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2024-11-01 Home Front: Politix
Polling Nostradamus Nate Silver says others are lying about election forecasts
[MAIL] Nate Silver went into a tirade about how pollsters are lying to people about their results just days before the election.

Silver, the founder of poll analytics site FiveThirtyEight, was speaking on his podcast when he was asked what his models tell him will happen next Tuesday.

While he says it's a 55% chance Donald Trump wins vs. 45% for Kamala Harris, what pollsters have been doing in the run-up to the election has left him unsettled.

He claims that many surveys, including Emerson College, are doing something called 'herding' - or using existence poll results to impact new polls - to keep producing close polls with one candidate or the other up by one point

'In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less, they all, every time a pollster [says] 'Oh, every state is is just +1, every single state's a tie,' No! You're f***ing herding! You're cheating! You're cheating!'
Posted by Besoeker 2024-11-01 00:45|| || Front Page|| [11166 views ]  Top

#1 Who would go to the Derby to watch 'Mystik Dan' run against a field of mules? It's all about media viewership and advertising money.
Posted by Besoeker 2024-11-01 01:06||   2024-11-01 01:06|| Front Page Top

#2 They counting pre-prepared Kamala ballots and he doesn't?
Posted by Grom the Reflective 2024-11-01 03:01||   2024-11-01 03:01|| Front Page Top

#3 "You're putting your f***ing finger on the scale!'"

Pollsters try to influence elections via their their biases and polls? I am shocked!
Posted by JohnQC 2024-11-01 11:49||   2024-11-01 11:49|| Front Page Top

#4 I consider Nate Silver to be a leading expert on manipulating polling data.
Posted by Super Hose 2024-11-01 12:39||   2024-11-01 12:39|| Front Page Top

#5 If the election is called early, their consulting money ends early. It in their own best interest to keep the story going every last minute.
Posted by ed in texas 2024-11-01 16:00||   2024-11-01 16:00|| Front Page Top

03:27 trailing wife
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02:47 Grom the Reflective
02:39 Seeking Cure For Ignorance
02:37 Grom the Reflective
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