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2022-11-13 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: November 12th, 2022
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
[Korrespondent] 23:24 Arakhamia believes that the opportunity for negotiations with the Russian Federation may appear in the second half of 2023: "Honestly, I think that it will be when the electoral cycles start working both in Russia and in the United States, that is, it is somewhere then in the second half of next year, when the presidential race in the United States will already start. And besides, Putin will have elections in 24. And everyone will need to demonstrate something politically. I don’t think that Putin is able to demonstrate what - some military successes, so they will probably try on the diplomatic front to somehow demonstrate something to their people.
23:16 On Sunday, November 13, from 00:00 to 24:00, scheduled power outages will operate in Kiev, Kiev, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Kharkiv, Poltava and Donetsk regions. In other regions of Ukraine, shutdowns are not predicted, Ukrenergo reported.
23:12 Ex-commander of US troops in Europe, Ben Hodges, said that already in January, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will de-occupy Melitopol and Mariupol. According to him, the liberation of Kherson will allow the Ukrainian military to strike from HIMARS at the Russians who are on the outskirts of the Crimea. "Then the decisive phase of the campaign begins... the liberation of Crimea," he added.
21:39 The Russians fired from the MLRS Grad Gornostaevka of the Kakhovka district, the head of the Kherson Regional Military District, Yaroslav Yanushevich, said. According to him, the occupiers purposefully hit civilian infrastructure. As a result of shelling, two people were killed and about ten houses were damaged. Yanushevich noted that by using such methods, the Russians want to persuade the residents of Gornostaevka to "evacuate". The Russian military themselves are hiding in the basements of local residents.
20:32 Zelensky called the situation in the Donetsk region "hell": "There are extremely fierce battles every day. But our units defend themselves bravely, withstand the terrible pressure of the occupiers, maintain our defense lines. This is very important. Thanks to the strong defense there, in the Donetsk region, we "we can carry out offensive operations in other directions. I thank all our soldiers who defend Ukraine in these especially cruel battles. Pavlovka, Marinka, Pervomaiskoye, Avdiivka..."
20:23 Zelensky said in a video message that as of this evening , the defense forces have established control in more than 60 settlements of the Kherson region , the police have begun stabilization measures. Stabilization measures are also continuing in Kherson itself. Everywhere on the liberated territory, explosives technicians have a lot of work: almost 2,000 explosive objects have already been seized - mines, trip wires, unexploded ordnance.
The president also said that the occupiers had destroyed all critical infrastructure before fleeing from Kherson - communications, supplies of water, heat and electricity.
| “If Russia can’t have it, can’t nobody have it.” |
Zelensky urged residents of the liberated settlements to be very careful and not try to independently check any buildings and objects abandoned by the occupiers.
19:41 Tonight, the Russians fired a projectile at Zaporozhye from the Iskander-K missile system. The rocket was stuffed with 54 cluster charges. They did not explode and fell in the Shevchenko district of the city near six residential buildings, the President's Office reported. These cluster shells can detonate at any moment, so the issue of evacuating the residents of the houses is now being decided so that the bomb experts can neutralize them.
19:23 In a telephone conversation with Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi, Putin discussed building up cooperation "in the political, trade and economic fields, including the transport and logistics sector." The parties agreed that contacts between the Russian and Iranian departments would be intensified, the Kremlin said.
19:01 Timing and content of any negotiations remains a decision of Ukraine, and the United States does not intend to put pressure on it, Secretary of State Anthony Blinken told Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit. Blinken reaffirmed "the United States' unwavering commitment to helping Ukraine mitigate the effects of Russia's ongoing attacks on critical infrastructure." The parties also confirmed their support for the extension of the grain agreement.
18:49 The Russians are improving the fortification equipment of the defense lines on the left bank of the Dnieper, at the same time they continue offensive operations in the Bakhmut, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions, the General Staff said in the evening summary.
Meanwhile, in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, since November 11, the issuance of documents from the "DNR" and "LNR", including those on participation in hostilities, has been suspended. The command of the 1st and 2nd army corps of the Southern Military District of the RF Armed Forces was given an order on the centralized transfer of cash settlements with personnel to financial institutions and bank cards of the Russian Federation. The servicemen of these units were offered to continue their service on a contract basis under Russian law. At the same time, they express concerns about the annulment of documents and benefits assigned by fake republics in case of refusal of a new contract.
