2024-10-04 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
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Solar flare ejects 1 trillion tons of plasma
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Regnum] The mass of the plasma cloud that was ejected after a powerful flare that occurred on the Sun is approximately 1 trillion tons. Sergey Bogachev, head of the solar astronomy laboratory at the IKI RAS, told aif.ru on October 3.
"This is significantly higher than average, which is not surprising given the magnitude of the explosion, but still about 10 times lower than what could have been under some scenarios," he said.
According to Bogachev's estimates, solar plasma will reach Earth in two waves. One will reach our planet on October 3, the other on October 4. This flare is estimated to be the second strongest in the current solar activity cycle.
As reported by the Regnum news agency, experts expect that the solar plasma emission will cause magnetic storms on Earth. They should begin on the evening of October 3 and last until October 5. It is predicted that on October 6, weak disturbances will still be observed in the geomagnetic field, which will not reach the level of magnetic storms, and already at the beginning of next week, the planet's magnetosphere will return to a calm state.
Forecasters reminded that a magnetic storm could lead to disruptions in the operation of power systems, disruptions in shortwave communications and navigation systems, as well as power surges in industrial networks.
More from regnum.ru
Forecaster predicts strong magnetic storm on Earth
On the evening of October 3, a magnetic storm will begin on Earth, which will become strong — class G3 — on the morning of October 4, and will end on the evening of October 5. This was reported on October 3 by Mikhail Leus, a leading specialist at the Phobos weather center.
The weather forecaster specified that a new period of solar activity had begun earlier, which was confirmed by an exceptionally strong solar flare. Strong and prolonged magnetic storms are expected on Earth.
"It is expected that already late this evening, after 9 p.m. Moscow time, a weak magnetic storm of class G1 will begin on Earth. Then the intensity of disturbances in the Earth's magnetosphere will increase and on Friday morning, after six o'clock, the magnetic storm will become strong, class G3. After which, with fluctuations in intensity in the range from weak to strong, the magnetic storm will last until the evening, 9 p.m., Saturday," he wrote on his Telegram channel.
Leus noted that on October 6, weak disturbances will still be observed in the geomagnetic field, which will not reach the level of magnetic storms, and already at the beginning of next week, the planet’s magnetosphere will return to a calm state.
He recalled that a magnetic storm could lead to disruptions in the operation of power systems, disruptions in shortwave communications and navigation systems, as well as voltage failures in industrial networks.
“Increased solar activity may expand the geography of observations of the polar lights,” the forecaster added.
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