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2024-08-15 Economy
Most Commonly Reported Index of US Inflation Slows to 2.9 Percent
[Epoch Times] The U.S. annual inflation rate slowed for the fourth consecutive month in July and came in below market forecasts, raising the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the consumer price index (CPI) eased to 2.9 percent last month, down from 3 percent in June. The consensus estimate was 3 percent.

On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.2 percent, up from the 0.1 percent decline in the previous month. This was in line with market expectations.

Core inflation, which omits the volatile food and energy categories, also slipped to 3.2 percent last month, down from 3.3 percent. The reading matched market estimates.
cuz nobody needs food or energy?
The core CPI jumped 0.2 percent month-over-month, up from 0.1 percent and mirroring economists’ estimates.

Shelter was the primary driver of inflation last month as it has remained stubbornly high, despite expectations that this part of the CPI data would ease by now.

Motor vehicle insurance, which has rocketed in 2024, was another contributor to inflation last month, surging 1.2 percent monthly. On a 12-month basis, this CPI component has surged 18.6 percent.
A recent influx of uninsured motorists, perhaps?
The New York Fed’s July Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) showed that the one-year inflation outlook was unchanged at 3 percent. The median three-year-ahead inflation expectations fell sharply by 0.6 percent to a record low of 2.7 percent. The five-year inflation outlook was unchanged at 2.8 percent.
Comprehensive and lengthy article at link, with a number of anecdotes to be read one way or another. The auto insurance is but one example.
Posted by Bobby 2024-08-15 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11144 views ]  Top

#1 So the total inflation for the last 3 years is 21% not 21.1%. So what.
Posted by 49 Pan 2024-08-15 03:07||   2024-08-15 03:07|| Front Page Top

#2 The government stats do not include shopping basket items.
Posted by Procopius2k 2024-08-15 06:48||   2024-08-15 06:48|| Front Page Top

#3 I see potential application for Kroger’s ‘dynamic pricing’ - use their high numbers for the start of the measure period and the low ones for the end!
Posted by Glenmore 2024-08-15 08:09||   2024-08-15 08:09|| Front Page Top

#4 Just before the election...how convenient!
Posted by NoMoreBS 2024-08-15 14:42||   2024-08-15 14:42|| Front Page Top

#5 revised up after early voting starts
Posted by Frank G 2024-08-15 18:18||   2024-08-15 18:18|| Front Page Top

#6 The market for USA Treasury instruments have priced in a 50 basis point drop in the Federal funds rate in Sept.

Could change as the job report in early Sept and the CPI report the next week precede the Federal Reserve meeting.
Posted by Lord Garth  2024-08-15 19:51||   2024-08-15 19:51|| Front Page Top

08:52 Matt
08:38 Gleng Whaick2262
08:35 Gleng Whaick2262
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08:24 Matt
08:20 SteveS
07:43 Procopius2k
07:42 BrerRabbit
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07:34 trailing wife
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