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2019-11-19 Israel-Palestine-Jordan
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Did whacking al-Ata prevent two-front war?
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[Jpost] ’On both the northern and southern fronts, the situation is tense and fragile and could deteriorate into a confrontation," IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi said in late October. Israel was facing a complex set of threats among Iranian proxies and allies and was increasing its pace of preparations.
We now know that one of those preparations was to strike Bahaa Abu al-Ata, who was planning terrorist attacks and had been deeply involved in Islamic Jihad
...created after many members of the Egyptian Moslem Brotherhood decided the organization was becoming too moderate. Operations were conducted out of Egypt until 1981 when the group was exiled after the assassination of President Anwar Sadat. They worked out of Gaza until they were exiled to Lebanon in 1987, where they clove tightly to Hezbollah. In 1989 they moved to Damascus, where they remain a subsidiary of Hezbollah...
’s escalation against Israel over the past year.
Continued from Page 4
"Decapitating Paleostinian Islamic Jihadist Abu al-Ata was rightful and necessary, as he was planning terrorist attacks, undermining security and Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with an iron fist by Hamaswith about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response ...
stabilization efforts," Amos Yadlin, director of Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), wrote on November 12. al-Ata is just one person, but eliminating him was supposed to send a message to PIJ’s leadership and operators. Over the course of two days of fighting, Israel struck another two dozen PIJ members.
The operation Israel planned took into account a harsh response from PIJ. The organization has thousands of rockets with ranges up to 80 km. The expected barrage of rockets was met with rounds of Arclight airstrike
...KABOOM! ...
s designed to deter PIJ and deal it a significant blow, according to Israel. Terrorism infrastructure was hit, naval assets, tunnels, headquarters and rocket launchers. Israel is assessing how much impact this had.
THE LARGER picture is that PIJ is Iran’s proxy in Gaza. This is not a relationship of convenience, as Hamas, one of the armed feet of the Moslem Brüderbund millipede, has with Iran. This is a direct relationship. Yadlin wrote that "Iran’s proxy war throughout the region in general will wait on the doorstep of Israel’s next government." The operation against PIJ should be seen as a way to reduce the chances of a two-front war, if and when there is another round of tensions with Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan, the abbreviation IRGC is a cognate form of Stürmabteilung (or SA), the term Supreme Guide is a cognate form of either Shah or Führer or maybe both, and they hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
in the north.
Kochavi said in late October that Iran is a strategic threat and that Iran is using the territory of other countries with weak governments to threaten Israel. That means Leb and Syria. Iran also has pro-Iranian militias in Iraq, where Iran has allegedly stationed rockets since at least 2018. It gave ballistic missiles to Shi’ite proxies in Iraq, to units among the Popular Mobilization Units.
In July mysterious explosions destroyed numerous munitions warehouses of the pro-Iranian militias in Iraq. Iraq and leaders of the PMU blamed Israel and the US for the attacks. Iranian-backed groups harassed US facilities and likely were behind numerous mortar and rocket attacks near US bases and the US Embassy.
The pressure on Iran’s proxies in Iraq has grown so intense that on October 23 Israel’s Army Radio reported that Israel is "preemptively bolstering its defenses, over fears Iran may retaliate against an ongoing series of attacks on its proxies in Syria and [reportedly] Iraq that have been attributed to Israel," Ynet noted.
In short, here is what happened. In June 2018 an airstrike hit an Iraq militia called Kataib Hezbollah that had established a headquarters in Syria. In August 2018 Rooters reported that Iran sent missiles to its allies in Iraq. In October 2018 Islamic Jihad fired rockets at Israel on orders from Iran and due to an internal contest with Hamas. In the wake of the October-November Gaza tensions, and as Iran sought to entrench itself in Syria, Israel conducted a 10-day drill for the possibility of a two-front war. On December 4, 2018, Israel launched Operation Northern Shield to root out Hezbollah tunnels. On January 20, 2019, the IDF says, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force fired a rocket at Israel from Syria. INSS produced an assessment the next day arguing that Israel faces a multifront war this year.
In mid-May US-Iran tensions heated up. Iran struck at ships in the Persian Gulf, downed a US drone and sent a militia to Iraq to fire at Soddy Arabia
...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual hajj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. When the oil runs out the rest of the world is going to kick sand in the Soddy national face...
. Islamic Jihad warned on May 30, in an interview with its leader Ziyad al-Nakhalah on Hezbollah’s al-Manar, that Islamic Jihad could fire 1,000 rockets a day. Israel sought to dissuade al-Ata, the PIJ leader in Gaza, from hostile activities. He did not stop, and Israel viewed him as a "ticking time bomb."
By August Israel was facing tensions in the north. Killer drones were being prepared by Hezbollah and Shi’ite militias, with orders from the IRGC to target Israel. An airstrike took out a drone team in late August. A week and a half later a warehouse at an alleged Iranian base near Albukamal in Syria on the Iraqi border was hit in an airstrike. The IRGC fired rockets at Israel on September 9 from near Damascus, according Asharq al-Awsat, the same day the Albukamal base was bombed. Five days later a swarm of Iranian drones and cruise missiles hit Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq facility.
THE STRUGGLE Israel has faced against Islamic Jihad is directly related to the escalating tensions throughout the region. It does not operate in a vacuum.
Israel’s ability to conduct an operation against it and isolate it by keeping Hamas out of the fighting was an extraordinary achievement.
The larger problem is that PIJ is one of the smaller Iranian-backed forces arrayed against Israel. It is dangerous because it is so close to Israel. But it has only 5% of the number of rockets that Hezbollah has.
When compared to the IRGC’s roots in Syria and the Iraqi Shi’ite militia bases, and even the technology Iran has transferred to the Iran's Houthi sock puppets
 ...a Zaidi Shia insurgent group operating in Yemen. They have also been referred to as the Believing Youth . Hussein Badreddin al-Houthi is said to be the spiritual leader of the group and most of the military leaders are his relatives. The legitimate Yemeni government has accused the them of having ties to the Iranian government. Honest they did. The group has managed to gain control over all of Saada Governorate and parts of Amran, Al Jawf and Hajjah Governorates. Its slogan is God is Great, Death to America™, Death to Israel, a curse on the Jews They like shooting off... ummm... missiles that they would have us believe they make at home in their basements. On the plus side, they did murder Ali Abdullah Saleh, which was the only way the country was ever going to be rid of him...
s in Yemen
...an area of the Arabian Peninsula sometimes mistaken for a country. It is populated by more antagonistic tribes and factions than you can keep track of...
, PIJ is less important. It is also blockaded and isolated.
Breaking its ability to threaten Israel in the case of a two-front war is important; the 450 rockets it fired over 48 hours on November 12-13 are 450 rockets it no longer has. It has saved some of its long-range ordnance. This is a concern.
Iran has used PIJ in the past to pester and threaten Israel and heat up conflicts at times of Tehran’s choosing. By striking al-Ata, Israel turned the tables on this Iranian "ticking bomb."
But the larger context is still an Iranian threat across Iraq, Syria and Leb. Removing one of PIJ’s pawns from the board was a move in a larger conflict.
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Posted by trailing wife 2019-11-19 00:00||
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