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2021-02-14 Africa North
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Egyptian foreign policy: Step-by-step diplomacy
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 If only everyone just accepted that Egypt is the natural leader of the Muslim Middle East, and did as they were advised! [AlAhram] Cairo is busy recalibrating its diplomatic choices.
Libya, Paleostinian-Israeli talks, Paleostinian reconciliation, Leb
...an Iranian colony situated on the eastern Mediterranean, conveniently adjacent to Israel. Formerly inhabited by hardy Phoenecian traders, its official language is now Arabic, with the usual unpleasant side effects. The Leb civil war, between 1975 and 1990, lasted a little over 145 years and produced 120,000 fatalities. The average length of a ceasefire was measured in seconds. The Lebs maintain a precarious sectarian balance among Shiites, Sunnis, and about a dozeen flavors of Christians. It is the home of Hezbollah, which periodically starts a war with the Zionist Entity, gets Beirut pounded to rubble, and then declares victory and has a parade. The Lebs have the curious habit of periodically murdering their heads of state or prime ministers...
, and the Grand Æthiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) have each been addressed in a series of meetings — the Hurghada meeting on the Libyan constitutional track on Tuesday, the extraordinary session of the Arab Council of Foreign Ministers on Monday, with sideline talks conducted by both President Abdel-Fattah al-Sissi and Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukri, the Paleostinian factions talks in Cairo, also on Monday, and on Saturday, remotely, the AU summit — to which Egypt was party.
Continued from Page 2
LIBYA
The Hurghada meeting and the bilateral talks that Shoukri held with his Libyan counterpart from the Government of National Accord, Mohammed Taher Saiala, on the sideline of the Arab Foreign Council Meeting, were held as Cairo was coming to terms with the election of a new chair of the Libyan presidential council, Mohammed Younis Menfi, and a new Libyan prime minister, Abdul-Hamid Dhbeiba.
It is no secret that Cairo would have preferred Aguila Saleh and Fathi Bashagha in the top jobs. Saleh, despite on-and-off disagreements with Cairo, is perceived as an ally and Bashagha as a strong minister of interior who, despite ties with The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the decaying remnant of the Ottoman Empire...
, would have reigned in Libya’s western militias.
President al-Sissi welcomed the outcome of the elections in a brief statement. In his meeting with Saiala, Shoukri said Egypt is willing to work with the new political interim figures.
"We will have to watch the political bargaining that leads to the formation of the government [supposedly within 21 days] and its approval by the Aguila Saleh-led parliament," said an Egyptian diplomat. He added that what counts most for Egypt is "a fair and balanced representation" of Libya’s geographic areas and political blocs.
Egypt began to open up to moderate political elements in the west of Libya a few months ago, a process lent impetus by Joe Foreign Policy Whiz Kid Biden
 ...Candidate for president in 2020. I had the great honor of being arrested with our UN Ambassador on the streets of Soweto, trying to get to see him on Robbens Island ...
’s arrival at the White House.
"We remain very focused on securing the borders. We will demand security cooperation for sure but otherwise we are open," said an informed Egyptian official.
Security in Libya, the same official said, is not just about the "very long and challenging" western border of Egypt but extends to the Eastern Mediterranean, the zone of Egypt’s major gas reserves.
Cairo hopes the new US administration will press Ankara to desist from any provocative moves, and according to one Egyptian official Turkey seems to be showing "some sense". He acknowledged that "on-the-ground in Libya there are communications of sorts" between Egypt and Turkey and "there might be a willingness" on the side of Ankara to hand over three "terrorists" on the Interpol list.
LEBANON
While the behaviour of Turkey in the Eastern Mediterranean, not least towards Greece and Cyprus, Egypt’s close economic partners, is a key Egyptian concern, worries over the stability of Lebanon, especially following the liquidation of Loukman Salim, an anti- Hizbullah
...Party of God , a Leb militia inspired, founded, funded and directed by Iran. Hizbullah refers to itself as The Resistance and purports to defend Leb against Israel, with whom it has started and lost one disastrous war to date, though it did claim victory...
figure, are climbing up Cairo’s diplomatic agenda.
