Article

2023-06-22 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Eastern Caribbean islands prepare for heavy flooding as Tropical Storm grows stronger

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Posted by Fred 2023-06-22 00:00|| || Front Page|| [13 views ] Top

#1 Must be a repeat from last year, amirite?

Posted by Raj 2023-06-22 00:20|| 2023-06-22 00:20|| Front Page Top

#2 From 5am Discussion by Natl Hurr Center:

Vertical shear is expected to gradually increase over the next couple of days as Bret approaches an upper-level trough located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The storm could maintain its intensity or fluctuate in intensity through much of today, but it is expected to begin weakening by tonight once it crosses the Lesser Antilles
and moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Global model fields indicate that Bret should degenerate into a trough over the central Caribbean Sea by day 3, which is shown in the official forecast.

Posted by lord garth 2023-06-22 08:27|| 2023-06-22 08:27|| Front Page Top

#3 Short version: It could weaken, stay the same, or increase. Your mileage may vary.

Posted by Frank G 2023-06-22 09:42|| 2023-06-22 09:42|| Front Page Top

#4 But it will probably rain.

Posted by AlanC 2023-06-22 16:49|| 2023-06-22 16:49|| Front Page Top

#5 5 pm update today from NHCenter

Bret will likely maintain its strength while it moves across the Lesser Antilles tonight. However, progressively stronger shear and dry air should cause the storm to gradually lose strength on Friday and Saturday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one and near the middle of the guidance envelope. Dissipation is expected to occur on Sunday, following the global model guidance.

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I saw comments on Hurricane blogs. Some were still hoping for rapid intensification and damage to mainland US.

Posted by lord garth 2023-06-22 19:01|| 2023-06-22 19:01|| Front Page Top

#6 ^ It won't matter, per St. Grrrrta, we've already died from Climate Change. And Net Neutrality

Posted by Frank G 2023-06-22 19:04|| 2023-06-22 19:04|| Front Page Top

#7 we've already died from Climate Change

Lucky bastages! Some of use died back in the 70's from over-population, famine and resource depletion. Didn't you read the Club of Rome report titled "Limits to Growth"?

Posted by SteveS 2023-06-22 19:29|| 2023-06-22 19:29|| Front Page Top

#8 Didn't you read the Club of Rome report titled "Limits to Growth"?

NO! Cuz I was DEAD!.... I got better

Posted by Frank G 2023-06-22 20:15|| 2023-06-22 20:15|| Front Page Top

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