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2022-12-06 Terror Networks
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Daesh continues its inexorable rise to ascendancy in Africa
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[ARABNEWS] The life expectancy of ISIS’s "caliphs" gets ever shorter. The group has been forced to acknowledge the second death of a leader in just a few months. Militants are not even particularly grieved about these losses because they know nothing about either the new or the old leaders; they simply blindly pledge cult-like loyalty to these shadowy figures.
In Iraq and Syria, ISIS’s murderous activities mercifully appear to be in terminal decline, with sharply reduced numbers of attacks confined to a dwindling number of localities — in particular, areas like Kirkuk,
... a thick stew of Arabs, Turkmen, Kurds, and probably Antarcticans, all of them mutually hostile most of the time...
Nineveh and Salahuddin, where Iran-backed Hashd paramilitaries appear happy to turn a blind eye. ISIS sees these Tehran-affiliated paramilitaries as its most promising route back to preeminence, given their unceasing efforts to destabilize the Iraqi state and trigger sectarian tensions. Hezbollah and the Hashd never tire of demonizing all Sunnis as ISIS supporters, despite the group’s actual presence in Leb
Continued from Page 4
...an Iranian colony situated on the eastern Mediterranean, conveniently adjacent to Israel. Formerly inhabited by hardy Phoenecian traders, its official language is now Arabic, with the usual unpleasant side effects. The Leb civil war, between 1975 and 1990, lasted a little over 145 years and produced 120,000 fatalities. The average length of a ceasefire was measured in seconds. The Lebs maintain a precarious sectarian balance among Shiites, Sunnis, and about a dozeen flavors of Christians. It is the home of Hezbollah, which periodically starts a war with the Zionist Entity, gets Beirut pounded to rubble, and then declares victory and has a parade. The Lebs have the curious habit of periodically murdering their heads of state or prime ministers...
being vanishingly small.
Despite daily reports of the arrest and killing of bully boys, ISIS’s demonic predecessors have rebounded from strategic defeat in the past. Dazzled by their millennial worldview, they believe that history is on their side and, if they are on the back foot today, victory is assured in five, 20 or 100 years. The confused and unresolved situation in Syria, where parties like Turkiye, Iran, Russia and a confusing spectrum of bully boy groups jostle for control, is ripe for a ISIS comeback in the near future, particularly if the group succeeds in its ambition of "breaking the walls" of vast camps where tens of thousands of krazed killer suspects are held.
In Afghanistan, ISIS’s "Khorasan Province" has gone on the rhetorical offensive, improbably denouncing the Taliban
...Arabic for students ...
as sellouts to the West who have massively compromised on their Islamic principles. By staging bloody attacks against Shiites and other minorities, ISIS cynically claims that the Taliban has made itself the protector of "apostates" and "infidels." Such narratives may be paying off in conservative tribal areas on the Afghan-Pakistain border, where many erstwhile Taliban supporters question why they have not benefited from the group’s return to power. Just in the last couple of days, ISIS tried to assassinate Pakistain’s ambassador to Kabul.
However,
today is that tomorrow you were thinking about yesterday...
it is in Africa where ISIS is most conspicuously and aggressively expanding. In 2018, more than 80 percent of ISIS’s activity was concentrated in Iraq and Syria, now the majority of its attacks are staged in Africa. Its bully boyz dominate vast regions of central Mali, northern Burkina Faso
...The country in west Africa that they put where Upper Volta used to be. Its capital is Oogadooga, or something like that. Its president is currently Blaise Compaoré, who took office in 1987 and will leave office feet first, one way or the other...
and Niger, with attacks reaching as far as Benin and Togo. Because these forces have focused on recruitment along tribal lines, they have been able to expand rapidly, with devastating attacks featuring hundreds of cycle of violence-riding fighters deployed against other tribes, self-defense militias and state forces.
Some of the biggest battles have been between ISIS and al-Qaeda personnel, both groups seeking to dominate these vast ungoverned spaces. In recent weeks, ISIS published grizzly images of dozens of al-Qaeda gunnies it had killed.
Meanwhile,
...back at the shootout, Butch clutched at his other shoulder......
ISIS franchises in Mozambique and the Democratic Republic of the Congo
 ...formerly the Congo Free State, Belgian Congo, Zaire, and who knows what else, not to be confused with the Brazzaville Congo aka Republic of Congo , which is much smaller and much more (for Africa) stable. DRC gave the world Patrice Lumumba and Joseph Mobutu, followed by years of tedious civil war. Its principle industry seems to be the production of corpses. With a population of about 74 million it has lots of raw material...
continue to flourish, carrying out almost daily attacks against Christian-majority villages, slaughtering dozens of people at a time. The group claimed about 300 attacks in these two states during 2022. In northern Mozambique, scarcely a month goes by without the group boasting of expansion into new areas.
ISIS’s largest and best-established branch dominates vast territories throughout the Lake Chad region, particularly in northeastern Nigeria, with the group claiming about 500 attacks in 2022. In propaganda videos, the group has demonstrated how it is training and indoctrinating new generations of young fighters, while engaging in vigorous campaigns of preaching, propaganda, taxation and outreach to win over local communities in remote areas outside state control. Those accused of collaborating with the military are brutally slaughtered.
Throughout 2022, ISIS has embarked on an ambitious initiative to expand to new areas of central and western Nigeria, with a succession of attacks in areas where the group has never been seen before and an ambitious prison break near Abuja in July that freed hundreds of bully boys.
Such is the scale of these gory achievements that ISIS’s victory-starved leadership in Syria and Iraq has been heavily promoting its African victories in its worldwide propaganda, glorifying its African territories and encouraging bully boyz to migrate.
One of the biggest "success" stories for bully boyz is in Somalia, much of which is dominated by the al-Qaeda-affiliated al-Shabaab
...... the Islamic version of the old Somali warlord...
. On the back of a continuous string of high-profile attacks, al-Shabaab fighters last week targeted a popular hotel next to Mogadishu’s presidential palace, killing nine people.
Despite all this, Western states have been disengaging from the Sahel region
... North Africa's answer to the Pak tribal areas...
and surrendering influence to Russian Wagner Group mercenaries. One could be forgiven for thinking "better Russia than nobody" — yet these Wagner forces have made a bad problem worse through grotesque massacres of civilians that further drive communities into the arms of bully boys. Moscow’s efforts to exploit vulnerable states for countering Western influence further fuels a climate of instability, disinformation and chaos.
Throughout the 1990s, the Clinton administration shortsightedly ignored the expansion of al-Qaeda and related groups in Sudan, East Africa, the Maghreb and Afghanistan, setting the scene for 9/11 and two decades of the "war on terror." We are still living with the consequences of these mistakes, including with Joe The Big Guy Biden
 ...46th president of the U.S. The very model of propity....
’s ignominious retreat from Afghanistan, surrendering the country to the Taliban, al-Qaeda and ISIS.
I am frequently shocked in conversations with Western officials about governments’ lack of bandwidth for dealing with more than one crisis at a time; as if the Ukraine crisis makes it impossible to focus on comparably momentous developments in Iran, Afghanistan and Paleostine. Yet, without urgent attention, bully boy expansion throughout Africa will erupt in all our faces.
As these malignant forces consolidate their positions to the south of Europe’s frontiers, the predictable next step is for bully boyz to exploit this strategic depth by staging attacks against Europe, America and the Middle East. Must we really watch history repeat itself? 
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Posted by Fred 2022-12-06 00:00||
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