|
2023-06-30 China-Japan-Koreas
|
|
Chinese 'War Z.' Beijing is preparing for an all-out military conflict with the United States
|
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
By Mikail Zakharov
[REGNUM] The Chinese military has recently taken into account the "total war" scenario when testing and evaluating the characteristics of new weapons, "as the risk of military conflict between China and the United States has reached its highest level in decades . This was reported by the Hong Kong newspaper South China Morning Post (SCMP).
The scenario (denoted, note, as "War Z") assumes that a regional conflict - a maritime incident around Taiwan or in the South China Sea - develops into a global clash of the level of the First and Second World Wars, in which China is simultaneously attacked by the armies of several states . "Total war" involves the concentration of resources of the national economy and the involvement of the entire population.
Interlocutors of the publication in the People's Liberation Army of China (PLA) explained that the script refers to the attack of a mock enemy - the "blue alliance". But, as the South China Morning Post itself explains, it is obvious that we are talking about the United States and its allies. Indeed, one can recall the blue flag of NATO and the blue standard of the US Secretary of Defense.
The fact that China is considering the most radical scenarios and giving new tasks to its military-industrial complex is understandable, American expert Malek Dudakov explained to IA Regnum . “ The United States is supplying huge quantities of weapons to Taiwan, sending military instructors there,” the source said.
In May, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen , we recall, announced: this unrecognized island state (from the point of view of Beijing - a rebellious territory) is negotiating with Washington on the supply of arms worth half a billion dollars. The Joe Biden administration used the same emergency powers for these deliveries as for deliveries to Ukraine, Bloomberg specified.
“New military bases are now being built in the region, a record number of weapons are being supplied to the Japanese army, and about $20 billion is being allocated for the rearmament of the Japanese Self-Defense Forces in the coming years. These are colossal purchases of fifth-generation F-35 fighters, and hundreds of long-range Tomahawk missiles, and so on ,” Dudakov listed.
Therefore, it is not surprising that the Filipino ex-president Rodrigo Duterte, who was quoted by the SCMP, fears: "If you rate the danger of imminent war on a scale of one to ten, I would rate the situation at 7 points."
THE BLUES START - AND SHOULD NOT WIN
Judging by the publication of the South China Morning Post, "total war" is perceived primarily as a conflict at sea, more precisely in the Pacific Ocean. This follows from the explanations of the head of the working group of analysts Fang Canxin from the "military unit 91 404" (judging by the context, this unit from the port city of Qinhuangdao is one of the "think tanks" of the PLA).
“According to open information, Fang’s division is responsible for sea trials of some of China’s latest and most powerful naval weapons,” the South China Morning Post said. “ The Z-War scenario was first declassified in their peer-reviewed paper published in the China Journal of Warship Research this month.”
According to the scenario, the Arleigh Burke-class destroyers form the basis of the naval power of the conditional "blue alliance", Fan explained, these ships form the "backbone" of the US Navy.
The script directly refers to the weaknesses of the Chinese fleet (and the PLA) as a whole in their current state.
The 50 existing PLA destroyers are "virtually" attacking from several directions, with more than a dozen missiles and more than three torpedoes per ship, Fang Canxin outlined the "legend". At the same time, the EW (electronic warfare) installations of the Blue Alliance generate interference 30 times stronger than used by Chinese warships, and the detection range of PLA radars drops to 60% of the norm. A third of the air defense forces are "knocked out" immediately after the first enemy attack, and only half of the Chinese missiles are able to reach their targets. It is assumed that even in such a situation and at the current level of equipment of the PLA Navy, they should be able to resist.
THE GERALD FORD WAS SUNK TWENTY TIMES
But the Z-War plans are obviously not limited to containing the Blues' strike. According to the SCMP,
"Chinese military analysts propose moving hostilities to US soil if war cannot be avoided."
Commenting on these plans, the publication mentions that China “is either already deploying or developing” hypersonic missiles and sea-launched missiles with nuclear warheads that can overcome US missile defense and air defense systems.
In another publication of the same publication, it is emphasized that the PLA design bureaus began developing a new class of "superships" - universal aircraft carriers equipped with laser guns and electromagnetic weapons. The adoption of such ships "will completely change the order of battle of the navy, which has existed for more than a hundred years," wrote one of the curators of the naval military-industrial complex, Rear Admiral Ma Weiming in an article in the journal "Proceedings of the Chinese Electrical Society."
All these messages - from plans for a Z-war to the development of aircraft carriers with laser weapons - could easily be attributed to self-promotion of the Chinese army and a "Chinese warning" to opponents overseas, if not for one thing: a potential Chinese threat to the sea has been actively written recently and Western media.
According to The Wall Street Journal , the US Navy could lose two aircraft carriers out of ten available only in a hypothetical battle for Taiwan. The opinion of the WSJ coincides with the conclusions of Chinese scientists. As Dudakov noted , they recently simulated a hypersonic missile attack on the newest US Navy aircraft carrier Gerald Ford (in service since 2017). In twenty simulations out of twenty, the ship was sunk, however, it had to virtually “use up” 24 hypersonic missiles.
