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2023-08-15 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
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US uses Syrian terrorists to deplete Russia
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by Kirill Semenov
[REGNUM] As a result of a night attack on a military bus on August 11 in the province of Deir ez-Zor near the city of Al-Mayadeen in northeastern Syria, militants of the so-called. The "Islamic State" killed 23 Syrian soldiers and 13 more were injured.
This attack indicates that the terrorist activities of the Islamic State, after several years of calm, have again begun to gain momentum in Syria. At the same time, the rapid increase in the number of militant attacks coincided with the time of the SVO in Ukraine, which makes it necessary to draw certain conclusions.
CONTROLLED ESCALATION
The increased activity of ISIS in Syria since the beginning of the year has already led to heavy fighting in April-May near the city of Al-Qaum. Then the IS militants were able to take control of several settlements, and government troops only with the support of Russian PMCs and Aerospace Forces managed to squeeze them back into the desert. However, the IS attacks did not stop there.
In particular, according to the Military Observer Telegram channel , another terrorist attack took place in the Syrian province of Homs at the end of May. This time, the Russian military headquarters was attacked, the servicemen of which rebuffed the militants. But the Russian military also suffered losses: as a result of this attack, the head of the tactical direction, Colonel Oleg Pechevisty, was killed . The response was a massive strike by the Russian Aerospace Forces on identified IS facilities.
In July, the Islamic State claimed responsibility for a rather unexpected terrorist attack in Damascus. Then at least six people died near the mausoleum of Sayida Zeinab. And already on August 1, terrorists attacked a convoy of vehicles transporting oil products in the Syrian desert guarded by the Syrian army, as a result of which five soldiers and two civilians were killed.
Finally, last Monday, August 7, in the Syrian province of Raqqa, ISIS terrorists attacked checkpoints of government troops. According to foreign sources familiar with the situation, 10 fighters of pro-government forces were killed and at least 6 were injured.
It should be noted that the “controlled” revival of ISIS in the Syrian desert and the increase in the activity of this terrorist group is directly linked to the penetration of militant groups into government-controlled territories from areas held by the United States and its allies, predominantly Kurdish left-wing radical groups of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).
In particular, the flow of both recruits and veterans of the IS, who secretly leave prisons and camps under US control in northeast Syria, does not decrease. Obviously, it is in the interests of the Pentagon to maintain the threat of a resurgence of IS through the use of its own channels to replenish terrorist cells.
Prisons and detention camps for IS militants and their families in the Syrian territories held by the Americans have long turned, on the one hand, into an element of blackmailing the international community on the part of the pro-American SDF formations, including to prevent possible operations by Turkey. On the other hand, they are an important asset in maintaining the “controlled escalation” and, if necessary, transferring it to the “controlled chaos” mode through constant “leaks” of militants to the outside.
It is significant that a new generation of militants is already maturing in these camps. Those who got there as minors have already undergone appropriate indoctrination. Now they are 18-20 years old, and they are ready to join their "older comrades".
In turn, the activity of terrorists will serve as an excuse not only to maintain, but also to increase the American military presence in the Syrian northeast. Since its declared goal is to prevent the revival of ISIS.
The latest Pentagon report cites data from the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA). Information indicates that operations against ISIS by the Syrian government and Iranian-backed groups have shown little effectiveness. These forces rely on both a network of checkpoints and intermittent and ineffective ground patrols around known areas of IS operations.
REASON TO HURT IRAN
Under the veil of countering ISIS, the Pentagon may be hiding preparations for operations of a different nature. In particular, information continues to circulate about US plans to establish a connection between the At-Tanf base in southern Syria, where the pro-American groups of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) are concentrated, and the territories in the northeast of the country controlled by the SDF.
Such an operation can be explained by the Americans as necessary in order to suppress the activities of the ISIS in the Syrian desert, which the Syrian government forces and pro-Iranian militias are allegedly unable to cope with.
Of course, this will be an additional argument for a possible military campaign in eastern Syria, another declared goal of which may be to counter the "Iranian threat." Which, from the point of view of the American administration, is quite a good reason for military action: in recent years, the Americans and their allies in Syria have “exchanged fire” dozens of times with pro-Iranian groups.
