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2010-11-02 --Tech & Moderator Notes

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Posted by Steve White 2010-11-02 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11131 views ] Top

#1 My predictions

1) R+72
2) R+8
3a) Fiorina
3b) Frank (ugh)
3c) 8:42 pm EDT

Steve

Posted by Steve White 2010-11-01 15:32|| 2010-11-01 15:32|| Front Page Top

#2 R+75/10, Fiorina/Frank, 8:42am EDT

Posted by gorb 2010-11-01 15:57|| 2010-11-01 15:57|| Front Page Top

#3 1. R +75
2. R +8
3. a) Litigation
3. b) Frank (too bad not G)
3. c) 8:42 pm EDT 11/1/10

Posted by Nimble Spemble 2010-11-01 16:11|| 2010-11-01 16:11|| Front Page Top

#4 R+71
R+7
Fiorina
Frank
Sep 13th 2001

And since Steve said the magic word without having won, I'd like to thank him for my drink.

Posted by Mike N. 2010-11-01 16:20|| 2010-11-01 16:20|| Front Page Top

#5 I don't want to jinx it but Carly has a VERY good chance of kicking Babs out of office. (crossing fingers)

Posted by Cyber Sarge 2010-11-01 16:26|| 2010-11-01 16:26|| Front Page Top

#6 I entered another pool two weeks ago betting R +60 in the House and R +10 in the Senate. I'm starting to wonder if that House number is pessimistic.

For this pool, let's try this:

- House R +78
- Senate R + 10
- Carly "Demonsheep" Fiorina beats Barbara Boxturtle
- Sean Beilat shocks the world by beating Barney Frank
- 8:35 pm, as Keith Olbermann has an on-air psychotic break

Those of you in Ohio, please be sure to vote and help rid our fair state of Ted Strickland!

Posted by Mike 2010-11-01 16:26|| 2010-11-01 16:26|| Front Page Top

#7 My prediction is based on them not finding "extra" ballots once the counting is done.

Posted by Cyber Sarge 2010-11-01 16:29|| 2010-11-01 16:29|| Front Page Top

#8 House R+56
Senate R+6
Boxer
Frank
They started weeks (months?) ago.

Remember who counts the votes in most of the close jurisdictions. Dems NEVER lose under those circumstances.

Posted by Glenmore 2010-11-01 16:36|| 2010-11-01 16:36|| Front Page Top

#9 Remember Boss Tweed of Tammany Hall's motto: "In counting, there is strength"

Posted by rwv 2010-11-01 16:52|| 2010-11-01 16:52|| Front Page Top

#10 #1 My predictions

1) R+81
2) R+9
3a) Fiorina
3b) Frank
3c) already started via lending credence to Obama rantings

Warty

Posted by Warthog 2010-11-01 16:53|| 2010-11-01 16:53|| Front Page Top

#11 1) R+77
2) R+9
3a) Fiorina
3b) Sielat
3c) 10:05 PM

Posted by Iblis 2010-11-01 18:03|| 2010-11-01 18:03|| Front Page Top

#12 1) R+80
2) R+9
3a) Boxer
3b) Bielat
3c) 7:32 pm EST

Posted by Scooter McGruder 2010-11-01 19:02|| 2010-11-01 19:02|| Front Page Top

#13 1) 85
2) 9
3a) Fiorina
3b) Frank
3c) 7PM

Posted by Frank G 2010-11-01 19:14|| 2010-11-01 19:14|| Front Page Top

#14 Got no idea. I've already started drinking. The Dems are masters of "finding" new un-counted ballots.

Posted by Deacon Blues 2010-11-01 19:31|| 2010-11-01 19:31|| Front Page Top

#15 R +67
R +10
Boxer (ugh, ugh) I say that with great disdain.
Frank (ugh, ugh) Same comment.
I'll say 10 p.m. (I don't think MSNBC ever stopped blaming the American people.)

