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Science & Technology
Scaling the Future: How Replicator Aims to Fast-Track U.S. Defense Capabilities
2023-09-23
[War on the Rocks] The U.S. Department of Defense recently unveiled an ambitious initiative aptly named Replicator, aimed at rapidly scaling capabilities in the face of strategic competition with the People’s Republic of China. Replicator’s first task will be to quickly scale and field thousands of attritable autonomous systems within the next 18 to 24 months, leveraging AI, robotics, and commercial technology. This initiative is the latest in a series of institutional pushes the Department of Defense is making to transition advances in emerging technologies into realized and ready-to-use capabilities. The initiative’s intent is to keep pace with China’s efforts to "intelligentize" its military by leveraging an array of cutting-edge technologies to pursue its foreign policy goals in the Indo-Pacific.

Replicator’s goal is to integrate emerging technologies — and particularly those originating in the private sector — into the military’s operational framework. However, there is growing concern that the Department of Defense’s recent initiatives and existing processes may not be sufficient to meet the immediate challenges, that the planned degree of change isn’t sufficient, and that the department risks falling down a path of risky incrementalism. The planned changes, such as the launch of a generative AI task force or efforts to conduct extensive AI training and education of the Department of Defense workforce, are long-term investments that won’t yield immediate results. This leaves the United States potentially vulnerable in the short term as China continues to rapidly build up to blunt current U.S. operational advantages.

The question remains whether the pace and scale of Replicator’s innovations can meet the demands of an increasingly complex and competitive geopolitical landscape. If Replicator lives up to its hype, it could create a streamlined pathway for integrating emerging technologies into the military — another cut at the bottleneck analysts and policymakers alike have been lamenting has hindered the U.S. military’s ability to maintain its competitive edge. So, while the promise of Replicator is immense, its success hinges on overcoming a myriad of challenges, from production scalability to bureaucratic inertia, that have hindered previous similar innovation adoption efforts.

From Exquisite to Attritable
Sounds like the US could use a robust industrial base and supply chain right about now. Much more at link.
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Posted by:Enver Slager8035

#1  There is this Russian-American bloger Andrei Martyanov who claims that USA is f#cked because Americans rely on computers too much.
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2023-09-23 12:23  

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