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2025-01-23 Israel-Palestine-Jordan
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As terrorists go free, Israel debates keeping enemies close or sending them far away
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[IsraelTimes] History shows dangers and possible benefits of setting killers loose in West Bank or Gaza, but also points to risks that come with exiling terror leaders beyond Israel’s reach
Recent polling conducted before the clinching of a hostage release and ceasefire agreement with Hamas
 ..the braying voice of Islamic Resistance®,...
this month found consistently high levels of support for an agreement that would free captives stuck in Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with a rusty iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response ...
for over 15 months, even if many Israelis disagreed over the exact contours of the truce or what concessions should be on the table.
Earlier surveys conducted over the course of the war had shown significantly lower levels of support, indicating impatience had grown over the fate of the hostages and exhaustion with the war and with the mounting corpse count among Israeli soldiers still fighting in the Strip.
Hostage release deals provide a hurting nation with a sense of elation at the sight of the emotional reunions between the hostages and their families. That collective euphoria can be fleeting, though, as the realization of the price paid begins to sink in.
For Israel, that price includes nearly 2,000 Paleostinian inmates to be released for the first 33 hostages alone, with more expected to be released in exchange for the remaining hostages in the second and third stages of the agreement.
While the first stage will see several Paleostinian Lions of Islam serving multiple life sentences for murder walk free, many of the worst offenders — the "heavies" in Israeli parlance — are expected to be let go only in the latter phases of the deal.
Israel had little choice but to agree to the terms of the agreement if it wanted to recover the 97 hostages in Gaza at the time of the deal’s signing, including at least 35 bodies. While a handful were rescued by Israeli commandos, military officials had made clear that future attempts would be nearly impossible and endanger the lives of the hostages, whose conditions are deteriorating.
However,
by candlelight every wench is handsome...
Israel does have choices to make regarding how best to ensure the worst released Lions of Islam are unable to repeat their deadly attacks. One of the choices is whether the freed murderers are authorized to live in the West Bank or Gaza or exiled outside the region once released.
Within the Shin Bet security service, opinions remain divided.
Israel has demanded that the most prominent murderers — those deemed certain to return to terrorist activity — be deported outside the region
However,
by candlelight every wench is handsome...
some hold the view that it would be preferable to release them to the West Bank, where Israel has full operational freedom and can reach them immediately and relatively easily.
Sadly, Israel has experience to draw on.
DANGERS NEAR AND FAR
In 2011, when Israel released 1,027 prisoners for captured soldier Gilad Shalit, it allowed many of them to return to the West Bank. According to Israel, some resumed terror activities, taking advantage of their easy access to Israeli targets.
But three years later, when Israel launched a major crackdown on Hamas following the abduction and murder of Israeli teenagers Gil-ad Shaer, Naftali Fraenkel and Eyal Yifrach, it was able to quickly rearrest many of them.
The seeds of that deadly kidnapping can be traced to another released Paleostinian prisoner, Saleh al-Arouri, who was let out of prison in 2010 and exiled abroad.
Working from his new home in The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...a NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Originally it was a mutual defense pact directed against an expansionist Soviet Union. In later years it evolved into a mechanism for picking the American pocket while criticizing the cut of the American pants...
member, but not the most reliable...
, and later Leb
...The Lebs have the curious habit of periodically murdering their heads of state or prime ministers...
, Arouri established Hamas’s "West Bank headquarters," an operational hub that orchestrated dozens of attacks, including the June 2014 kidnapping of the three teenagers, which led to the 2014 war in Gaza.
Arouri was also a key figure in building up Hamas’s armed wing in Gaza, leveraging his ties with Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
and Hezbollah.
In Lebanon, he helped establish a Hamas foothold with the tacit approval of Hezbollah, which was able to draw on Paleostinian operatives from refugee camps in Tyre as proxies.
A barrage of dozens of rockets fired at Israel in April 2023 was a show of Hamas’s capability and willingness to open another front against Israel under Hezbollah’s watchful eye.
Israel assassinated Arouri in Beirut in early January 2024, but decision-makers initially balked at attacking the senior Hamas figure due to fears of how Hezbollah would respond, underlining the downstream complexities that can arise from deporting terror leaders.
Neither Israel nor the Paleostinian Authority have disclosed what countries could take in the high-profile prisoners who are deported. Where they end up will determine how Israel may deal with them if and when these deportees return to terrorist activities. Turkey and Qatar
...an emirate on the east coast of the Arabian Peninsula. It sits on some really productive gas and oil deposits, which produces the highest per capita income in the world. They piss it all away on religion, financing the Moslem Brotherhood and several al-Qaeda affiliates. Home of nutbag holy manYusuf al-Qaradawi...
are off-limits for Israeli operations, while actions in other countries would depend on political circumstances and operational opportunities.
In Lebanon, for instance, Israel has retained a policy of taking action against any emerging threat, even after agreeing to a ceasefire with Hezbollah in November.
Jerusalem has insisted on applying the same to Gaza following the war and Prime Minister Netanyahu continues to assert that both former US president Joe The Big Guy Biden
...46th president of the U.S. Joe's wife and daughter weren't killed by a drunk driver. He didn't graduate with three or even two degrees, wasn't in the top half of his law class, and his daddy didn't come home from a hard day's work in the mines and play football with the guys. The NAACP hasn't endorsed him every time he's run....
and current president Donald Trump
...Never got invited to a P.Diddy party...
have promised to back Israel should it return to fighting.
Israel could decide to deport some of these Lions of Islam to Gaza. That is where many of those released in the Shalit deal ended up, including Yahya Sinwar, the late Hamas leader who criminal masterminded the October 7 massacre.
THE GAZA CHALLENGE
Beyond attempting to ensure that it does not free the next Sinwar into the fecund terror environment of Gaza, Israel is also focusing on the interim goal of preventing Hamas from rebuilding its military capabilities to a level that poses a renewed threat.
This can only be achieved through the tightest possible closure of smuggling routes from Egypt — a matter currently at the heart of Israeli-Egyptian negotiations in Cairo.
It’s unclear whether a proposal for a new border crossing at the Gaza-Egypt-Israel border triangle remains in play. The idea had been pushed by former defense minister Yoav Gallant, who envisioned the site being monitored by Israel, Egypt and international actors.
Israeli officials emphasize that they have not abandoned the war’s primary objective: preventing Hamas from retaining any governmental or military control. It remains an open question who could take its place, though.
Meanwhile,
...back at the buffalo wallow, Standing Buffalo drew a bead on his old enemy and squeezed the trigger...
new challenges are being created with the looming influx of hundreds of terror convicts into the West Bank, administered by a weakened and financially drained PA.
One of Israel’s key achievements in the war has been maintaining relative stability in the West Bank, continuing security coordination with Paleostinian security forces, and preventing the eruption of another front. Nonetheless, Hamas still views the West Bank as a place where it can operate with relative ease, and Israel knows it.
Both Israel and the PA would like to clamp down on Hamas. But while the PA wants to act, it lacks the capability, thus raising major doubts about its ability to govern Gaza.
In the absence of an alternative, Hamas will fill the power vacuum. On Sunday, when transferring the three freed hostages to the Red Thingy, Hamas demonstrated that it still maintains some control over Gaza’s streets — a grip that is liable to strengthen as calm there persists. 
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Posted by trailing wife 2025-01-23 00:00||
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Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-01-23 06:31||
2025-01-23 06:31||
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