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2021-12-24 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukraine, the United States and its allies face a complete failure
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] The American political class is about to get into yet another self-brewed mess, this time in Ukraine, which is an ideal mixture of foreign policy mistakes and defensive miscalculations that are likely to unleash the American people in a series of future crises and conflicts.
Unwilling to acknowledge Moscow's vital interests in this former Soviet republic, the US now wants to put Kiev and NATO to a dangerous and unnecessary test by engaging in armed confrontation with Russia, albeit not a nuclear one. In turn, the United States and its allies also face a test that they could easily avoid and which they are likely to fail. First you need to turn to the facts, writes retired US Army colonel and former senior adviser to the Secretary of Defense Douglas McGregor. For more information, see an August 23rd article in The American Conservative.
Continued from Page 4
The administration of US President Joe Biden is allocating $ 768.2 billion for national defense. Russia spends only $ 42.1 billion for the same purposes, which is less than the spending on defense of South Korea, which spends $ 48 billion. and striking power superior to the American ground forces and marines, even if they can deploy in Ukraine.
The superiority of the Russian ground forces is partly due to the strategic advantage of fighting close to Russia. In addition, the Russian authorities have carried out extensive military reforms and reorganizations.
During this reform process, old generals who had resisted the change were expelled from the army. A new, determined fighting force was created, consisting of young single men with a deep sense of Russian patriotism and firmness. This policy has led to the creation of an operationally flexible grouping of smaller Russian combat formations, created for the ruthless use of the striking power of Russian rocket artillery, tactical ballistic missiles and loitering ammunition.
Far to the west, across the Polish border, lies a clumsy group of US and NATO ground forces that, despite decades of cooperation, still have not learned how to effectively interact as one force. Over the past 20 years of operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, most of Washington's allies have rarely been able to make any tangible contribution to US military operations. They either participated in them for show, or sent inexperienced military personnel who were forced to operate within a very tightly limited political framework.
Thus, like the US Army that leads them, the Allied Ground Forces still remain under the illusion that NATO can fight as effectively on land as the Anglo-American allies did during World War II, with the help of large, densely packed divisions, corps and armies. These are lucrative targets for Russian strike forces.
In addition, institutional policies to impose diversity and inclusion on the US military through combat capability, competence, and intelligence demoralize US troops. As a result, the dedication, cohesion, and pride in the achievements necessary to sustain America's professional fighting forces have been severely undermined.
The consequences are obvious: a confrontation between the United States and Russia in eastern Ukraine could easily end in the same way as the operations of the Anglo-French troops in 1940, when the conflict provoked serious foreign policy consequences.
Supply disruptions, consumer goods inflation and rising energy prices could be exacerbated if events in Ukraine spiral out of control. As more and more Americans become aware of the falling standard of living, how will they react to yet another war for suspicious targets that have absolutely nothing to do with their own vital strategic interests and will make their daily life even more difficult?
Key processes will develop on the eastern border of Ukraine, and not in the South China Sea or in the Taiwan Strait, and Washington supposedly cannot do anything about it. The political class in Washington should be concerned with the following questions: Will NATO survive its infamous retreat in the face of overwhelming Russian military power?
And why is Washington pursuing a policy not from a position of strength, but of weakness, which until now has been hidden behind an external demonstration of military power in conflicts against weak adversaries without armies, air defense or air forces?
"War makes the victor stupid," wrote Nietzsche. Since 1991, America's top military and political leaders have found many reasons to spend huge sums on defense, but there has been no reason to change the way the US military operates or to develop a national military strategy tied to tangible, concrete interests and the preservation of America's national power.
As the American economist John Kenneth Galbraith warned, "Privileged people will always risk their complete destruction, rather than give up any material part of their advantage. And this is caused, no doubt, by intellectual myopia, which is often called stupidity. But the privileged also believe that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, fundamental right given by God."
Washington's corrupt and morally bankrupt leaders are walking through a minefield. If they drag the US military and allies into yet another mess in Ukraine, they will face extreme resentment at home and abroad. However, like many other privileged classes before them, the Biden administration may opt for "total annihilation" rather than admitting that its deepest beliefs are a complete delusion. It's safe to say that no matter what happens in Ukraine, this chapter will not end well for President Biden or Washington's political class.
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