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2008-06-01 Caribbean-Latin America

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Posted by anonymous5089 2008-06-01 12:28|| || Front Page|| [1 views ] Top

#1 There's a small chance this could turn into another Bolivian bloodbath. Many players, long borders, no port.

Posted by George Smiley 2008-06-01 12:52|| 2008-06-01 12:52|| Front Page Top

#2 I wonder how many factions the drug cartels will split into and/or support? They have lots of guns and men, and were very powerful in Bolivia until around 2000 or 2001, BEFORE Morales got in. The previous government had broken at least 2 of the cartels, but the cartels were run by Latinos and not Indians. That could be a big factor in which side they might choose to jump in on.
The racial dividing line between Indians and Latinos is HUGE in Latin America.

Posted by Shieldwolf 2008-06-01 17:08|| 2008-06-01 17:08|| Front Page Top

#3 Chavez has said that if these states break free, he will attack them militarily, as they are a declaration of war against "the revolution(tm)".

However, little has been said since then. I suspect that if he puts one foot over that border, SOCOM will unleash a major ass kick on them.

Posted by Anonymoose 2008-06-01 18:07|| 2008-06-01 18:07|| Front Page Top

#4 I don't know about that. We'd have to have access, and I doubt seriously that Brazil, Paraguay, Chile or Argentina would give us access. It would be the one thing we'd do that would cause them to rush to Morales' side, since (after all) it could be seen as the big old U.S. throwing its weight around again, treating Bolivia as a banana republic.

I don't know what assets the eastern provinces have to stand up in a fight, and it isn't clear to me that the Bolivian military would remain cohesive.

Posted by Steve White">Steve White 2008-06-01 20:52|| 2008-06-01 20:52|| Front Page Top

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