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2023-01-28 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: January 27th, 2023
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 23:03 The Russians began to storm Ugledar, and the battle for this settlement may determine the further course of the war in the south. Read more in the article Where the Russian Federation will introduce a new offensive .
22:47 Western countries in general have promised to provide Kiev with 321 heavy tanks, Ukrainian Ambassador to France Vadim Omelchenko said.
21:49 The Russians fired at several infrastructure facilities in Zaporozhye in the evening, a fire broke out on the territory of one of them. It is known about one victim, said the secretary of the City Council Anatoly Kurtev.
21:44 Zelensky said in an interview with Sky News that Ukraine needs an additional 300 to 500 tanks. According to him, he is very grateful to the United States and other Western countries for the decision to transfer tanks to Ukraine, but will only feel relieved when this equipment is on the battlefield.
21:38 During a rocket attack on January 26, Russia damaged five high-voltage substations in the Central, Southern and South-Western regions, Shmyhal said.
21:33 Putin aims to wage war against Ukraine for many years and expects that the new offensive of the Russian army, which may begin as early as February-March 2023, will allow the invaders to seize the initiative from the Armed Forces of Ukraine. More details in the material Protracted war and any losses .
20:32 Spain plans to transfer Leopard tanks to Ukraine by spring, said the country's Defense Minister Margarita Robles. According to her, the exact number of combat vehicles is not yet known, but all Leopard 2 A4 tanks will undergo maintenance before being sent. The minister clarified that it is not only about sending cars, but also about training crews and maintenance.
20:25 Zelensky said that the situation at the front, and in particular in the Donetsk region - near Bakhmut and Vuhledar, remains extremely acute: "The invaders are not just storming our positions - they are deliberately and methodically destroying these cities and villages around them. Artillery, aviation , missiles. The Russian army does not have a shortage of means of destruction. And it can only be stopped by force."
20:18 The Foreign Ministry summoned the Hungarian ambassador after Orban compared Ukraine with Afghanistan, Foreign Ministry spokesman Oleg Nikolenko said. According to him, the ambassador will be called "for a frank conversation," and Kyiv reserves the right to "take other response measures."
20:12 The EU plans to create a special prosecutor's office for Russian war crimes in Ukraine, writes Bloomberg. According to an anonymous source of the agency, the idea to create a body that will include prosecutors from Ukraine and other countries this week received wide support from EU members. The European Commission is already discussing with Eurojust the mandate of the proposed international structure and other issues.
20:08 Zelensky announced a "marathon of honesty" aimed at clearing the leadership of international Olympic structures "from hypocrisy and attempts to drag representatives of a terrorist state into world sports."
“You can’t help but be disappointed by the statements of the current head of the International Olympic Committee, Thomas Bach. I spoke with him many times and never heard how he is going to defend sports from war propaganda if he returns Russian athletes to international competitions. There is no neutrality when such a war is going on ... We will do everything for the world to protect sports from the political and any other influence of a terrorist state, which is simply inevitable if Russian athletes participate in competitions, and even more so in the Paris Olympics ... By the way, I invite Mr. Bach to Bakhmut so that he can see with his own eyes that neutrality does not exist," the president said in a video message tonight.
19:56 Russian special services are preparing another special operation to discredit the military-political leadership of Ukraine. According to Ukrainian military intelligence, the campaign will be directed against Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Serhiy Shaptala, Head of the SBU Vasily Malyuk, Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov, Head of the Office of the President Andriy Yermak, Acting Head of the National Police Ivan Vyhovsky and others. The campaign will include the stuffing of fabricated materials in Ukrainian and international media.
The goal of the IPSO is to sow uncertainty about the defense capabilities of our state among Ukrainian citizens and international partners. This, according to the Russian intelligence services, should lead to political instability within the country and reduce confidence in Ukraine on the part of the international anti-Putin coalition.
19:15 In Ukraine, the fourth case of the use by Russia of the Kh-55 missile with a nuclear warhead simulator was recorded. More details in the material Trap for air defense .
19:13 The Russian Army is increasing the activity of using aviation in all directions, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced in the evening summary. Despite significant losses, in order to improve the tactical situation, the enemy continues offensive operations in the Bakhmut, Liman, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions. On Kupyansky, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson - it is defending.
According to the General Staff, since February 2, in Energodar, the occupiers have been creating a commission at the nuclear power plant to check two 750 kW power lines in order to plan restoration work and supply power for the transit of electricity from the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant to the Russian Federation.
