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2020-11-23 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Good COVID news: Antibodies may provide lasting immunity; elderly death rates reportedly dropping
[LI] There have been amazing new developments in the battle against the Wuhan coronavirus.

As Mary noted, both Moderna and Pfizer have created vaccines found to be over 90% effective in testing during late stage trials.

But there is even more: University of Arizona Health Sciences researchers recently completed a study and found immunity persists for at least several months after being infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19.

"We clearly see high-quality antibodies still being produced five to seven months after SARS-CoV-2 infection," said Deepta Bhattacharya, Ph.D., associate professor, UArizona College of Medicine—Tucson, Department of Immunobiology. "Many concerns have been expressed about immunity against COVID-19 not lasting. We used this study to investigate that question and found immunity is stable for at least five months."

The resulting paper, "Orthogonal SARS-CoV-2 Serological Assays Enable Surveillance of Low Prevalence Communities and Reveal Durable Humoral Immunity," was published today in the journal Immunity. Dr. Bhattacharya and Janko Nikolich-Zugich, MD, Ph.D., professor and head of the Department of Immunobiology, led the research team.

When a virus first infects cells, the immune system deploys short-lived plasma cells that produce antibodies to immediately fight the virus. Those antibodies appear in blood tests within 14 days of infection.


Even better: A soon-to-be release study suggests that such immunity can last for years.

Eight months after infection, most people who have recovered still have enough immune cells to fend off the virus and prevent illness, the new data shows. A slow rate of decline in the short term suggests, happily, that these cells may persist in the body for a very, very long time to come.

..."That amount of memory would likely prevent the vast majority of people from getting hospitalized disease, severe disease, for many years," said Shane Crotty, a virologist at the La Jolla Institute of Immunology who co-led the new study.

The findings are likely to come as a relief to experts worried that immunity to the virus might be short-lived, and that vaccines might have to be administered repeatedly to keep the pandemic under control.

And the research squares with another recent finding: that survivors of SARS, caused by another coronavirus, still carry certain important immune cells 17 years after recovering.

Finally, the new treatments that have been developed rapidly in response to the pandemic crisis have reportedly led to a significant drop in mortality rates of elderly patients who become infected with the virus.

White House spokeswoman Kayleigh McEnany presented a fatality chart showing deaths over time per hundred cases for various age ranges. According to the data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, deaths have come down for every age group, especially for those over age 70 — the age range marked with a red line.

"That red line is a testament to what this President has done," McEnany said Friday afternoon at a press conference. "Therapeutics, monoclonal antibodies — that is a recent one — that reduces hospitalization in high-risk seniors with moderate to mild COVID by 70 percent. That’s American ingenuity rising to the occasion, and President Trump oversaw all of this."

A closer look at the chart:
Posted by Besoeker 2020-11-23 01:24|| || Front Page|| [7 views ]  Top

#1 1st of all my I suggest we stop using Cumulative (running) totals for the Covid-19.

As of Late Oct. 2020 it would seem the USA started
Covid Season #2.

Because like most Viruses they find Colder seasons the best environment to start and infect in. The CDC website even provides virus propagation examples showing Late Oct/ Early Nov. to Mid April Early May. Then in the spring (warmer months) the virus infection and mortality numbers decline.

JUST AS THE C-19 did from its initial spread in Nov/Dec 2019 (China/Europe spread) to the USA, to its USA Death rate Peak in Mid April 2020, then it started a declined until late Oct.


CDC C-19 INFECTION RATE DATA.

The Latest Covid season panic data of Nov. 21st, 2020 showed 6,113 new cases out of 342 Million. That's an infection rate of 0.0017874269005847955 of 1%. of the US Population.


Season #2 Infections numbers that show a steady increase started roughly mid Oct 19th, 2020
Posted by NN2N1 2020-11-23 08:40||   2020-11-23 08:40|| Front Page Top

#2 ... SELF CORRECTION ...

When I make a mistake I will always try to correct myself.

The database I posted uses a daily total per STATE.
NOT a US Daily Number for the USA. This was an error on my part and low coffee intake.☺


Over the last 7 Days the CDC claims we have had
147,840 New Cases. Which by their figures works out to 50 per 100,000. Using that figure despite the well known FALSE POSITIVE rates of 20% to as much 40%.

The CDC's figures work out to the odds of 0.043228~ of 1% out of 342M of getting the C-Virus in season #2 over the last 7 days.

Over the last 7 days the CDC has received reports of 882 C-Virus Season #2 "related" deaths.

So again you have to be part of the lucky 0.04322~ of 1% out of 342M infected, in order to stand any chance of being the 0.5965~ of 1% IF infected to die... The Season #2 C-Virus

NOTE:
The US Mortality rate is FAR LOWER than Season #1 "so far".


BTW: As I have repeated several times before, the US DAILY Mortality Rate average is 7,778.6 deaths per Day.

That makes the weekly average works to about 54,450.5.

So the C-Virus Season #2 is currently 1.62% of national Daily Average.
Posted by NN2N1 2020-11-23 15:12||   2020-11-23 15:12|| Front Page Top

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