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2020-11-02 Home Front: Politix

Biden Drops 8 Points In 3 Weeks In Florida

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Posted by Fred 2020-11-02 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11132 views ] Top

#1 It's not that he is losing ground. Joe's appeal is becoming more selective.

Posted by SteveS 2020-11-02 00:59|| 2020-11-02 00:59|| Front Page Top

#2 Gotta roll back some of that fake polling before the election, you know. Can't be seen doing a poor job. The NY Slimes promised they would do better after the 2016 election and this is what they meant, I guess.

Posted by gorb 2020-11-02 01:53|| 2020-11-02 01:53|| Front Page Top

#3 /\ Yes, prime time expectation management.

Posted by Besoeker 2020-11-02 03:00|| 2020-11-02 03:00|| Front Page Top

#4 at least 50% of the votes are already cast in FL

I wonder how this is accounted for in polls.

Posted by Lord Garth 2020-11-02 03:28|| 2020-11-02 03:28|| Front Page Top

#5 ^And if they were cast by mail, we know that they'll say.

Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-11-02 03:43|| 2020-11-02 03:43|| Front Page Top

#6 at least 50% of the votes are already cast in FL

Many states require your party affiliation so you vote in the right primary. If you early vote or request a ballot they know your affiliation and can assume you are voting for your party. That means Republicans did a lot of early voting. Now if you poll the Democrats who actually returned a ballot you can get a guesstimate on the actual voting (not just what they are registered as). I assume those guesstimates are interesting.

Posted by 3dc 2020-11-02 06:41|| 2020-11-02 06:41|| Front Page Top

#7 I would not assume democrats are always voting for their party. A large number are voting Trump.

Posted by Cleting Closh2157 2020-11-02 08:05|| 2020-11-02 08:05|| Front Page Top

#8 8 in three weeks? That's nothing! Hunter's been known to drop 6 in one night, and... wait. We're talking about the election, aren't we?

Posted by ed in texas 2020-11-02 10:56|| 2020-11-02 10:56|| Front Page Top

#9 Joe never had the support. The polls are fake. Now they show a "tightening" race so they can still claim a bit of credibility when Trump wins in a landslide.

Posted by Abu Uluque 2020-11-02 11:39|| 2020-11-02 11:39|| Front Page Top

#10 Florida is already counting mail in ballots as they did in 2016 and will likely be one of the first States to announce results. Polls close there at 7 ET in most of the State and 8 pm ET in the west panhandle. I think that in 2016 they announced Trump as the winner by about 9pm. Of course that year the mail in vote was about half of what it is this year.

Posted by Lord Garth 2020-11-02 16:14|| 2020-11-02 16:14|| Front Page Top

#11 Joe was never ahead in Florida. The polls were lies. Now that the one and only opportunity to measure polls against data is coming up, they are being adjusted closer to reality, and afterward the pollsters will brag about how accurate they were.

Posted by Iblis 2020-11-02 17:08|| 2020-11-02 17:08|| Front Page Top

#12 The only reliable pollster is Trafgar Grouo, which corrects for the biases suffered by the other pollsters (nonresponse, inaccurate weighting, bad sampling etc).

Trafalgar has Trump winning Ohio easily and up by a clear, though narrow, margin in every one of the other battlegrounds: up by ~3 in MI, NC, FL, and AZ.

If Trump wins PA and FL and OH, and takes either AZ or NC, then he only needs one more midwestern battleground state -- MI or WI or MN -- to win with high-270s EC votes.

Posted by Chavimp Spawn of the Weak4469 2020-11-02 18:47|| 2020-11-02 18:47|| Front Page Top

22:39 trailing wife
22:15 ed in texas
22:09 ed in texas
22:03 Clem
21:58 trailing wife
21:54 Clem
21:22 gorb
20:51 Slappy
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20:39 Iblis
20:38 Maggie Grusoque3716
20:38 Slappy
20:36 gorb
20:36 Slappy
20:06 3dc
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19:59 Clem
19:39 Ebbomoger Speaking for Boskone4589
19:26 Woodrow
19:23 Rob Crawford
19:22 Woodrow
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19:13 NoMoreBS