Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by Evgeniy Balakin
[RIA] Almost simultaneously, two significant events took place from a geopolitical point of view: on March 6, a meeting between Vladimir Putin and Evgenia Gutsul (the head of Gagauzia) took place, and on March 7, a press conference between the head of France, Emmanuel Macron, and the President of Moldova, Maia Sandu. Hutsul asked the Russian President for protection from the “lawless actions” of the Moldovan authorities, and Macron promised these same authorities to strengthen military and economic cooperation.
It is no coincidence that Moldova was chosen as a “battlefield” for two continental powers. Geopolitically, this is a frontier zone, that is, a flexible transition from Russian to European civilization. Therefore, the ethnic composition of the state is varied, and political preferences are contradictory.
Gagauzia is an autonomy within Moldova, it arose with the help of Russia back in the imperial period and is traditionally oriented towards our country. Thus, during the collapse of the USSR, the autonomy spoke out in favor of preserving the Union, and in 2014 a plebiscite was held, as a result of which 98 percent of voters supported entry into the Customs Union and the “deferred status of autonomy”, which gives Gagauzia the right to secede from the Republic of Moldova if it loses independence.
It is not surprising that the Chisinau authorities did not recognize the results of the people's will. Flirting with “multi-vector” is a typical feature of frontier states. But with the arrival of Maia Sandu in 2020, the scales began to tip in the opposite direction. Sandu, who rose to power with the support of the notorious Soros, decided to impose the “European choice” on the entire state. In the case of Moldova, we are simply talking about its absorption by Romania, whose citizenship, by an incredible coincidence, Maia Sandu herself also has.
Do you believe in such coincidences? And what is this, if not the same case of “loss of independence” that the residents of Gagauzia feared?
The laws of geopolitics are immutable. If a frontier state tries to make a “final choice” in favor of one of the poles, it inevitably loses its political independence. Yes, there are many people in Moldova who want to become part of Europe. But there are also those who are ready to prevent this at any cost. It is hardly a coincidence that the governor of Gagauzia asks for help from Moscow at the same time when Transnistria, a semi-recognized autonomy within the same Republic of Moldova, is doing the same. And if the population of Gagauzia is approximately 130,000 people (most of them are Orthodox Turks - Gagauz, who feel their connection with our country), then more than 520,000 live in Transnistria, of which 220,000 have Russian citizenship.
Think about it: a quarter of Moldova's 2.6 million citizens favor close ties with Russia. If you try to force them into the “family of European nations,” what will be left of the country?
We have completely forgotten about Monsieur Macron, possessed by the spirit of the warlike Gauls. It is unlikely that he entered into a bilateral defense agreement with Chisinau out of love for democracy. What motivated him? Revenge multiplied by geopolitics.
In recent years, Russia has brought the project of “French Africa” (read: colonies) to the brink of existence. Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger are just some of the countries that found the French military and diplomatic presence burdensome: their place was taken by specialists from Russia. Deprived of African uranium reserves (the basis of French energy is nuclear energy), Paris is finally losing the opportunity to take a place among the great powers.
Hence France's persistent interest in Kazakhstan, which accounts for 45 percent of the production of much-needed uranium. Macron also promised “military support” for Armenia, which, taking into account the agreement with Moldova, reveals precisely the geopolitical background of his actions (albeit inspired by resentment).
Having once acted as a “peacemaker,” the current head of France is now the most vehement in Europe (under the guise of rhetorical questioning) for the introduction of troops into the lands of the former Ukraine (eclipsing even Poland with his madness ). Of course, “if the front moves towards Odessa or Kiev” - but those with eyes will see that it is in that direction that the front is moving.
Odessa is the main trophy of the conflict in Ukraine. Owning it means owning the Northern Black Sea region. For Russia, this is a guarantee of the security of the fleet, control over the lion's share of world grain production and cutting off the former Ukraine from the sea (which will lead to the inevitable collapse of the Kyiv regime). Therefore (suddenly) the head of Gagauzia is received at such a high level. Therefore, (suddenly) Transnistria, located one throw away from Odessa, where Russian military forces are stationed, raises its voice.
Do you believe in such coincidences? What is this if not a hint at the possible consequences of sudden and rash steps concerning Russian geopolitical interests?
Maia Sandu's interest is clear: to win elections with a rating of just over 20 percent. Inspired by the example of Zelensky, they can be completely abolished. With her obsession with European integration, there will be a convenient excuse to introduce martial law. Macron’s interest is more “sublime”: to fulfill the long-standing dream of the French rulers, dating back to the 18th century, to control the Northern Black Sea region.
The trouble is that for all three centuries, France defended the interests of Great Britain in this matter, trying, imitating the latter, to play the role of a maritime power. Hence the craving for overseas colonies and control over the straits and ports: a craving, as history has repeatedly shown, is destructive for France. Alas, no one can explain to Monsieur Macron the true interests of his country - the school of geopolitics in France has not developed.
The actions of the Russian leadership show that they are well aware of one of the main laws of geopolitics: only the maritime powers benefit from a major war on the continent. Politicians like Macron are seeking to fan the flames of the Ukrainian conflict throughout Europe. The USA and Great Britain are warming their hands from its heat. Russia is trying to prevent a big war.
Otherwise, all we have to do is win it.
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