In the occupied village of Zhelezny Port, Skadovsky district, Kherson region, the Russian "administration" is conducting a census and confiscating from Ukrainian citizens businesses not re-registered under Russian law (boarding houses, cafes, restaurants).
18:54 German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius opposes providing Ukraine with German fighter jets: "I think that this is out of the question. Fighters are much more complex systems than battle tanks, and have a completely different flight range and firepower. There we would delve into measurements, against which I would now very much warn.
18:08 The invaders took 3.5 thousand prisoners from places of detention in the territories of Zaporozhye and Kherson regions to the Crimea, where now the Wagnerites are agitating them to join PMCs. Most refuse to sign a contract, so the Russians have created unbearable conditions for them, according to the Center for National Resistance under the MTR of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
We are talking about prisoners who were convicted in Ukraine of criminal offenses and were in prisons before the start of a full-scale Russian invasion. In the meantime, the occupiers continue to keep Ukrainians suspected of disloyalty to the government "in the cellars". In the temporarily occupied territories, the Russians intend to open 27 correctional colonies - in this way the enemy is going to officially register the existing prisons and detention camps for Ukrainians.
17:57 The delivery of American Abrams tanks to Ukraine will take "many months", said White House National Security Speaker John Kirby. At the same time, he assured that the Biden administration "is not going to waste time" preparing and strengthening supply chains.
17:31 The National Guard announced that not the Azov Separate Special Forces Detachment, which became part of the National Guard in November 2014, but the Azov SOF unit, created in March 2022, became a separate brigade within the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
17:19 The government adopted a resolution banning officials from traveling abroad without good reason for the duration of the war, Shmyhal said.
17:06 In the Zaporozhye direction, there are signs of strengthening the grouping of Russian troops, said Yevgeny Yerin, spokesman for the Defense Forces of the Tauride direction: "The enemy in certain areas of the Zaporizhzhya direction is making some attempts at assault actions in order to test our defense for strength. And if possible, hopes to improve its position At the same time, all these attempts by the enemy failed - the enemy was thrown back to previous positions. "
17:01 The Spaniard, accused of sending letters with explosives, visited the websites RT and Sputnik, and also used the Russian social network VK. The court considered this as confirmation that the suspect wanted to force the country's authorities to refuse support for Ukraine, and sent him under arrest.
16:58 Sister of the head of the DPRK Kim Jong-un, deputy head of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party Kim Ye-jong said that North Korea "will always be on the side of Russia, in the same trench with its army and people." She is also convinced that the Russian Federation "will burn to the ground the weapons that the United States and Western countries brag about," and that the United States, "by pumping up Ukraine with weapons, stimulates instability in the world."
16:55 The EU has extended sanctions against Russia for another six months, until July 31, 2023, the Council of Europe announced.
16:46 Orban said that the time when Russia could conquer Ukraine and install a pro-Russian government in the country is long gone, so the goal of the Russian Federation is to turn Ukraine into an uncontrollable ruin so that the West cannot claim it "as a prize." According to the Hungarian prime minister, the Russians have already succeeded in this, since now Ukraine, like Afghanistan, is a "no man's land."
Orban also believes that the direct participation of NATO troops in the war cannot be ruled out. In his opinion, if the Russian spring offensive is successful, NATO member countries should consider sending troops to Ukraine. The Hungarian prime minister also said that although Ukraine succeeds in war, it will not always be, because in wars, Russians are "traditionally" weaker at the beginning, but later they are "impossible to stop."
16:39 The world's first UAV strike companies are being formed in Ukraine. According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the creation of shock companies was approved at a meeting of the Headquarters by Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny. Together with the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the General Staff and the State Special Communications Service, within the framework of the Army of Drones project, the Ministry of Digital Transformation created the Coordination Headquarters - this is necessary to implement a number of key reforms and scale up the production of UAVs. The most professional servicemen have already been selected to lead the shock companies. Each of them will receive drones and ammunition, Starlink and other necessary equipment.
16:22 EU ambassadors, in addition to imposing price restrictions on Russian oil products, are also discussing lowering the price ceiling for Russian oil, Radio Liberty's Brussels correspondent Rikard Jozwiak said. According to him, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland are pushing for a cut from $60 to $40-50, claiming that Russia is still making $600 million a day selling oil.