Posted by JohnQC 2010-11-01 20:52|| 2010-11-01 20:52|| Front Page Top

#16 1) R+75
2) R+9
3a) Fiorina
3b) Frank (ugg)
3c) 9:00, thus giving everyone plenty of time to have a beer or two in celebration

Posted by IG-88 2010-11-01 20:59|| 2010-11-01 20:59|| Front Page Top

#17 Political Class wins, you lose.

Posted by Bright Pebbles 2010-11-01 21:24|| 2010-11-01 21:24|| Front Page Top

#18 I'm just hoping Ryan Frazier wins. I'll actually know a Congressman - and even better, he's a good one.

Posted by OldSpook 2010-11-01 22:02|| 2010-11-01 22:02|| Front Page Top

#19 1) R+86
2) R+9
3a) Fiorina
3b) Fwank (Not Frank G!)
3c) 7:15PM

Posted by Muggsy Glink 2010-11-01 22:36|| 2010-11-01 22:36|| Front Page Top

#20 Lots of illegal aliens, dead and pretend people will vote many times each to insured Democratic wins in Illinois.

Posted by Water Modem 2010-11-01 22:52|| 2010-11-01 22:52|| Front Page Top

#21 We'll see.

1) R+87
2) R+7
3) A)Fiorina
B)Sielat
C) 4pm (Though they've kind of started already)

Posted by Silentbrick 2010-11-02 00:48|| 2010-11-02 00:48|| Front Page Top

#22 I voted absentee 2 weeks ago but...
1. 67
2. 5
3a. Boxer
b. Fwank
c. About one second after the polls close on the East Coast cause they'll realize the Dems/Messiah got crushed.

Posted by Bangkok Billy 2010-11-02 07:33|| 2010-11-02 07:33|| Front Page Top

#23 Pubs gain 80 in the house, 8 in the senate. I'll be a contrarian and say Fiorina and Sielat barely win, with litigation to follow. (There will be "missing" ballots that turn up weeks later, but strangely enough, none of them will be from military personnel serving overseas. All will be favorable to the Dems. Just a coincidence, really.)

PMS-NBC already started the blame game, along with the other usual suspects (Puffington Ho, CNN, Slate/Salon). Will now start with the BS line about how this is really a "victory" and puts them in a great position for 2012 with a huge honkin' win for the O.

I'm just looking forward to hearing the lamentations of their "women" (Madcow, Behar, Garofalo, Olbermann). And Grayson getting defeated in the next district over.

Posted by Swamp Blondie 2010-11-02 07:48|| 2010-11-02 07:48|| Front Page Top

#24 1)+65
2)+7
3a)Boxer
3b)Frank
3c)When did they not?
Of more concern to me: Kirk over Giannoulias (IL Senate), Brady over Quinn (IL gov)

Posted by Spot 2010-11-02 08:19|| 2010-11-02 08:19|| Front Page Top

#25 1) R+76
2) R+10
3a) Boxer (I suspect the fix is in)
3b) Sielat
3c) 10AM 11/2

Posted by CrazyFool 2010-11-02 08:30|| 2010-11-02 08:30|| Front Page Top

#26 re: 3c

Indiana polls close at pm EDT. Most of the State should have reported by 630pm EDT. Florida, GA, Virginia, Vermont close at 7 pm EDT. Results from those States should be coming in by 8 pm EDT.

MSNBC has already been blaming voters. They also blame Bush, Obama (for not communicating or not being aggressive enough), FoxNews, Harry Reid (for not being cute and also not scheduling a vote on cap & trade), Bill Clinton (for not supporting ObamaCare when it counted), the Senate Democrats (for taking too long to debate Obamacare), the Supreme Court (for the decision allowing more free speech in campaign funding), various cabinet officials (especially in the Treasury Dept), DrudgeReport and probably they could blame Rantburg also I suppose.

