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2007-01-12 Southeast Asia

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Posted by phil_b 2007-01-12 16:58|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 There is soon going to be a big uptick in fatalities, as the Tet season is about to begin, and millions of people in SE Asia and Oceania are going to want to eat chicken.

Posted by Anonymoose 2007-01-12 17:22|| 2007-01-12 17:22|| Front Page Top

#2 Did they decide eating them transmits it, or just living with the damned things in your house.

Posted by bigjim-ky 2007-01-12 17:44|| 2007-01-12 17:44|| Front Page Top

#3 I think I hear a violin playing somewhere in a parallel universe where if care if 86% of Indonesians live or die.

Posted by Excalibur 2007-01-12 18:05|| 2007-01-12 18:05|| Front Page Top

#4 Since there is no immunity, it only takes a fraction of the normal amount of virus to cause infection. Remember also that they use live or recently dead birds, and pluck and gut them at home, which spreads contamination all over the place. They also don't thoroughly cook the bird.

Though with one mutation, birds won't really be needed any longer. They will just help it spread further and faster.

Oh, and use the "two echoes" rule with influenza. That is, it comes in waves, followed by 'breaks' in the outbreak. However, in truth, the wave that is seen is the *second* "echo" of the actual contamination. So when you see a wave of disease, it is actually the wave that happened two waves ago. The disease has already spread far beyond what you see.

Posted by Anonymoose 2007-01-12 18:56|| 2007-01-12 18:56|| Front Page Top

#5 The feline infections in Asia and Europe are related to eating sick birds. Cookins, according to WHO, kills the virus. The slaughter and prep process is the presumed point of infection for most humans. The guano, however, appears to hold active virii for two weeks or more.

Keep in mind that the Indonesian government has no abilitiy to accurately test for avian flu. Tests are run abroad, including many at a US Naval facility in Egypt.

WHO has not, as of 19:00 this date, posted anything about clusters or additional deaths. They report 2 cases in Indonesia, with one death. China is reporting their last case of 2006 has recovered and gone home.

Posted by Chuck Simmins">Chuck Simmins 2007-01-12 19:17|| http://northshorejournal.org]">[http://northshorejournal.org] 2007-01-12 19:17|| Front Page Top

#6 As a comparison, in the United States, during the week ending January 6, 2007, 6.9% of all deaths were due to pneumonia and influenza. Centers for Disease Control

Posted by Chuck Simmins">Chuck Simmins 2007-01-12 19:26|| http://northshorejournal.org]">[http://northshorejournal.org] 2007-01-12 19:26|| Front Page Top

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