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2019-10-09 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Kurdish Militia in Syria Likely to Join with Assad, Putin
See also here and here.
[Jpost] Kurdish forces in Syria will likely seek an alliance with Moscow and Damascus after the United States announced a looming Ottoman Turkish incursion into Syria, analysts have told The Media Line.

A statement from the White House after President Donald Trump
...The tack in the backside of the Democratic Party...
spoke with Ottoman Turkish President His Enormity, Sultan Recep Tayyip Erdogan the First

Continued from Page 4


...Turkey's version of Mohammed Morsi but they voted him back in so they deserve him. It's a sin, a shame, and a felony to insult the president of Turkey. In Anatolia did Recep Bey a stately Presidential Palace decree, that has 1100 rooms. That's 968 more than in the White House, 400 more than in Versailles, and 325 more than Buckingham Palace, so you know who's really more important...
on Sunday night revealed that The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...Qatar's satrapy in Asia Minor...
"will soon be moving forward."

Ankara sees the Kurdish YPG militia in Syria as connected to the PKK, a Turkey-based Kurdish militia it has declared a terrorist organization. Both Washington and the Europe
...the land mass occupying the space between the English Channel and the Urals, also known as Moslem Lebensraum...
an Union have also classified the PKK as a terrorist group.

Turkey has long complained about Washington’s alliance with Kurdish forces in northern Syria who have been integral in fighting against Islamic State
...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that they were al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're really very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear western pols talk they're not really Moslems....
. The Turks view them as a security threat and want them removed from the area close to the frontier. The YPG, already weakened after the US got it to remove its defensive positions along the Syrian border, will be in search of an ally to replace the US in order to support its logistical needs. There are fears that with Kurdish forces now having to face an attack by Turkey without American help, ISIS
...embracing their inner Islamic Brute...
could remerge.

Brett McGurk, the former US special envoy to the global coalition to defeat ISIS, tweeted after the US announcement that Turkey cannot and does not want to deal with tens of thousands of people detained in camps in Syria, where people are at risk of radicalization, something that would lead to a resurgent ISIS.

"Believing otherwise is a reckless gamble with our national security," McGurk wrote.

Nicholas Danforth, a visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund in Turkey, told The Media Line that the most likely result of the announcement is that the Kurdish forces will cut a deal with Syria's Bashir al-Assad and his ally, Russia. This means, he said, that Kurdish forces will give up some autonomy to Assad, and territory to Turkey.

The White House statement added that the US would not support the Ottoman Turkish operation and its forces would "no longer be in the immediate area."

The Rooters news agency cited a US official who said the initial withdrawal would be limited to an area close to the Ottoman Turkish border.

"Russia and Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan, the abbreviation IRGC is a cognate form of Stürmabteilung (or SA), the term Supreme Guide is a cognate form of either Shah or Führer or maybe both, and they hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
will be excited to see the United States leave. They will be less excited about seeing Turkey come in," Danforth stated.

Muzaffer Senel, an assistant professor of political science and international relations at Istanbul’s Sehir University, agreed that Kurdish forces would try to find a new alliance by going to Moscow and Tehran following a withdrawal of the US and an incursion by Turkey.

"The policy shift of Washington will most probably be welcomed by Russia and Iran," Senel told The Media Line. "It’s a chance for them to take all of Syria under their control."

Analysts state that Ankara’s most pressing fear is further attempts at self-rule for Kurdish groups within Turkey if Kurdish groups are allowed to develop an independent state within Syria.

"[It’s] a historical fear of disintegration... still very much alive in the minds of Ottoman Turkish policy-makers," Senel stated.

Danforth added that Assad, keen on regaining control over all of Syria, will likely put greater pressure on Turkey if it gains ground in the country. This could mean more Russian-backed attacks on northwestern Syria, including in Idlib province, where millions of displaced Syrians live and Turkey maintains observation posts.
Let’s you and him fight.
A Ottoman Turkish report of the Trump-Erdogan phone call issued before the White House released its statement said a safe zone was needed for "neutralizing the threat stemming from PKK-YPG terrorists."

The report also stated that Turkey "will take all necessary precautions" to fight terrorism and that Erdogan "shared with President Trump his frustration over the US military and security bureaucracy’s failure to implement the agreement between their two nations."

In August, Ankara and Washington came to a limited agreement over the establishment of a safe zone in northeastern Syria, but Turkey began to complain that the US was stalling over its implementation and threatened to go into Syria on its own. Erdogan’s spokesperson, Ibrahim Kalin, tweeted on Monday that the safe zone would enable Syrians to return home.

A major defeat for Erdogan’s party in a June election for mayor of Istanbul was partly blamed on residents’ resentment toward the 3.6 million Syrian refugees living in Turkey.

The report on the phone conversation also stated that Turkey would be responsible for captured ISIS fighters that Kurdish forces in Syria are currently holding. Kalin tweeted that Turkey would not allow ISIS "to return in any shape or form."

Senel, the Sehir University assistant professor, stated that Turkey would face major obstacles in unilaterally setting up a safe zone and dealing with ISIS fighters. The obstacles would include the financial costs, as Turkey is currently mired in an economic crisis.

"It will be difficult times for Turkey," he said.

Danforth stated that Turkey would need to take steps to deal with captured ISIS fighters, although no one knows what those would need to be.

"For the United States, ISIS was the number one priority. For Turkey, ISIS is clearly not the number one priority," he told The Media Line. "Inevitably, that’s going to be reflected in how consciously Turkey... carries out whatever responsibilities it undertakes for dealing with ISIS fighters in the region."
Posted by trailing wife 2019-10-09 00:00|| || Front Page|| [19 views ]  Top
 File under: Sublime Porte 

#1 As predicted.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2019-10-09 01:57||   2019-10-09 01:57|| Front Page Top

#2 Cluster---.
Kudos to Trump for having the good sense to keep us out.
Posted by Lex 2019-10-09 02:41||   2019-10-09 02:41|| Front Page Top

#3 Assuming YPG is really Sein Fein to PKK's IRA, an alliance with "Yearning for the Good Old Days" Putin seems like an inevitable match.
Posted by Mercutio 2019-10-09 09:55||   2019-10-09 09:55|| Front Page Top

#4 The U.S. left-wing media's balloon sure lost air quickly on this story. They were all about Orange Man Bad and Stupid for a very short time.
Posted by JohnQC 2019-10-09 10:58||   2019-10-09 10:58|| Front Page Top

#5 Loathsome as Assad is there is a natural fit between Assad's Alaiwites and the Kurds -- they are both minority "outsiders". Besides, "Kurdistan Irredenta" would require the Kurds, or their sponsor, declaring war on Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey.
Posted by magpie 2019-10-09 20:30||   2019-10-09 20:30|| Front Page Top

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