London's The Sun writes about the possible loss of 1,000 American fighters under a fairly optimistic scenario. China's presence of hypersonic weapons means the PLA can strike American bases in the Pacific, in an arc from Guam to Pearl Harbor. “ As a result, the United States could be in a dire situation after just a few months - even just a few weeks - of hostilities,” states Bloomberg .
"THE PENTAGON GOES CRAZY"
The expected scale of ship and aircraft losses, as well as the rapid consumption of expensive precision-guided munitions, makes Washington think about expanding production capacity and the time it will take. The history of World War II has shown that it took years - until the end of 1943 or even 1944 - for mobilization in the United States to reach its full extent, and the peacetime economy switched to military production, the newspaper notes.
The US is seriously alarmed by the new coalition in the Indian Ocean
The unrealistic nature of the rapid deployment of the US military-industrial complex (MIC) is pointed out by Politico in its recent article " The Pentagon Goes Crazy About a Potential War with China ." Expert Michael Hirsch says that the military-industrial complex of Western countries depends on many components and parts produced in China, as well as on Chinese rare earth materials and alloys. In addition, according to Hirsch, the United States is experiencing a shortage of skilled labor, on which the build-up of American military power will depend.
Beijing is already surpassing the United States in the number of warships, adopting a record defense budget (about $224 billion) and launching a third aircraft carrier, Dudakov points out. Beijing is actively working on new types of weapons, studying Russian experience in the use of drones and defenses against Javelins and Stingers, Reuters notes .
AMERICANS BRING IN ALLIES
The scenario of an open clash (local or reaching the level of “total Z-war”) is, however, so far only a scenario, experts emphasize. Military expert Vladimir Gundarov, in a comment to IA Regnum, recalled Secretary of State Anthony Blinken's recent trip to Beijing and his meeting with President Xi Jinping.
“This is evidence that Washington would like to negotiate with Beijing, dividing the world economically and without resorting to violence. If the issue of economic confrontation is resolved through a global conflict, then it will be a collapse for both China and the United States, whose economy depends on China,” Gundarov stressed.
Both the American and Chinese military will make formidable plans and scare opponents with weapons - this is a completely natural behavior for the military. However, the decision to start a war is still made by the economic elites of the countries, the interlocutor noted.
On the other hand, the US leadership gave the green light to a record increase in the military budget - in December 2022, Biden approved spending of $858 billion (and obviously not only for "containment of Russia"). The US National Defense Strategy adopted at the end of last year called Russia "an acute threat" and China "the main challenge" and "the only competitor with the intention of changing the international order." It is obvious that the Americans admit for themselves the possibility of not only trade wars with China.
“If China increases its influence in the world, and the influence of the United States weakens, then sooner or later China will fall into the hands of Taiwan and all the rest of the world domination. But the Americans are also not ready to leave the international arena without a fight , ”Dudakov notes.
Understanding by the parties of their weaknesses makes them look for other solutions to the conflict. If Beijing wants to resolve the issue of Taiwan through "soft power" during the upcoming elections on the island, then the United States is counting on regional allies. In 2022, the United States and its allies (Great Britain, Japan, Australia and New Zealand) created the third alliance in the Pacific region, Partners in the Blue Pacific (PBP). As in the case of QUAD (quadrilateral security dialogue - Australia, India, US and Japan), and with AUCUS (Australia, UK and US, a military-political bloc), it is not difficult to guess who this "friendship" will be against.
It is on the allies that the main burden of the conflict will fall, and it is with their hands that the United States will bleed China, Dudakov notes. “ There is Taiwan, there is Japan, which has the 6th Land Self-Defense Division, which should come to the aid of Taiwan in the event of a military blockade by China and thus draw Japan into this conflict. And the Americans hope that in total Japan, South Korea, Taiwan will have enough strength to, if not defeat China, then force China to get bogged down in this conflict,” he says.
|
Posted by badanov 2023-06-30 00:00||
||
Front Page|| [27 views ]
Top
File under: Commies
|
|
Posted by NN2N1 2023-06-30 06:11||
2023-06-30 06:11||
Front Page
Top
|
|
Posted by Skidmark 2023-06-30 06:46||
2023-06-30 06:46||
Front Page
Top
|
|
Posted by Super Hose 2023-06-30 10:01||
2023-06-30 10:01||
Front Page
Top
|
|
Posted by Procopius2k 2023-06-30 11:34||
2023-06-30 11:34||
Front Page
Top
|
|
Posted by Rex Mundi 2023-06-30 12:31||
2023-06-30 12:31||
Front Page
Top
|
|
Posted by Skidmark 2023-06-30 18:39||
2023-06-30 18:39||
Front Page
Top
|
|
08:14 Skidmark
08:14 trailing wife
08:14 Bobby
08:11 Bobby
07:59 Skidmark
07:52 Besoeker
07:48 Besoeker
07:47 Besoeker
07:47 Besoeker
07:42 Skidmark
07:36 Skidmark
07:26 Procopius2k
07:23 Procopius2k
07:21 Procopius2k
07:18 no mo uro
07:13 Skidmark
07:12 NN2N1
07:10 Procopius2k
07:08 Anon1
07:08 Procopius2k
07:07 Anon1
07:05 Anon1
07:03 MikeKozlowski
07:03 Procopius2k
|
