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2022-10-03 Afghanistan
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Michael Rubin: The Taliban Are Planning Their Move On Central Asia
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[19Fortyfive] Throughout the two-decade U.S. war in Afghanistan, the Kremlin played a double game. President Vladimir Putin
...President-for-Life of Russia. He gets along well with other presidents for life. He is credited with bringing political stability and re-establishing something like the rule of law, which occasionally results in somebody dropping dead from poisoning by polonium or other interesting substance. Under Putin, a new group of business magnates controlling significant swathes of Russia's economy has emerged, all of whom have close personal ties to him. The old bunch, without close personal ties to Putin, are in jail or in exile or dead from poisoning by polonium or other interesting substances...
| Among those whom the Taliban brought to Kabul [on August 20] were Haji Forqan, the leader of the East Turkistan Islamic Movement; Mawlawi Ibrahim, the head of the Ansarullah Jamaat of Tajikistan; Shaikh Zakir, the head of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan; and Abdul Haq Uighuri, the head of the Al Qaeda branch in northern Afghanistan. |
did not want the United States to win for that would humiliate Russia that, as the Soviet Union, lost a brutal war in Afghanistan. He also did not want the United States to lose, for that could mean the empowerment of the Taliban
...Arabic for students ...
and the export of its extremism into the former Soviet states of Central Asia. This led to contradictions in which Russia leveraged its influence to expel the United States from Central Asian bases and cultivated the Taliban while simultaneously facilitating logistical routes across Russian territory to keep the American war going. As far as the Russians were concerned, the ideal scenario was for both the United States and Taliban to bleed each other dry into perpetuity.
Continued from Page 4
President Joe The Big Guy Biden
...46th president of the U.S. You're a lyin' dog-faced pony soldier . Of course Corn Pop is a real person....
transformed that Russian dream into a nightmare when he ordered a complete U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. The promise of maintaining over-the-horizon counter-terror threat was flawed at best. While Biden deserves credit for ordering the strike on Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri
...Formerly second in command of al-Qaeda, now the head cheese, occasionally described as the real brains of the outfit. Formerly the Mister Big of Egyptian Islamic Jihad. Bumped off Abdullah Azzam with a car boom in the course of one of their little disputes. Is thought to have composed bin Laden's fatwa entitled World Islamic Front Against Jews and Crusaders. Currently residing in the North Wazoo area assuming he's not dead like Mullah Omar. He lost major face when he ordered the nascent Islamic State to cease and desist and merge with the orthodox al-Qaeda spring, al-Nusra...
(especially after having opposed the operation to kill Osama Bin Laden), the cost of that intelligence came at a high price: Pakistain sold out one terror leader in order to win immunity for many others and win White House support for advanced arms sales. Meanwhile,
...back at the secret hideout, Scarface Al sneeringly put his proposition to little Nell...
the theory that the United States could maintain diplomatic leverage over the Taliban while having no presence in Afghanistan fell flat. The trips by U.S. envoy Thomas West to the region are essentially expensive junkets; the Taliban simply see no reason to take him seriously.
Now it seems the Taliban are preparing to make their move and export their revolution. Ahmad Massoud’s National Resistance® Front, which maintains a strong intelligence network in Kabul, the Panjshir Valley and across northern Afghanistan, reports that in recent weeks, the Taliban first transferred 16 high-ranking members of foreign terrorist groups to Kabul and then dispatched them to the Baghlan, Kunduz and Badakhshan provinces in northern Afghanistan.
According to reports, among those whom the Taliban brought to Kabul were Haji Forqan, the leader of the East Turkistan Islamic Movement; Mawlawi Ibrahim, the head of the Ansarullah Jamaat of Tajikistan; Sheikh Zakir, the head of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan; and Abdul Haq Uighuri, the head of the Al Qaeda branch in northern Afghanistan. Supposedly, the terror leaders arrived in Kabul on August 20, 2022 and stayed three days in the home of a senior Haqqani network
...a branch of the Afghan Taliban, based in Pakistain. The network is a family business founded by the later Jalaluddin Haqqani...
official in Wazir Akbar Khan. There, Massoud’s information network says they met Sirajuddin Haqqani
 ...son of Pashtun warlord Jalaluddin Haqqani, still titular head of the Haqqani Network....
, the Taliban’s deputy leader and acting interior minister, and discussed establishment of a network of imported muscle in northern Afghanistan. The terror leaders departed Kabul in cars belonging to Taliban officials and returned to Taliban military bases and safe houses in the north.
While Trump and Biden-era Special Envoy Zalmay Khalilzad predicated a U.S. withdrawal deal with the Taliban in part on the promise that the group would fight against the Islamic State
...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that they were al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're really very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear western pols talk they're not really Moslems....
, Mawlawi Ibrahim who will coordinate the network, has strong connections with the Islamic State. Simply put, Khalilzad was either naïve or deceptive when selling his deal.
Corruption is rife across Central Asia, and while Russia has long assumed a paramount security role, its miscalculations in Ukraine leave all of the countries of its southern flank at risk. That The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the only place on the face of the earth that misses the Ottoman Empire...
, the same country whose support was crucial to the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, is influential in Central Asia, should raise broader concern. The Biden administration, the same old faces in slightly different places, the same old ideas, the same old graft
 ...the collection of boodlers, grifters, hangers-on, and self-proclaimed experts affiliated with the Biden Crime Family. Entrusted with an entire nation as the result of a suspicious election, they set about happily implementing stuff they absorbed in college, all of which blew up and splattered the rest of us...
as well as the many Republicans who support U.S. retrenchment might believe Afghanistan and Central Asia are not U.S. concerns but as the Islamic State demonstrated in 2014, forces of altruism seldom fill vacuums. It would be a mistake to confuse absence of press attention in Afghanistan with quiet. All indications are that the period of calm before the storm is fast ending. 
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Posted by trailing wife 2022-10-03 00:26||
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File under: Taliban/IEA
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Posted by ruprecht 2022-10-03 22:41||
2022-10-03 22:41||
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