Posted by lord garth 2010-11-02 08:41|| 2010-11-02 08:41|| Front Page Top

#27 LG don't forget the FL pan handle is an hour behind so they officially aren't supposed to release anything until after those polls close at 8 edt.

Posted by Beavis 2010-11-02 09:02|| 2010-11-02 09:02|| Front Page Top

#28 good point beavis

also, I left off that INDIANA polls close at 6 pm EDT (and I think the whole state is now on Eastern time)

Posted by lord garth 2010-11-02 12:02|| 2010-11-02 12:02|| Front Page Top

#29 1) +80
2) +12
3a) Fiorina (+3)
3b) Sielat (+2)
3c) 7:01 PM

Posted by BigEd 2010-11-02 13:46|| 2010-11-02 13:46|| Front Page Top

#30 1) +51

2) +7

3)

a) Fiorina

b) Frank

c) 1968 (isn't that obvious?)

Posted by no mo uro 2010-11-02 14:41|| 2010-11-02 14:41|| Front Page Top

#31 "c) what time (EDT) does MS-NBC start blaming the American people?"

7:01 p.m. EDT.

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 15:29|| 2010-11-02 15:29|| Front Page Top

#32 1) +64

2) +7

3)

a)Boxer (Forget it, Jake. It's California.)

b)Frank (Bielat fails by the margin of fraud)

c)7:47:12 p.m. EDT

Posted by Vinegar Elmaimp3194 2010-11-02 15:56|| 2010-11-02 15:56|| Front Page Top

#33 I'd love if both Boxer and Frank lost. Both need booting. They are part of what's wrong with the state of the economy and the nation. However, California and Massachusetts are involved.

Posted by JohnQC 2010-11-02 16:13|| 2010-11-02 16:13|| Front Page Top

#34 I'm surprised so many people predict Fiorina will take it. I just can't see the Boxer machine failing to get the fix in.

Posted by Scooter McGruder 2010-11-02 16:13|| 2010-11-02 16:13|| Front Page Top

#35 #32 was me.

I am full of vinegar though.

Posted by charger 2010-11-02 16:17|| 2010-11-02 16:17|| Front Page Top

#36 I have a side bet going with one of the guys in our Florida office: Rubio's margin of victory over his nearest competitor in Florida versus Portman's margin over "Landslide Lee" Fisher here in Ohio. A bottle of Scotch is riding on it.

Posted by Mike 2010-11-02 17:11|| 2010-11-02 17:11|| Front Page Top

#37 Good luck!
I will stay up to watch the results

Posted by European Conservative 2010-11-02 18:21|| 2010-11-02 18:21|| Front Page Top

#38 1) 60
2) 8
3a) Boxer
3b) Frank
3c) What time does the show start? ;-P

I hope that my predictions are way too pessimistic and that the tea-nami blows away all the usual number crunching strategies - BUT I'm pegging my guess to that of Michael Barone, because I am in awe of his grasp of the data and his analytical prowess generally.

Here are some guesses by some notable conservatives over at the Washington Examiner.

Posted by ryuge 2010-11-02 18:27|| 2010-11-02 18:27|| Front Page Top

#39 This is what Drudge has based on exit polls, and we all know how reliable they are.
Arkansas: Boozman (R) over Lincoln (D)
Ohio: Portman (R) over Fisher (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R) over Potter (D)
Wisconsin: Johnson (R) over Feingold (D)

Posted by Deacon Blues 2010-11-02 18:37|| 2010-11-02 18:37|| Front Page Top

#40 Drudge has Boxer over Fiorina, so I think I'm off to a good start with my picks....

Posted by Scooter McGruder 2010-11-02 20:05|| 2010-11-02 20:05|| Front Page Top

#41 Alan ~~Joe Shit The Rag Picker~~ Grayson is Toast

Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 20:30|| 2010-11-02 20:30|| Front Page Top

#42 Ding dong, Grayson's gone!

I can go to sleep happy now.