In the temporarily occupied territories of the Kherson region, the moral and psychological state and discipline of Russian soldiers are deteriorating. A "dry law" was introduced in Genichesk, and the occupying authorities confiscated and removed alcoholic beverages from warehouses, shops, restaurants and other places of public catering.
18:26 In Kherson, a curfew is introduced from 17:00 to 8:00. The entry and exit from the city is also limited, said the head of the OVA, Yaroslav Yanushevich.
17:48 Great Britain donated 12,000 sleeping sets for the Armed Forces of Ukraine; 7000 sets for normal cold weather; 150 heated tents; 25,000 kits for extreme cold weather by mid-December, the General Staff said.
17:27 During the air raid in the Zaporozhye region, air defense forces went off, said the secretary of the Zaporozhye City Council Anatoly Kurtev.
17:20 The head of the regional military administration Yaroslav Yanushevich, the National Police and the Security Service are already working in Kherson and the region, the Office of the President reported.
17:03 Employees of the "administration" of the occupied Kakhovka district are leaving the 15-kilometer zone on the left bank of the Dnieper, said the "head of the district administration" Pavel Filipchuk. According to him, they are moving "to a safer territory", from where they will exercise "leadership of the district."
16:55 Erdogan said that the West is "attacking" Russia: "We are going through an unusual process. Russia is not an ordinary state, it is a powerful state. Of course, the West, especially America, attacks Russia almost limitlessly. Against the backdrop of all this, of course , Russia is resisting."
| “And if sometimes Russia resists before any attack, it’s just that playing chess increases Russian intelligence, donchaknow. Turkey does the same, a custom after centuries of ruling our own empire.” |
16:47 Deputy Defense Minister Anna Malyar told who is liberating Ukrainian territories in the south: Brigadier General Oleksandr Tarnavsky, Major General Andriy Kovalchuk, Brigadier General Andriy Hrytskov, Brigadier General Mykhailo Drapaty, Brigadier General Andriy Hnatov.
16:41 On the Kinburn Spit, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are pushing back the enemy, Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden, said: "The enemy remains there ... We continue to push the enemy back. Combat work is underway, and if we set a goal to liberate the entire Nikolaev region, then it will be liberated."
16:37 Law enforcement officers are carrying out stabilization measures in Kherson - about 200 police officers work there. Checkpoints have been set up around and on the territory of Kherson, said the head of the National Police, Ihor Klymenko. According to him, the main threat is mass mining. Ten groups of explosives technicians are working on the detection and disposal of explosive ordnance. One of the police sappers was injured during the demining of one of the administrative buildings of Kherson.
Local residents are asked to be as careful as possible, and those who left are asked not to rush to return until stabilization measures are completed.
16:29 Britain and the EU have agreed to boycott Lavrov's speeches at the G20 summit and will urge allies to join them, writes The Telegraph, citing sources in London and Brussels. They will also do their best to avoid meetings with the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry and refuse the traditional group photo.
16:07 The situation in Kherson is close to a humanitarian catastrophe, Roman Golovnya, an adviser to the mayor, said: “Now there is a critical lack of water in the city, water supply is practically absent. There are not enough medicines, there is not enough bread, because it is not baked, there is no electricity. And, accordingly, problems with food.
Nevertheless, according to him, the problems will be resolved soon, humanitarian cargo is being formed - in particular, from Nikolaev, and some cars with it have already arrived in Kherson. According to Golovnya's estimates, no more than 80,000 people are left in the city, out of a pre-war population of 320,000.
15:24 According to the military intelligence of Ukraine, this summer Russia and Iran signed a contract for the supply of about 1,750 unmanned aerial vehicles of two types - Shahed and Mohajer. The first batch of such UAVs that arrived in Russia was about 350 units, the second - about 250 units, said the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry Vadym Skibitsky. Also, according to him, the military intelligence of Ukraine confirmed information about the preparation of a draft agreement on the supply of Iranian ballistic missiles.