3:45 pm Biden would like to visit Ukraine in the future, but now is not the right time for this, said John Kirby, coordinator for strategic communications at the White House National Security Council. According to him, the presidents of the United States and Ukraine often speak on the phone.
15:13 Belgium will provide Ukraine with the largest military aid package to date for 92 million euros. It will include cars, portable anti-aircraft systems, small arms and light anti-tank weapons, said Prime Minister Alexander De Croo.
14:48 Before switching to modern military aviation, in particular fighter jets, Ukraine needs to develop and build an airfield network. As the speaker of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Yuriy Ignat said, the relevant work has already begun. He added that airfields can be universal, that is, they can be used for civil and military aircraft: "There is already such a practice in the world. This could be another push for Ukraine to the civilized world. Ukrainians could start flights within the country."
14:43 Ukraine managed to return 106 civilians from Russian captivity, adviser to the head of the President's Office Daria Zarivna said in an interview with KyivPost. She recalled that according to international legal documents, Russia must return civilians as non-combatants without any conditions, without using them in the process of exchanging prisoners of war.
14:39 "Shaheed Catchers" are already in Ukraine and are protecting energy facilities from Russian drones, Mikhail Fedorov, head of the Ministry of Digital Development, said. Currently, six systems have been purchased to counter enemy drones. These are state-of-the-art defense technologies that protect US strategic facilities.
| Interesting that the self-proclaimed defender of Christendom gladly adopts the trappings of Moslem jihad. |
14:28 The Russians fired on the city of Chasov Yar in the Donetsk region in the morning - two people were killed, at least five were injured, said the head of the OVA Pavel Kirilenko. In addition, shelling of Avdiivka, Toretsk, Alexandropol and Bogoyavlenka has been recorded so far.
14:22 Roskomnadzor restricted access to the websites of the CIA and the FBI in Russia "for disseminating false information."
13:43 During a missile attack on January 26, the Russians fired Kh-47 Kinzhal hypersonic missiles at targets in Kiev and Zaporozhye, which are launched from MiG-31K fighters, Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat said. According to him, the enemy uses these missiles to strike at the most strategic targets for them: "This time, one of the objects in Zaporozhye and a critical infrastructure facility in Kyiv turned out to be such. Such was their strategic goal - to leave one district of Kyiv without electricity."
13:17 Yuriy Ignat, spokesman for the Air Force Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, confirmed that Russia is using missiles with a nuclear simulator. In particular, they either take it out or don't put it in, and instead of the nuclear part, a simulator is placed so that there is a correspondence in weight and this does not affect the aerodynamic qualities of the rocket.
"What is it used for? In order to disperse our air defense, it can also be used as a decoy. Let's say that the missiles fly in a pile - five pieces - of which there can be two X-55 and three X-101, they fly along the route In order to deplete, disperse, so that we spend missiles on them," Ignat explained.
12:39 Orban said that Hungary will veto any EU sanctions against Russia related to nuclear energy.
12:10 Putin is planning a new attack on Ukraine before the beginning of spring, writes Bloomberg, citing sources close to the Kremlin. The offensive could begin as early as February-March, even before Ukraine receives tanks from partners. According to sources, Putin is aware of the weaknesses of his military, but he is convinced that superior forces and Russia's readiness for heavy losses will allow him to win. Putin believes he cannot lose in what he sees as an "existential" conflict with the United States and its allies.
12:06 The first Ukrainian military arrived in Germany to be trained on the Marder infantry fighting vehicle, writes Spiegel. Their preparation should begin in the near future and will take approximately eight weeks.
11:58 The Russians are storming and trying to capture Vuhledar in the Donetsk region, but to no avail, spokesman for the Eastern Group of Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergey Cherevaty said: "For many months in a row, the Russian Armed Forces, using motorized rifle units and marines, have been trying to achieve significant success there, but are being seriously rebuffed they are retreating from our Defense Forces and with losses ... There are fierce battles there, the enemy is really trying to achieve intermediate success, but thanks to the efforts of our Defense Forces, he does not succeed, and he, to put it mildly, exaggerates his "achievements" in telegram channels.
11:39 During the rocket attack on January 26, the Russians again used the X-55 missile with a nuclear simulator, the so-called "special" warhead. According to the Defense Express profile publication, citing its sources, such a missile was destroyed on approach to Kyiv from the southeast direction, its fragments were found in the Boryspil area. For the first time, the use of the X-55 with a mass and size mock-up of a nuclear charge was reported on November 17.
