Article

2022-02-11 Economy

Government hiring is behind Biden's job growth

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Posted by Hupavish Speaking for Boskone8393 2022-02-11 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11127 views ] Top

#1 Not hard to have job growth when you have put a shitload of people out of work and can fudge the numbers. I don't give a shit who is up ext, I can't wait to see this son of a bitch die and I hope it's painful. Take that scraggly ass bitch of a wife with you too.

Posted by Chris 2022-02-11 01:03|| 2022-02-11 01:03|| Front Page Top

#2 You really do have to wonder about a governmental system that permits something like a 'Biden' presidency to happen.

Posted by Besoeker 2022-02-11 04:36|| 2022-02-11 04:36|| Front Page Top

#3 Prices are sticky. No way that inflationary pressures can be reduced now without either stagflation or a reprise of Paul Volcker's famous "root canal" monetary policy.

Buckle your seatbelts

Posted by Merrick Ferret 2022-02-11 05:14|| 2022-02-11 05:14|| Front Page Top

#4 I don't understand the Wash Examiner articleshows approx stability in govt jobs.. If you look at table B-1 in the Jan 2022 BLS report,

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

Certainly the BLS has lots of problems in doing seasonal adjustment during the pandemic and this accounts for not only the difference between the Jan 2022 ADP and BLS reports (ADP showing job loss, BLS showing job gains) but also early months where ADP showed large gains and BLS showed small gains.

Also, the Wash Examiner doesn't seem to understand that the BLS report does not measure 'hiring', only people with jobs. Thus people 'recalled' from layoffs (which happens a lot in manufacturing) or switched from temp to permanent (which happens a lot in local govt education employment) are not really 'hiring' in the sense that most people use the term.

Posted by Lord Garth 2022-02-11 07:54|| 2022-02-11 07:54|| Front Page Top

#5 By 1920, 5.4 million people worked for the govt.There were twice as many officials as there were workers in Soviet Russia...from Orlando Figes "Revolutionary Russia".

Posted by Omiting Theting7288 2022-02-11 08:51|| 2022-02-11 08:51|| Front Page Top

#6 Re #4: Upon closer examination, this article is comparing the 1 year rise in government employment, with the 1 month drop in private sector employment.

You can see approx those numbers on page 23 of your BLS PDF where 1 year government sector jobs (non seasonally adjusted) increased by 679,000.

The one month private sector jobs shows a several hundred thousand decrease. I leave it to you to add up all the private sector job categories.

Posted by Snusoting Omains7589 2022-02-11 09:36|| 2022-02-11 09:36|| Front Page Top

#7 Also your BLS PDF pg 23 shows 1 month government sector employment increased by 354,000. Hardly a sustainable model.

Posted by Snusoting Omains7589 2022-02-11 09:41|| 2022-02-11 09:41|| Front Page Top

#8 /\ If the five counties surrounding Washington D.C. can be used as a model, that's roughly 350,000 more democratic voters.

Posted by Besoeker 2022-02-11 10:35|| 2022-02-11 10:35|| Front Page Top

#9 government sector jobs (non seasonally adjusted) increased by 679,000.

So that's where the illegals are going.

Posted by Skidmark 2022-02-11 12:18|| 2022-02-11 12:18|| Front Page Top

#10 the household survey which generates those big govt employment increases is based on a pretty small sample and subject to a lot of misunderstanding by the people surveyed

I was looking at the employer (aka establishment) survey where the employers themselves report. In that survey, govt employment is pretty stable although the employment of teachers (a pretty large percentage of local govt) has been disrupted by pandemic related issues.

I wouldn't be surprised if the household survey also was messed up by this when, say a person goes from teaching remotely to teaching on site they change their answers about whether they are employed or not. Similarly the various auxiliary functions of education, e.g., kitchen workers, maintenance, health and safety, etc. have been filtering back to on site work over the past year.

Posted by Lord Garth 2022-02-11 12:56|| 2022-02-11 12:56|| Front Page Top

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