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2006-10-23 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
'Assad regime is on brink of collapse'
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Posted by Fred 2006-10-23 00:00|| || Front Page|| [5 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 Yeah, sure. Iran and North Korea are on the brink, too.

Amazing how long a country can sit on the brink and continue to do enormous damage.
Posted by Jackal">Jackal  2006-10-23 00:25|| http://home.earthlink.net/~sleepyjackal/index.html]">[http://home.earthlink.net/~sleepyjackal/index.html]  2006-10-23 00:25|| Front Page Top

#2 But...but...but...the opposition is Islamofascist, specifically: Muslim Brotherhood terrorists. In September, Condi Rice hinted at new relations between the US and Sunni majority states. Given the Saudi hate for Persian Shiites, they would probably move to turn Syria against Iran. That would require both the removal of Assad and US acceptance of a new Baathist regime. The Saudis and Egyptians, etc would like to see moves against the Brotherhood, Hizbollah and al-Qaeda suspects that Assad has tolerated.

I think the above is somewhat in the plans of the Bush administration, but would require breaking down of reluctant parties and: elimination of the Ahmadinejad tyranny. A huge US fleet is moving toward the Persian Gulf. Around 80,000 or more Rapid Deployment Forces could shift to the Iraq Theater. But they couldn't do much unless Iran took some huge hits that smart bombs couldn't touch. In the 19th century, England controlled the Straits of Hormuz. An Anglo-American force has to repeat that policy, and depopulate some north Gulf regions, of any potential hostiles. The south is already somewhat in control of friendlies. We would have to look the other way, when the Saudis finally move against their own Arab Shiites. The above will not likely play out in that exact manner, but there can be no scenario that permits the Ayatollahs to continue their savage and aggressive rule in Iran.
Posted by Snease Shaiting3550 2006-10-23 02:56||   2006-10-23 02:56|| Front Page Top

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