Article

2009-10-07 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia

Stratfor: Two Leaks and the Deepening Iran Crisis

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Posted by Javing Angelet6048 2009-10-07 11:10|| || Front Page|| [5 views ] Top

#1 When are our leaders going to realize that it is sucide to not take effective measures against toxic nations who are going through the long process of getting nukes? NKorea and Iran should have been shut down years ago. By shut down, I mean a military shut down, not a diplomatic one. Diplomacy works well with reasonable people. Boom-booms work much better with highly agressive fanatics.

Posted by Richard of Oregon 2009-10-07 13:26|| 2009-10-07 13:26|| Front Page Top

#2 And, of course, it has to be known all around that the spike in the price of oil that would follow war on iran would scupper not just obamacare, but the US economy as a whole. Oil price guarantees from soodia in return for smacking down iran, perhaps?

Posted by M. Murcek 2009-10-07 16:11|| 2009-10-07 16:11|| Front Page Top

#3 Maybe the Russians want us to smack Iran. Maybe they leaked their involvement to the Israelis through some back channel so nobody would suspect their motive. They get a much less dangerous neighbor. They get higher oil prices. They get us to do the dirty work.

Posted by Ebbang Uluque6305 2009-10-07 19:02|| 2009-10-07 19:02|| Front Page Top

#4 I read another article about an Iranian nuke scientist disappearing in Saudi during the Hajj, connecting it to the report on Qom. Defected or kidnapped? And by whom?

Then I got this e-mail:
Today, Israel is once again in grave danger. By Iran's nuclear threat, to be sure.
The first threat is the real and growing possibility that the United Nations will shift the nuclear spotlight away from Iran and on to Israel in an effort to force Jerusalem to disclose and dismantle its alleged nuclear weapons and join the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Israel does not openly acknowledge having atomic weapons. But the U.N. Security Council could pass a resolution forcing Israel to allow international inspectors in. If Israel refused to comply, she could be subject to diplomatic isolation, crippling economic sanctions, and even international enforcement (that is, a coalition of nations ready to go to war over the issue, just as the U.S. led a coalition in 2003 to force Iraq to comply with U.N. resolutions regarding weapons of mass destruction.)

IAEA chief Mohammed ElBaradei publicly raised this as a serious possibility Monday, saying, "Israel is the number one threat to the Middle East given the nuclear arms it possesses." The Wall Street Journal columnist Bret Stephens also had a must-read column in yesterday's paper explaining how this scenario could come to pass in the not-too-distant future.

Keep in mind: President Obama is making global nuclear disarmament his top foreign policy priority. He just chaired a U.N. Security Council meeting to push this agenda. It is increasingly conceivable that he will try to force Israel to "play by the same rules" as everyone else and disarm unilaterally, even though Israel has never threatened to "annihilate" a neighbor. Such a resolution against Israel could be introduced into the U.N. by Russia. The coalition against Israel could be led by Russia and Iran. Should this happen, we could begin to see the prophecies of Ezekiel 38-39 come to pass in fairly short order. While it is too early to conclude that is what is happening now, it is not too early to intensify our prayers for the peace of Jerusalem, according to Psalm 122:6.

Posted by Lumpy Elmoluck5091 2009-10-07 19:42|| 2009-10-07 19:42|| Front Page Top

#5 Two conclusions can be drawn. First, the Israelis no longer need to add to their knowledge of Russian involvement; they know what they need to know. And second, the Israelis do not expect Iranian development to continue much longer; otherwise, maintaining the intelligence capability would take precedence over anything else.

Posted by trailing wife 2009-10-07 20:58|| 2009-10-07 20:58|| Front Page Top

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