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2021-12-05 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
US spooks say Russia is planning an invasion
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] Russia is allegedly planning an invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, the Associated Press reports, citing a source in the United States presidential administration.

It is noted that the US intelligence has come to the corresponding conclusion.

According to them, Moscow allegedly plans to deploy up to 175,000 servicemen on the border with Ukraine, half of which are already deployed in positions.

The source also said that Moscow allegedly plans to send 100 battalion tactical groups to the border.

As reported by IA REGNUM , earlier the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Maria Zakharova said that the armed forces of Ukraine pulled forces into the conflict zone in the Donbass 125 thousand people.

This, according to her, is half of the entire composition of the country's Armed Forces. At the same time, violations of the ceasefire regime are recorded along the entire line of contact.

Says Russia Online:
The well-known Russian political scientist Sergei Markov came to this conclusion after analyzing the possible outcome of the escalation of the military conflict in eastern Ukraine. In an interview with the information portal Ukraina.ru, Markov spoke in detail about the “red line” that Kiev should not violate, and also explained what move the Russian army is using to completely demoralize the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Sergei Markov first of all drew attention to the fact that the Russian Federation will be forced to intervene in the situation if Kiev nevertheless decides to launch a full-scale military operation against the residents of Donbass. Thus, the Ukrainian authorities will violate the "red line" by provoking an escalation of the conflict in eastern Ukraine. This state of affairs will give Russia an excuse to implement a military strategy, thanks to which about 70% of the military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be transferred to the side of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
Posted by badanov 2021-12-05 00:00|| || Front Page|| [22 views ]  Top

#1 That means they won't invade.
Putin will wrongfoot his hapless counterparts once again.
Posted by Merrick Ferret 2021-12-05 00:30||   2021-12-05 00:30|| Front Page Top

#2 The same 'experts' that predicted the collapse of the Soviets...?
Posted by magpie 2021-12-05 00:41||   2021-12-05 00:41|| Front Page Top

#3 The same experts who didn't know Soviet subs had nukes on board during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
Posted by Bubba Lover of the Faeries8843 2021-12-05 01:18||   2021-12-05 01:18|| Front Page Top

#4 The extended 'out of garrison' mobilization of over five divisions of soldiers, anybody's soldiers... is a very expensive undertaking.

A 'training exercise' can probably now be ruled out. A disruptive leadership change in the US, or a serious geo-political event in Taiwan may be the trigger. A concurrence of events would provide an ideal window for action.

Posted by Besoeker 2021-12-05 04:17||   2021-12-05 04:17|| Front Page Top

#5 I know people from Moscow. I know people from Ukraine. People in Moscow have friends in Ukraine. People in Ukraine have friends in Moscow and St Petersburg. If war breaks out it's because of mad lunatics in leadership.
Posted by Blackbeard Barnsmell6454 2021-12-05 06:21||   2021-12-05 06:21|| Front Page Top

#6 /\ If war breaks out it's because of mad lunatics in leadership.

We here in the States have that box checked.
Posted by Besoeker 2021-12-05 07:13||   2021-12-05 07:13|| Front Page Top

#7 Putin has never struck me as prudent. He wants to be an emperor; an independent Ukraine means the empire hasn't been restored.
Posted by Rob Crawford 2021-12-05 07:23||   2021-12-05 07:23|| Front Page Top

#8 Putin has never struck me as prudent. He wants to be an emperor; an independent Ukraine means the empire hasn't been restored.

Volodya is pushing for a hybrid soviet union he has dubbed the Union State.

Voluntary entry. Zero exit.
Posted by badanov 2021-12-05 07:48||   2021-12-05 07:48|| Front Page Top

#9 /\ Voluntary entry. Zero exit.
Posted by badanov

The other Lincoln project.
Posted by Besoeker 2021-12-05 07:51||   2021-12-05 07:51|| Front Page Top

#10 Send all House and Senate democrats (Bernie can be to tour guide, and half of the Pubs) for an all expenses paid visit once that is set up. Roaches go in but they never come out (sic).
Posted by Whiskey Mike 2021-12-05 08:06||   2021-12-05 08:06|| Front Page Top

#11 The question remains, should Russia invade what will be the European and American response? Forget NATO, it is a shell. The political response is the question. Will Europe cut off Russian gas? Will the Ukraine be understood as a replica of the Soviet invasion of Finland? Will serious economic penalties be imposed? Can the USA take the place of Nordstream? Will Germany join Russia in the recrudescence of a Molotov-Von Ribbentrop show? Lots of questions and it appears that the Biden group has no answers.
Posted by Bertie Crains2651 2021-12-05 08:42||   2021-12-05 08:42|| Front Page Top

#12 ^ That's exactly why there won't be a war. Whatever muscle flexing Putin does, it will be met by nothing of substance from the West. He wins at no cost.

That said, we still have no business there.
Posted by M. Murcek 2021-12-05 09:06||   2021-12-05 09:06|| Front Page Top

#13 A disruptive leadership change in the US

Watching Biden's latest health crisis?
Posted by Skidmark 2021-12-05 10:19||   2021-12-05 10:19|| Front Page Top

#14 When the West expects escalation, Putin demurs.
When the West is not expecting anything, Putin acts.

Putin is Trump with self-control.
Posted by Merrick Ferret 2021-12-05 10:32||   2021-12-05 10:32|| Front Page Top

#15 Question to Radio Armenia:

“Is it possible to build Communism in a random capitalist country like, say, the Netherlands?”
Answer: “Of course it’s possible but what have the Netherlands ever done to you?”
Posted by Besoeker 2021-12-05 11:16||   2021-12-05 11:16|| Front Page Top

#16 Putin and the EU reliance on Gazprom, China and the massive US supply chain infrastructure on his side of the Pacific, Iran and the lack of any active US support for an Israeli strike, these are all flashpoints facing an utterly incompetent and frankly cowardly Bidet WH. Each is the culmination (with the notable exception of Trumpian efforts to counter them) of decades of Washington stupidity, cupidity and cultural decline. Bad things await, because the West just forgot the simple wisdom of the past millenia:
Hard times create hard men, hard men create good times, good times create soft men, and soft men create hard times
Posted by NoMoreBS 2021-12-05 12:08||   2021-12-05 12:08|| Front Page Top

#17 Will Europe cut off Russian gas?
Ну... Кто кого?
Posted by Merrick Ferret 2021-12-05 12:59||   2021-12-05 12:59|| Front Page Top

#18 Putin is Trump with self-control.
No, Putin has control of his government and a compliant Duma legislature. Neither of these luxuries were available to Trump.

Besides, Trump was a businessman and Putin was a bureaucratic Spook so a difference in negotiating style is inevitable.
Posted by magpie 2021-12-05 13:59||   2021-12-05 13:59|| Front Page Top

#19 Who cares, we have enough of our own problems.
Posted by Chris 2021-12-05 15:09||   2021-12-05 15:09|| Front Page Top

20:32 Silentbrick
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