Also, the publication's sources said that the Russians began to mask their X-101 missiles - to clean up the serial numbers on the body so that it was impossible to identify the date of manufacture. After all, the analysis of serial numbers allows us to assess the pace and order of use of these missiles. At the same time, the absence of a serial number on the body can only interfere with the rapid identification of debris, since all internal components and assemblies of the rocket also have their own serial numbers, and it is rather difficult to destroy them without a complete reassembly of the rocket in the factory.
11:12 A significant shortage of power remains in the energy system of Ukraine, Ukrenergo reported. The Russian attack on January 26 caused significant damage to several high-voltage network facilities. In addition, the power grid is still recovering from the previous series of enemy rocket attacks. As a result, electricity generation at operating power plants cannot fully cover consumption.
All oblenergos have been notified of daily consumption limits. Already now they are exceeded in ten regions, which is why emergency shutdowns are applied in Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, Kirovohrad, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Zhytomyr, Volyn, Lvov, Rivne regions. During the day, emergency shutdowns are also possible in other areas.
11:03 Russia is experiencing serious problems with commanders at the platoon or company level. In the advanced units of the Russian troops, about 40% of junior commanders are missing, Andrei Chernyak, a representative of the GUR MOU, said in a commentary to RBC-Ukraine. According to him, mobilized Russians are often sent to assault without command and proper interaction between groups. They may have minor tactical successes, but they die by the hundreds, and new "cannon fodder" is sent in their place.
Chernyak noted that there are problems with the leadership in the Russian army at higher levels: “We have already seen and continue to observe the frequent replacement of generals and commanders of various levels who have not been able to complete their tasks. Perhaps this is their last chance to rectify the situation and to at least partially achieve the goals. Therefore, according to our estimates, the personnel problems with the command staff of the Russians will only increase every day."
10:48 In the "DNR", the occupying authorities are launching a second mass filtering. According to the adviser to the mayor of Mariupol, Petr Andryushchenko, in the process of mass and actually forced passportization, the "DNR" launched the procedure of "personal identification" before obtaining a Russian passport. However, in Mariupol, absolutely all residents have already passed the filtration, which in essence is an identification, including what there is a corresponding "document" about. This new "identification" coincided with the start of the official work of the FSB of the Russian Federation in the region. Thus, according to Andryushchenko, this is just another purge of unreliable elements in the occupied territories.
10:13 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) suggests that the conflict between Prigozhin and Girkin is a new area of competition for political influence in Russia that could benefit Putin. Analysts say Prigozhin and Girkin - both critics of SVO - are likely competing for influence and patronage among pro-war politicians frustrated with the course of the war.
Prigozhin is very visible in the Russian information space, and many military bloggers, in response to this skirmish, accused Girkin of lack of combat experience and cowardice. So Prigozhin could undermine Girkin's authority in order to gain influence in the nationalist space, while discrediting one of Putin's most notorious critics.
ISW suggests that Prigozhin may be trying to maximize his influence in order to avoid the fate of Girkin, who was ousted by the Kremlin after his fighters retreated from Slovyansk and after the downing of MH17 in July 2014.
09:51 The White House will carefully discuss the possibility of supplying Ukraine with F-16 fighters and does not exclude anything, Biden's security adviser John Finer said. According to him, Washington does not exclude the supply of "any specific weapons systems to Ukraine," and military assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine is provided "in accordance with their needs and the phases of the struggle of the Ukrainians."
09:44 British intelligence believes that Russian military sources may deliberately spread disinformation in order to create the impression that the Russian offensive is continuing. So, for the last six days, Russian Internet commentators have claimed that Russian troops have made significant progress, breaking through the defenses of Ukraine in two directions: in the Zaporozhye region near Orekhov and 100 km to the east, in the Donetsk region, near Vugledar.
At the same time, analysts note that Russian units probably did conduct local test attacks in the Orekhov and Vugledar area, but it is unlikely that they have achieved any significant success.
09:26 Poland is ready to transfer to Ukraine, in addition to 14 Leopard tanks, also 60 PT-91 tanks, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said. According to him, Poland is now taking the next steps so that different countries join the international coalition to transfer Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine.
09:21 In the Kherson region over the past day, due to Russian shelling, two people were killed, seven were injured, the OVA reported.
