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2023-06-21 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
The West fulfilled the main Ukrainian dream - and fell into Putin's trap
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

by Irina Alksnis

And only now the depth of the hole that he has dug for himself is beginning to reach the West.

The Ukrainian counter-offensive, on which everything was put to them, failed. In the early days of the escalation at the front, it was difficult for the uninitiated to judge the essence of what was happening, but now it became clear that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are still operating in the foreground, in the "gray" no man's zone, that is, Kiev is suffering all these huge losses in people and equipment, even before reaching the first line of Russian defensive structures. Not to mention breaking it, this very first line.

Ukrainians, of course, the West does not take into account, but they consider their own losses in the form of money and supplied weapons. According to Bloomberg , today the EU will announce another package of financial assistance to Ukraine - in the amount of 50 billion euros (55 billion dollars). The publication emphasized that the Europeans want to avoid burdensome obligations for themselves and assistance will be offered in the form of grants, preferential loans and guarantees.

For the Americans - for all their intentions to drown the economy of the European allies - the situation is not much easier. The well-known American billionaire David Sachs published an article a few hours ago, in which he stated not only the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, but also the impasse in which the Joe Biden administration found itself.

Since then, the United States has already allocated more than $100 billion to Ukraine. It is clear that most of this amount was cut in Washington , but all the same, the funds turned out to be senselessly spent in the Ukrainian direction, instead of being directed to more urgent goals in the current difficult times for Americans.

But even all these expenses would not be critical (after all, the States continue to control the main printing press of the planet), if they had a return in the form of achieving their goals. Instead, the lack of success at the front conveys as clearly as possible that Ukraine has become a black hole for the West, simply draining resources and not bringing any positive output.

At the same time, Kyiv itself is doing well. They realized that Russia does not intend to go to the Polish border at all, which means that in the current regime it is possible to fight with Moscow for a very long time. The main thing is to remain on the West's payroll for most of the country.

And endlessly demand increased support. Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba said he will always be short of arms supplies as long as the conflict continues. At the same time, all these crazy, snowballing debts in Ukraine do not bother anyone - they directly say that they intend to return them from Russian reparations after the victory over Moscow. And the fact that it doesn’t work out in any way is the West’s fault, because it doesn’t help much and badly. An extremely comfortable position.

Well, the fact that right now the country is paying with the lives of hundreds and thousands of its citizens, certainly does not bother anyone in Kyiv. In fact, at the moment, Ukraine has fulfilled its main dream and will do everything possible to maintain the status quo.

Of course, the whole holiday of sitting on the neck, and even in the most boorish performance, the West could stop at the snap of its fingers. But he can’t – the White House and the liberal Atlantic elites have put a lot on Ukraine to back up. And in light of the rapidly approaching presidential election in the United States, this seems completely unthinkable - too shameful, loud and costly failure for the Democratic Party.

David Sachs, like many others before him, drew a parallel with Afghanistan, the withdrawal from which turned out to be a scandalous humiliation for the Americans for the whole world. However, the reality is even worse. For 20 years, the Afghan campaign has turned into a boring information background for the world. The fact that she had reached a dead end and the allies had to leave from there was obvious to everyone. The main reputational losses of the United States were not even related to the very fact of the withdrawal of troops from a godforsaken country on the edge of geography, but to how badly it was executed purely logistically. The failure was more technical than political.

With Ukraine, the situation is radically different. For a year and a half, the West politically and informationally pumped up the topic of confrontation with Russia there in a global existential crisis. In order for it to be blown away, to lose its sharpness, it takes, if not 20 years, but quite a long time. A sharp change in Ukrainian policy right now will mean not just a sensitive blow to the image of the United States and Europe , but recognition of a grave strategic defeat in the face of the whole world.

In the current situation of a rapid loss of influence in various regions of the planet, the States simply cannot afford this, since this will further push the collapse of their global hegemony, that is, the matter for them is not only and not so much in domestic political problems.
It remains to continue to gnaw at the cactus, digging deeper and deeper into the Ukrainian crisis, which in any case will end in a geopolitical defeat for the West, but not now, but a little later - a classic zugzwang, from which there is simply no good way out.

Posted by badanov 2023-06-21 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11130 views ]  Top

#1 Frankly, this war in Ukraine has been a disaster for both Russia and the West. Russia's military has been exposed as a paper tiger. NATO internal weaknesses, likewise, have been exposed. American treasure has been expended for little purpose other than stalemate. And who benefits? Xi must be smiling. And the longer it lasts the weaker Russia and the West become.
If there is any real benefit to America it is the sure knowledge that much of future wars will be fought by robotics. That navies are questionable. That ground forces and their protectors, e.g., artillery and tanks, are sitting ducks. I wonder what West Point and Annapolis are teaching these days? The world is moving rapidly, shades of Spring 1939.
Posted by Slavising Unineting5672 2023-06-21 09:00||   2023-06-21 09:00|| Front Page Top

#2 The idea of a "good war" got stomped into the ground a long time ago.
Posted by M. Murcek 2023-06-21 11:17||   2023-06-21 11:17|| Front Page Top

#3 Russia's military has been exposed as a paper tiger.

The paper tiger has been burning quite a few leopards lately.
Posted by Abu Uluque 2023-06-21 12:55||   2023-06-21 12:55|| Front Page Top

#4 That ground forces and their protectors, e.g., artillery and tanks, are sitting ducks.

I'm reminded of an old episode of Star Trek in which Captain Kirk and Mr. Spock visit a planet where two civilizations are at war with each other. They fight by trading missiles. Neither side has any defense against the missiles so they both wait passively for their enemy to lob a missile at them and then they lob one of their missiles back. Armies have been rendered obsolete by the missiles so the missiles always hit civilian targets. They wring their hands. They accept the losses and accept that the war will continue forever.
Posted by Abu Uluque 2023-06-21 13:04||   2023-06-21 13:04|| Front Page Top

#5 /\ Unmanned persistent surveillance has radically altered the battle space. The Army Research Lab (ARL) and others led the pack at TF-Odin in Iraq and AFG later on.
Posted by Besoeker 2023-06-21 13:25||   2023-06-21 13:25|| Front Page Top

#6 Oh well, I was a kid when I watched that episode and did not remember correctly. I think I got the main thrust of it though, that technology renders armies obsolete. Attacks are simulated by computers. But the war continues and the warring parties agree to accept their losses to the point of executing their own people when the computer simulates an attack. A little web search helps:

A Taste of Armegaddon
Posted by Abu Uluque 2023-06-21 13:33||   2023-06-21 13:33|| Front Page Top

#7 Russia's military has been exposed as a paper tiger.
The paper tiger has been burning quite a few leopards lately.
Oh, yeah. And Russian troops occupied Kiev a year ago.
Posted by Slavising Unineting5672 2023-06-21 18:27||   2023-06-21 18:27|| Front Page Top

#8 ^ And they've positively moidelized the Ghost Thereof.
Posted by Spinter Schwarzeneggar7343 2023-06-21 23:47||   2023-06-21 23:47|| Front Page Top

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