Last week, President al-Sissi met Lebanon’s designated Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri just as al-Hariri was coming under pressure to walk out on long and so far inconclusive talks to form a government. The meeting sent a clear message from Cairo to Lebanon’s leading political players that to abort al-Hariri’s attempts to form a government amounts to playing with fire in a country facing unprecedented economic challenges.
Egypt is working closely with La Belle France to give a push to an al-Hariri government. Both countries agree that a continuation of the political void in Lebanon is very risky. Nor did Cairo seem unduly concerned by Tuesday’s visit to Lebanon by Qatar
...an emirate on the east coast of the Arabian Peninsula. It sits on some really productive gas and oil deposits, which produces the highest per capita income in the world. They piss it all away on religion, financing the Moslem Brotherhood and several al-Qaeda affiliates. Home of nutbag holy manYusuf al-Qaradawi...
i Foreign Minister Mohammed al-Thani to push for the composition of a government.
QATAR
According to an informed official, relations with Qatar shifted from cold to lukewarm reconciliation in January. One sign of the shift is the release of al-Jazeera Egyptian correspondent Mahmoud Hussein, after four years in detention, earlier this week. Another is that Doha-based football player Mohammed Abu Treika, whose name is included in a legal case including terrorist charges, is expected to find his way back to Egypt sometime this spring, according to the same source, and there is growing speculation of bilateral economic cooperation between the two countries later this year.
PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES
Meanwhile,
...back at the shootout, Butch started the buffalo stampeding......
the meeting Cairo hosted on Monday for over 20 figures from across the Paleostinian political spectrum may not have resulted in a breakthrough in managing Paleostinian general and presidential elections still scheduled for May but "we hope that we can still get things moving," said one official.
The extraordinary meeting of the Arab Foreign Council that convened in Cairo saw a revival among Arab diplomats of language on the Paleostinian cause and a "Paleostinian State within the 1967 borders".
Not just no from Israel on that one, guys, but HELL NO! They saw the future, and it’s Abraham Accords across the board — no land for a cold peace, because they no longer need to. Or y’all can fight Iran on your own after Israel fixes that little nuke problem. Paleostinian political sources speaking from Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with an iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response ...
and Ramallah credited the new position that Egypt has been taking with Jordan on Paleostinian rights for the change of tone.
"Clearly the fact that Trump is out of the picture with his notorious deal of the century is a factor. What counts for us now is that Egypt is again standing on the side of Paleostinian rights and is trying to help with the situation in Gaza," said the source from Gaza.
Egyptian officials warn work on the Paleostinian file is a long-term project that will take a lot of hard work and mediation before anything materialises.
Israel is indulging y’all by pretending anything you do in the subject has any meaning, because you’re a neighbour and there are other mutually beneficial issues like fighting ISIS in the Sinai and drug and people smugglers. ETHIOPIA AND GERD
Hard work is also how concerned officials describe the GERD file as Cairo launches a proactive international diplomatic drive to "explain its position on GERD".
This week, in a statement to the remotely convened AU summit, President al-Sissi said Cairo will continue to press for a legally binding deal that recognises Egypt’s water rights.
Egypt has been working for months to explain its position to interlocutors across Africa and elsewhere and draw attention to the possible, and little studied, negative ecological consequences of the dam.
Egypt knows Æthiopia is intent on staging a second filling of the dam, and while it does not view this as the end of a diplomatic process that has been ongoing since 2019 it is eyeing greater international intervention as a possible next move, possibly involving the UN, EU, and the US. 
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Posted by trailing wife 2021-02-14 00:00||
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File under: Islamic Defenders Front
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Posted by Frank G 2021-02-14 08:58||
2021-02-14 08:58||
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