Christie/Rubio '12. Heard it here first. ;)

Posted by Swamp Blondie 2010-11-02 20:43|| 2010-11-02 20:43|| Front Page Top

#43 another notch on the Remove-A-Dick-O'meter

Posted by Frank G 2010-11-02 20:43|| 2010-11-02 20:43|| Front Page Top

#44 Well, it appears the botox is still eating away at Madame Speaker's brain...

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi rejected numerous polls predicting a Republican landslide among House candidates and defiantly predicted tonight that Democrats will retain control of the House of Representatives.

"The early returns and overwhelming number of Democrats who are coming out we're on pace to maintain a majority in the House of Representatives," Pelosi told reporters during a photo op in Washington.

Posted by tu3031 2010-11-02 20:47|| 2010-11-02 20:47|| Front Page Top

#45 GBUSMC, dont even go there for Grayson, he's a completely contemptible ~~douche~~ enema bag. At least Joe Shit the Ragman allegedly served in the military... I think JSTRM's famous everywhere in the military except the Airforce, but mainly heard of him from Squids, so he was likely a Navy guy.

Anyway glad to see his ass OUT of Congress. People with rabies should not hold office.

Posted by OldSpook 2010-11-02 20:56|| 2010-11-02 20:56|| Front Page Top

#46 6:13 PM PST and Fox sez Madam Pelosi has to turn over the big gavel. Come January? Back to the back benches, bitch

Posted by Frank G 2010-11-02 21:23|| 2010-11-02 21:23|| Front Page Top

#47 Col. West is leading 57% to 43%

Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 21:37|| 2010-11-02 21:37|| Front Page Top

#48 They just called it for Barney.

Posted by tu3031 2010-11-02 21:42|| 2010-11-02 21:42|| Front Page Top

#49 Barney in a minority is now subject to ethics and corruption investigations. Count me among the Darrell Issa fans

Posted by Frank G 2010-11-02 21:48|| 2010-11-02 21:48|| Front Page Top

#50 Love to see Barney Frank and Weaselface Waxman investigated.

Posted by OldSpook 2010-11-02 22:20|| 2010-11-02 22:20|| Front Page Top

#51 News agencies are calling the house won for the 'pubs.

Posted by DarthVader 2010-11-02 22:33|| 2010-11-02 22:33|| Front Page Top

#52 #42 Blondie - I'm happy to say Webster was one of the people I contributed to. Glad Grayson has been shown the door.

Even though my donation was very small ($50), I received a hand-written note from his wife thanking me. I've never heard of such a thing. I was so impressed I sent them an extra $25. (I didn't really need those books I was going to buy with that money, anyway.)

I'm starting my 2012 donation fund now. I figure at least $10/paycheck put aside (and more when I get some overtime) should add up in the next 2 years. :-D

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 22:37|| 2010-11-02 22:37|| Front Page Top

#53 Shocka! Rick Boucher (Dem Representative, Va.) defeated. That was unexpected.

Hot double damn! :-D

Posted by Barbara Skolaut 2010-11-02 23:18|| 2010-11-02 23:18|| Front Page Top

#54 Col. West is IN!

Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 23:42|| 2010-11-02 23:42|| Front Page Top

#55 Col. West is IN!

Posted by GolfBravoUSMC 2010-11-02 23:42|| 2010-11-02 23:42|| Front Page Top

23:58 JosephMendiola
23:49 JosephMendiola
23:42 GolfBravoUSMC
23:42 GolfBravoUSMC
23:22 Barbara Skolaut
23:18 Barbara Skolaut
23:16 Pappy
23:05 Pappy
22:58 Pappy
22:53 trailing wife
22:52 Pappy
22:48 trailing wife
22:43 lotp
22:40 Barbara Skolaut
22:37 Barbara Skolaut
22:33 DarthVader
22:20 OldSpook
22:19 JosephMendiola
21:48 Frank G
21:48 JosephMendiola
21:42 tu3031
21:37 GolfBravoUSMC
21:24 badanov
21:23 Frank G