"We understand the threat of the use of ballistic missiles against our state, therefore, today the position of our diplomacy, military intelligence and other structures is very active, which are working hard to prove to the world community how dangerous Iran's arms supplies to Russia are. There are practical results - after the demonstration of real evidence Iran changed its position and stopped denying its involvement in the supply of arms to Russia. Active work in this area continues," Skibitsky said.
15:06 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Vershinin said after consultations with the UN in Geneva that Moscow has not yet made a decision to extend the product deal. According to him, when making a decision, the Russian Federation will take into account the implementation of the memorandum with the UN, as well as "the terrorist attacks committed by Kyiv." At the same time, Moscow is not satisfied with how the agreement with the UN on fertilizers is being implemented: up to 280,000 tons of Russian mineral fertilizers are under arrest in European ports.
13:45 The United States hopes to start negotiations on Ukraine in the future, but Zelensky should determine their terms, US Ambassador to NATO Julianne Smith said: "Our president just said that this war must be ended by reaching an agreement, but we want it was President Zelensky's prerogative to determine the conditions under which he would sit down at the negotiating table, including respect for borders and recognition of responsibility for what he had done. Moscow could have ended the conflict tomorrow if it wanted."
Smith noted that NATO and the United States are in daily contact with the military command of Ukraine: "We share a military strategy, but in the end they themselves must determine what to do, taking into account the tasks on the battlefield. I do not see much disagreement on this issue between the United States and Ukraine".
13:11 Erdogan said that he would call Zelensky in the coming days to discuss possible negotiations with Russia. According to him, Putin's position is not enough, so he wants to hear Ukraine's position on negotiations with Russia mediated by Turkey. In addition, Erdogan intends to discuss the expansion of the grain corridor.
12:56 Russian retreat from Kherson marks another strategic setback for Moscow, British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said: "In February, Russia was unable to take any of its main targets, except for Kherson. Now that it has also been surrendered, ordinary Russians must ask themselves Why was all this necessary?
The Minister added that the Russian army suffered huge losses due to its illegal invasion and achieved only international isolation and humiliation: “Ukraine will continue to pressure. The UK and the international community will continue to support it, and although the withdrawal of troops is welcome, no one is going to underestimate the continuing threat from Russian Federation".
12:19 The Border Committee of Belarus complains that the Ukrainian military continues to mine the territories adjacent to the border with Belarus. According to the Belarusian department, in addition to destroying access roads and infrastructure facilities near checkpoints, mines are being set up on the adjacent side on the green border.
11:41 Russia may launch a massive missile attack on Ukraine during the G20 summit on November 15-16, Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat warned: “Even so, events are coming, and the G20 summit. provocations" . At the same time, he noted that although Russia continues to stockpile weapons, including missiles, they have still significantly depleted their stocks.
10:54 Germany has allocated 1 billion euros to Ukraine to protect against cyber attacks and collect evidence of war crimes, writes Reuters.
10:52 The Russians have completely destroyed the energy system of Kherson, said Dmitry Sakharuk, executive director of DTEK: "The entire energy system has been destroyed in Kherson. There are not exactly schedules, there is no electricity at all." He recalled that after the de-occupation of the Kyiv region, the renewal of the energy system took 30 days. According to him, it is expected that the same amount of work will continue in the liberated part of the Kherson region.
10:43 After the liberation of Kherson, Mariupol turns into the main military and logistics hub and rear base of the occupiers, said Petr Andryushchenko, adviser to the mayor of the city. So, according to him, over the past two days in Mariupol, the presence of both the Russian military and the military from the "DPR" has rapidly increased. If before that they were moving past the city, now they are arriving and stopping in Mariupol. They will be quartered again in empty houses and apartments of Mariupol residents.
Another increase in the movement of military convoys with both equipment and ammunition is also recorded. At least twice a day, truck columns of 40-60 vehicles move from the direction of Mangush to the exit in the direction of Volnovakha/Donetsk. The amount of equipment that remains in the city is also increasing. Partially it is parked right in residential areas, not far from their own accommodation.
10:24 Ukrenergo announced additional emergency outages of consumers in Kiev, Kiev, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Sumy, Zhytomyr, Kharkiv, Poltava and Donetsk regions. In all other regions of Ukraine, outages are not predicted.