09:19 In the Kharkiv region over the past day, two people were killed from Russian shelling in Dvurechnaya, Kupyansky district, and two more people were injured in the region. In addition, in the Izyum district, two people were blown up by an explosive device in a field, the condition of one of the wounded was severe, the second was of moderate severity, Oleg Sinegubov, head of the Regional Military District, said.
09:14 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, six civilians were killed - two each in Ocheretino and Bogoyavlenka, one each in Avdeevka and Paraskoveevka. Nine more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
09:10 The EU is opening a new energy hub in Poland, which will become a logistics center for the delivery of emergency energy assistance to Ukraine, the EU Delegation to Ukraine has reported. The hub will allow international partners and the private sector to send their donations, and the EU will provide full funding for transport services to bring aid from the hub to Ukraine.
The EU also allocated 114 million euros to Poland for the purchase of generators to provide an energy reserve and energy equipment.
09:04 According to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, 19% of the missiles remained in Russia from the number that was on the day of the invasion.
08:41 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy as of the morning of January 27th.
- personnel - about 124,710 (+850) people liquidated,
- tanks - 3182 (+7),
- armored combat vehicles - 6340 (+6),
- artillery systems - 2180 (+11),
- MLRS - 452 (+0),
- air defense systems - 221 (+1),
- aircraft - 292 (+0),
- helicopters - 283 (+1),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 1941 (+33),
- cruise missiles - 796 (+47),
- ships/boats - 18 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 5001 (+15),
- special equipment - 199 (+4).
08:25 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces repelled attacks by invaders in the areas of the settlements of Ploshchanka, Nevskoye and Chervonopopovka in the Luhansk region and Verkhnekamenskoye, Paraskoveevka, Bakhmut, Kleshcheevka, Vodyanoye, Nevelskoye, Maryinka and Ugledar in the Donetsk region, the General Staff said in the morning report .
The situation remains stable in the Volynsky, Polessky, Seversky and Slobozhansky directions, no enemy offensive groupings have been found. However, joint exercises continue, under the guise of which the Russian Federation is building up an aviation group on the territory of Belarus.
07:40 Trump said that he would have agreed to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours if he were the President of the United States.
06:33 The International War Crimes Tribunal for Russia in Ukraine or its equivalent may begin its work in the summer of 2023, said US Deputy Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland. According to her, the United States is working on this issue together with the G7 countries and Ukraine - different models of the mechanism are being considered.
"I would like us to come to the anniversary of the invasion - around February, but it may take a few more months. But by the summer I would like this mechanism to appear," she said.
04:15 Japan introduces new sanctions against Russian companies and individuals, as well as trade restrictions, the country's Ministry of Economy said. In particular, a ban is being introduced on the export of vaccines and medical equipment to Russia. It is also prohibited to export nuclear materials and devices, equipment for the processing of radioactive materials, for oil and gas exploration, drilling rigs, batons and tear gas, explosives, equipment for X-ray screening, robots.
The list of those subject to export restrictions in Japan includes 49 companies from Russia. Sanctions are imposed on three organizations and 22 individuals.
00:44 Attempts by the Kremlin propaganda to promote an alternative reality regarding the war unleashed by Russia against Ukraine will not be successful, according to an EU statement released during a meeting of the OSCE Permanent Council in Vienna.
"The Kremlin's propaganda and disinformation campaign will not be successful in spreading an illusory alternative reality. We repeat: it is Russia that illegally and unreasonably attacked Ukraine. It is Ukraine that is defending itself in the aggressive war of the Russian Federation, in full accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter, contrary to Russia's false statements. Precisely Ukraine, not Russia, has shown a genuine interest in reaching an agreement on a just and sustainable peace that is fully consistent with international law and OSCE principles and commitments, including those enshrined in the Helsinki Final Act.
The statement emphasizes that the EU will continue to provide Ukraine with all necessary political, military, financial and humanitarian support, and will do so "for as long as necessary."
00:19 The situation has escalated significantly along the entire front line in the Donetsk region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said: "The situation has escalated significantly, from the south to the center of the region. The Bakhmut direction has been and remains the hottest in our country, however, now it is very hot in Avdiivka. We We are seeing an escalation along almost the entire front line - from the south and from the north."
According to him, due to the lack of success on the battlefield, the occupiers intensified shelling of frontline settlements in the Donetsk region: "The enemy is suffering significant losses in personnel and armored vehicles. Because of this, the Russians are again resorting to the use of scorched earth tactics." We are talking, in particular, about the districts of Avdiivka, Vugledar, Toretsk and Bakhmut.
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