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2021-03-25 The Grand Turk
Turkey: Zero allies
The view from Egypt.
[AlAhram] Ottoman Turkish interference in the affairs of neighbouring countries is being effectively repelled by the formation of new regional power equilibrium

A new power equilibrium is steadily emerging throughout the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East. Ottoman Turkish interference is receding on all fronts due to the decisive stance adopted by a network of states composed of Egypt, Greece, Soddy Arabia
...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual hajj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. When the oil runs out the rest of the world is going to kick sand in the Soddy national face...
and the UAE. External actors such as La Belle France and the US have also helped indirectly to create this new geopolitical reality.

Continued from Page 4



Ottoman Turkish foreign policy over the last decade can be roughly distinguished into two essential phases and relative strategic frameworks. The first was introduced by then foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu and was based on the notion of "zero problems" in The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the occupiers of Greek Asia Minor...
’s immediate neighbourhood and greater periphery. It was sophisticated in nature and aimed to project Ottoman Turkish soft rather than hard power and legitimise indirectly Ottoman Turkish hegemonic ambitions over larger areas.

This policy was gradually overturned when Turkey, under the increasing influence of radical Erdogan circles and in response to major events, adopted an aggressive revisionist policy that saw interference in many countries and multiple fronts extending from Libya to Syria and the Caucasus.

The decisive event was Turkey’s decision to back Islamist movements in various states after the Arab Spring. The most notable case was, of course, in Egypt, where Ottoman Turkish support for the networks of the terrorist Moslem Brüderbund group ended in failure as the joint efforts of the Egyptian people and army assured stability and the decisive return of Egypt as an international actor after the 30 June Revolution.

Turkey has also supported jihadists in Syria and most notably in Libya, adding to the political deadlock that has fortunately recently been overcome as a result of Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi’s initiatives. Ottoman Turkish maximalism and interference have been decisively defeated and effectively repelled in the Mediterranean due to new regional networks that have two states at their core, Egypt and Greece.

Turkey has gone from a "zero problems" doctrine in its foreign policy to a "zero allies" reality. Ottoman Turkish interference in the region has severely damaged its relations with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain and put a limit on its ambitions in both Syria and Iraq. Ottoman Turkish relations with the two Hellenic states of Greece and Cyprus have always been problematic due to Ottoman Turkish aggression and illegal actions. Greece has also repelled Ottoman Turkish destabilisation efforts, which have included the use of mass migrant flows as a weapon.

Time is clearly not on the side of Ottoman Turkish President His Enormity, Sultan Recep Tayyip Erdogan the First
...Turkey's version of Mohammed Morsi but they voted him back in so they deserve him. It's a sin, a shame, and a felony to insult the president of Turkey. In Anatolia did Recep Bey a stately Presidential Palace decree, that has 1100 rooms. That's 968 more than in the White House, 400 more than in Versailles, and 325 more than Buckingham Palace, so you know who's really more important...
. Turkey has hastened to make inappropriate statements regarding its interpretation of the mindset of the Egyptian people, often repeating its meddling in the internal affairs of other countries. Egypt, as the leader of the Arab world,
...which is how it appears from Egypt, even as they insist they aren’t actually Arab at all. Other leaders of the Arab world see things differently...
has declared through its Foreign Ministry that any improvement in bilateral relations with Turkey will have to be based on Turkey’s real respect for territorial illusory sovereignty and the requirements of Arab national security.
That’ll be never, then. Gotcha.
This is a clear message from Egypt that it will no longer tolerate Ottoman Turkish intervention in Libya, Iraq and Syria or its hostile attitude towards major Arab allies such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Turkey has lost sympathy throughout the region, keeping it only in isolated enclaves, often in coalition with another external actor, Iran.
The editorial equivalent of mustache cursing, but what will — or can — Egypt actually do about Turkish misbehaviour beyond giving them the cut direct?
The New Mediterranean as a geopolitical region does not include Turkey because of its rupture in relations with almost every state in the region. Initiatives such as the Eastern Mediterranean Gas Forum (EMGF) highlight the formation of a new regional power bloc. The inclusion of La Belle France as a full member of the forum and of the US and EU as external observers shows that there is now a major transatlantic and Mediterranean axis connecting the US, La Belle France and Greece, the Eastern Mediterranean, Egypt and the Gulf countries.

Well-informed forecasters today predict that Turkey will become ever more unstable in its internal politics and external relations.
Indeed.
Internally, the Ottoman Turkish regime will increase social oppression to unite the ethnic Turkic segment of the population against the ethnic Kurdish part that is rising in terms of both numbers and of political influence. This widespread oppression will most likely rise to new heights after the Ottoman Turkish decision to form a front against the Kurdish segment of Ottoman Turkish society.

Externally, Turkey will continue for a period in its vain overtures towards Egypt and other states, but it will take no concrete steps that could prove the sincerity of its intentions. Only if Turkey withdraws from Libya, Syria and Iraq and stops its aggression against Greece and Cyprus will it be able to prove its intention to behave like a normal state towards its neighbours.

But if Turkey abandons its overseas ventures and military interference in Libya, Syria and Iraq, its foreign policy will lose its legitimacy for the political audience of Islamists and Eurasianists that dominates the AKP. Turkey has thus trapped itself in a diplomatic deadlock, leaving it with zero allies for the foreseeable future.
Posted by trailing wife 2021-03-25 00:00|| || Front Page|| [19 views ]  Top
 File under: Sublime Porte 

#1 It is rarely recalled that the collapse of the Bulgarian army opened a new front on Germany in WWI. The Turks seeing the handwriting on the wall were the first to sue for an armistice and jettison their German allies. A month later Germany capitulated and WWI ended. The result: From that day to this neighboring nations know by experience that Turkey is not to be trusted, and that an alliance with Ankara is a sometime thing. Unfortunately, Washington has never learned that lesson.
Posted by b 2021-03-25 08:58||   2021-03-25 08:58|| Front Page Top

#2 About that photo of Zippy and his Mustafa Moustache friends: If Z. really wanted to stage a Freddie Mercury look-alike contest, he should've told the contestants to lose their silly hats and change into wife-beaters and leather trousers
Posted by Bubba Fliger8454 2021-03-25 11:23||   2021-03-25 11:23|| Front Page Top

#3 The Turks seeing the handwriting on the wall were the first to sue for an armistice and jettison their German allies.
Read the (Wiki) Pursuit of the Goeben and Breslau for a little more background. The Ottoman Turks were trying to stay neutral and the Germans initially wanted them to as well. The British (quote) Diplomacy (un-quote) had more to do with Turkey's entry into WW-1 and it is understandable that the Turks quit when they did.
Posted by magpie 2021-03-25 18:54||   2021-03-25 18:54|| Front Page Top

18:25 Ululating Platypus
18:22 Lord Garth
17:54 Gliling tse Tung9582
16:49 Abu Uluque
16:35 Procopius2k
16:31 Procopius2k
16:29 Procopius2k
16:27 Procopius2k
16:21 Dale
16:00 Tom
15:55 jpal
15:53 Tom
15:49 Grom the Reflective
15:48 jpal
15:46 jpal
15:36 49 Pan
15:30 49 Pan
14:59 Airandee
14:55 Besoeker
14:54 Besoeker
14:54 Airandee
14:53 magpie
14:51 Besoeker
14:49 NoMoreBS









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