EDT. Hurricane moving across central FL at about 17 mph which will take it to the Atlantic Ocean by about sunrise local time. It is, based on radar, now a category 2 storm but continuing to weaken and will likely be a category 1 storm when it moves offshore into the Atlantic.

Some ferocious precipitation rates have been recorded with 3, 4 and even 5" of rain in an hour. The highest wind I saw reported was 86 mph but no doubt other reports have yet to come in. Again I have not seen reports of severe storm surge but as it is night we will have to wait for morning to ascertain what happened on that issue.

Posted by Lord Garth 2024-10-09 23:05|| 2024-10-09 23:05|| Front Page Top

#10 Thank you, Lord Garth. I was able to be knowledgeably comforting at dinner tonight, based on your reports here, so you have done a mitzvah.

Posted by trailing wife 2024-10-09 23:15|| 2024-10-09 23:15|| Front Page Top

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