The latest incident on August 13 may well belong to the same series. According to the Iranian Fars News Agency, five rockets, apparently fired by a local pro-Iranian group, hit the positions of American forces in the area of the Konoko gas field. Four more exploded at a US base near the El Omar oil field. And a single missile hit the American airfield at the Al-Shaddadi base.
After that, in the Sabur region, not far from Damascus, there was an explosion of ammunition depots and missiles of pro-Iranian militias. It cannot be ruled out that this could have been a retaliatory action on the part of the United States.
In turn, earlier there were reports about the alleged readiness of the United States to conduct a military operation in Syria to establish control over the border town of Albukamal on the border with Iraq. There is a "Shiite corridor" from Iran to Lebanon through Iraq and Syria, linking the so-called. The Axis of Resistance is a pro-Iranian regional alliance.
Thus, on August 2, the Lebanese edition of Al-Akhbar, reflecting the point of view of the Hezbollah group, stated that the Americans were reconfiguring their military presence in eastern Syria in order to take control of the transport corridors between this country and Iraq. The Syrian opposition media Enab Baladi also noted military preparations both by pro-American forces and by pro-Iranian Shiite militants who support official Damascus.
Rumors about a possible American operation in Syria are also fueled by the FSA command in At-Tanf. So, explaining the recent maneuvers of the FSA groups in the Tanf area, its commander specified that these exercises are aimed at active participation in the upcoming hostilities. Against whom and where they will be fought, he did not specify.
Although earlier, on July 12, these pro-American factions explicitly rejected statements about the inevitability of military action in Deir ez-Zor, emphasizing that their main responsibility is to protect the 55-kilometer section and the Rukban camp.
Nevertheless, the process of mutual integration and coordination of the pro-American FSA and SDF continues. FSA commander Muhammad Farid al-Qassim has previously said he has no objection to military coordination with the SDF alliance. According to him, the forces entrusted to him have already made progress in integrating with them. This distinguishes him from his predecessor, Muhannad al-Talaa , who repeatedly refused to work with the SDF, which was one of the reasons for his replacement by the American command.
The other day, Muhammad al-Qassim announced significant steps to strengthen cooperation with the SDF and other armed pro-American groups, which have now established a joint operations center. He stressed that there is a growing consensus on the need to coordinate the efforts of all armed groups in Syria in order to achieve their common goals.
PENTAGON STRATEGY
At the same time, the problems for the conduct of the American military operation in the Syrian desert are obvious, despite the close coordination between the FSA and the SDF. Between At-Tanf in the south and Albukamal in the northeast there is a significant distance of 120 kilometers, aggravated by the impenetrable expanses of the Syrian desert. It creates barriers to the mobility of US-backed factions.
At one time, it was from the At-Tanf base that the detachments of the pro-American FSA from the so-called. "New Syrian Army". Back in June 2016, the task of the Americans was to get ahead of the pro-Iranian Shiite groups by sending their proxies to certain death surrounded by superior ISIS forces. That attack ended in their defeat, and the city was taken and is still controlled by the Shiites.
Nevertheless, despite all the difficulties with conducting such an operation, the main goal of US activity in eastern Syria may be to increase pressure on Russia. It is obvious that any military operations of the American allies in the territories held by the Syrian government will lead to the intervention of the Russian military, primarily the Aerospace Forces.
Actually, the American operation in the east of Syria may not take place, but maintaining the escalation in this area allows the Pentagon to continue to pursue its strategy aimed at "depleting Russia." Maintaining the combat readiness of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Ukraine for some more time, according to Washington's plan, should weaken the Russian Armed Forces.
In turn, the activation of ISIS in Syria and the constant threat of an American military operation in the Syrian northeast should keep the Russian military in the SAR on their toes. This will force Russia to maintain both a high level of combat readiness and the very military presence in that country, which will put additional pressure on the Russian Armed Forces as part of the American strategy to continue the “war of attrition”.
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Posted by badanov 2023-08-15 00:00||
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