2024-04-11 Science & Technology
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GIGO - Data From Nonexistent Temperature Stations Fuels Climate Change
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[Epoch Times] When recalling past temperatures to make comparisons to the present, and inform future climate policy, rely in part on temperature readings from the United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN). The network was established to provide an "accurate, unbiased, up-to-date historical climate record for the United States," NOAA states, and it has recorded more than 100 years of daily maximum and minimum temperatures from stations across the United States.
The problem, say experts, is that an increasing number of USHCN’s stations don’t exist anymore.
"They are physically gone—but still report data—like magic," said Lt. Col. John Shewchuk, a certified consulting meteorologist. Mr. Shewchuck said USHCN stations reached a maximum of 1,218 stations in 1957, but after 1990 the number of active stations began declining due to aging equipment and personnel retirements.
NOAA still records data from these ghost stations by taking the temperature readings from surrounding stations, and recording their average for the ghost station, followed by an "E," for estimate.
The addition of the ghost station data means NOAA’s "monthly and yearly reports are not representative of reality," said Anthony Watts, a meteorologist and senior fellow for environment and climate at the Heartland Institute.
"If this kind of process were used in a court of law, then the evidence would be thrown out as being polluted."
NOAA’s use of ghost temperature stations isn’t a recent phenomenon. In 2014, Mr. Watts raised the issue of ghost stations and bad data with NOAA’s chief scientist at the National Climatic Data Center, Tom Peterson, and Texas’ state climatologist, John Nielsen-Gammon, who confirmed there was an issue.
"Anthony — I just did a check of all Texas USHCN stations. Thirteen had estimates in place of apparently good data," Mr. Nielsen-Gammon wrote in an email to Mr. Watts, according to a report on the latter’s website.
"It’s a bug, a big one. And as Zeke [Hausfather] did a cursory analysis Thursday night, he discovered it was systemic to the entire record, and up to 10 percent of stations have ’estimated’ data spanning over a century."
According to Mr. Watts, ghost stations are problematic but are only part of a much bigger problem.
He explained that several different entities—such as the European Commission’s Copernicus, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), Berkeley’s Earth Surface Temperatures (BEST), and NOAA—publish monthly and yearly climate data and advertise themselves as having "independent data."
"That is a lie," Mr. Watts said about the independent data claim.
"The USHCN data set and the [new] nClimDiv climate division data set [which uses the same stations and has the same problems] comes from the Cooperative Observer [Program] in the United States.
"Similarly, in the rest of the world, there is a Cooperative Observer [Program] that suffers from the same problems of attrition and incompetence. And it’s called the GHCN; the Global Historical Climatology Network.
"All these different entities out there, like NOAA, GISS, BEST, all the entities I listed, use the same data from GHCN. And they all apply their own set of ’special sauce' adjustments to create what they believe is true.
"It’s almost like each of these entities is creating their version of the real, true God. You know, it’s like a religion. They’re using different mathematical and statistical techniques to produce their version of climate reality.
"And it all goes back to the same original, badly-sited, badly-maintained ghost station dataset around the world. USHCN and GHCN are the same stuff. So, there is no independent temperature dataset. It’s bogus that anyone claims this."
Mr. Shewchuk said the warming the earth has experienced since the 1800s is much less than has been reported, but even if it weren’t, warmer temperatures are natural—not manmade—and not a cause for concern.
"We are still thawing out from the Little Ice Age because the Bray and Eddy solar cycles are still in their warming phases," he said. "[Carbon dioxide] is a greenhouse gas, but its contribution to today’s warming is trivial. "There is no climate emergency. In fact, all measures of severe weather are decreasing—even tornadoes and hurricanes.
Furthermore, global warming (at least the little that there is) and increasing CO2 are good for life on Earth. History clearly shows us that life thrives during warm periods (like the Medieval Warm Period) and suffers during cool periods (like the Little Ice Age).
He pointed out that even NOAA and NASA report that increased CO2 has "greened the planet" and increased plant growth, which has benefited food production.
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Posted by Bobby 2024-04-11 00:00||
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File under: Tin Hat Dictators, Presidents for Life, & Kleptocrats
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Posted by Huputle+Cherelet4131 2024-04-11 08:58||
2024-04-11 08:58||
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Posted by M. Murcek 2024-04-11 09:11||
2024-04-11 09:11||
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