10:03 British intelligence believes that the Russians could announce an evacuation from Kherson in order to withdraw the military from the city under the guise of civilians. In all likelihood, the withdrawal process began as early as October 22, when representatives of the occupation administration in Kherson called on civilians to leave the city. At the same time, there is a real possibility that Russian military equipment and forces in civilian clothes have evacuated along with the declared 80,000 civilians in recent weeks, analysts say.
09:22 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy on the morning of November 12.
- personnel - about 80,210 (+810) people liquidated,
- tanks - 2838 (+24),
- armored combat vehicles - 5730 (+34),
- artillery systems - 1829 (+12),
- MLRS - 393 (+0),
- air defense systems - 205 (+0),
- aircraft - 278 (+0),
- helicopters - 261 (+0),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 1506 (+1),
- cruise missiles - 399 (+0),
- ships/boats - 16 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 4279 (+20),
- special equipment - 160 (+1).
08:49 In the Donetsk region over the past day as a result of enemy shelling, two civilians were killed - in Bakhmut and Avdeevka. In addition, law enforcement officers found the bodies of five killed by the Russians during the occupation - four in Yampol and one in Yarovaya. Four more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
08:21 The liberation of Kherson is an "outstanding victory" for Kiev, says US national security adviser Jake Sullivan: "It looks like the Russians did pull back the troops. And it looks like the Ukrainians just won an outstanding victory when the only regional capital captured by Russia in this war, is now again under the Ukrainian flag."
07:45 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces repelled the attacks of the invaders in the areas of the settlements of Masyutovka and Orlyanka, Kharkiv region; Novoselovskoye, Myasozharovka, Makeevka and Belogorovka in the Lugansk region and Soledar, Bakhmut, Krasnogorovka, Verkhnekamenskoye, Pervomayskoye, Nevelskoye, Maryinka and Pavlovka in the Donetsk region, the General Staff said in the morning report .
07:23 After release from the Russian occupiers in Snigirevka of the Nikolaev area torture room where Russians mocked civilians was found out.
05:34 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) writes that PMC Wagner continues to form parallel military structures in the Belgorod and Kursk regions, despite the absence of a threat of a ground invasion of Ukrainian troops into the territory of the Russian Federation.
| If it keeps them busy and out of Russia, not to mention annoying Russian locals instead of Ukrainian locals with their jailbird habits, go for it. |
Meanwhile, Ukrainian troops are completing the liberation of the right bank of the Kherson region. Satellite imagery confirms that Russian troops destroyed the Antonovsky and railway bridges, as well as the bridge over the Novaya Kakhovka dam, the Daryevsky bridge in a last-ditch attempt to block the advance of Ukrainian troops towards the central part of the region. Geolocation satellite imagery also indicates that Russian troops have prepared the first and second lines of defense south of the Dnieper River and are likely to continue to reinforce positions on the left bank in the coming days.
ISW assesses the entire western part of the Kherson region as liberated, based on the fact that the Russians have lost the ability to hold the territory on the right bank of the Dnieper.
02:17 The invaders decided to make Genichesk the "temporary administrative capital" of the Kherson region, said Alexander Fomin, a representative of the "administration" of the region.
01:22 The Armed Forces of Ukraine in the liberated territories of the south discovered Russian tanks, artillery and other equipment that the occupiers failed to transport across the Dnieper during the retreat, said the speaker of OK Pivden Natalya Gumenyuk: "The equipment is there, it is dispersed. They tried to evacuate the bulk and even moved by those alternative crossings that are not provided for this. Our units have recorded abandoned artillery installations, and tanks, and armored vehicles. From the fields we collect what we have, what is suitable - we will definitely return it as shells in the opposite direction."
Gumenyuk added that the Russians left a lot of mined territories and traps, so it is still dangerous to return to the de-occupied territories.
01:01 British street artist Banksy left graffiti on the ruins of a destroyed house in Borodyanka, Kiev region.
00:14 The Russians have planned the evacuation of collaborators with their families from Novaya Kakhovka on November 12th. They will be taken out of the city in the direction of the Arabat Spit, reports the Center for National Resistance under the MTR of Ukraine.
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