Article

2019-07-04 Africa North

'60 million more Egyptians by 2050': UN report

[AlAhram] Egypt, already the most populous country in the Middle East region, is expected to see a population boom during the coming 30 years, with a recently released UN report expecting the number of Egyptians to increase by 60 million by 2050.

The annual increase will be by two per cent, it said.

A very good thing Egypt has been finding oil and national gas even as world prices continue to fall. They’ll be able to put their funds into new economy-growing initiatives even as they’ll be able to keep the lights on and the factories running.

Egypt, already the most populous country in the Middle East region, is expected to see a population boom during the coming 30 years, with a recently released UN report expecting the number of Egyptians to increase by 60 million by 2050.

The annual increase will be by two per cent, it said.

World Population Prospects, the UN study, highlights a comprehensive set of demographic data to assess population trends at the global, regional and national levels and many other key indicators commonly used by the UN system.

With a projected addition of 1.1 billion people, the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa could account for more than half of the growth in the world’s population between 2019 and 2050, the study says.

By contrast, Eastern and South-East Asia, Central and Southern Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Europe
Europe

...the land mass occupying the space between the English Channel and the Urals, also known as Moslem Lebensraum...
and Northern America are projected to reach peak population size and to start losing population before the end of the present century. The size of the global population is set to increase to reach 11 billion by the end of the century.

Following the population increases in Egypt over the past five years, the study extrapolates to the country’s population reaching almost 225 million by the end of this century. Egypt thus follows the lead of India, the country with the highest population growth and expected to reach 1.6 billion by 2050, and a number of countries in Africa, including the Democratic Republic of the Congo

...formerly the Congo Free State, Belgian Congo, Zaire, and who knows what else, not to be confused with the Brazzaville Congo aka Republic of Congo, which is much smaller and much more (for Africa) stable. DRC gave the world Patrice Lumumba and Joseph Mobutu, followed by years of tedious civil war. Its principle industry seems to be the production of corpses. With a population of about 74 million it has lots of raw material...
, Æthiopia, and Tanzania.

Its annual rate of population growth is four times that of China, where the population is expected to increase by only 31,000 within the same 30-year period. Officially registered births reveal that Egypt’s population has already exceeded 100 million, with over half being under the age of 25 and only five per cent 65 and above.

Egypt could slow the pace of the increase and thus halt its negative repercussions if it adopted the right policies, said Heba al-Leithi, a professor of statistics at the Faculty of Economics and Political Science in Cairo.

Last year, Egypt adopted the Itneen Kefaya (Two is Enough) birth-control programme, with the two-year campaign seeking to target 1.2 million women in 10 governorates to raise their awareness of contraception methods.

This was with the help of 100 NGOs, which are providing the Ministry of population with trained volunteers in order to spread door-to-door messages to the targeted families. The programme is also supported by the United Nations
...an organization originally established to war on dictatorships which was promptly infiltrated by dictatorships and is now held in thrall to dictatorships...
Population Fund (UNFPA), which has given LE10 million for the training of doctors and nurses who will work in clinics as well as provide contraceptive methods.

Posted by trailing wife 2019-07-04 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11128 views ] Top

#1 Hobbies. These people need hobbies. Besides the one they obviously have now

Posted by Cheaderhead 2019-07-04 08:10|| 2019-07-04 08:10|| Front Page Top

#2 The solution is obvious. Just classify them as White Western European Supremacists, then watch their fertility rate drop into the negatives.

Posted by Procopius2k 2019-07-04 08:37|| 2019-07-04 08:37|| Front Page Top

#3 Lots of wanking over population numbers and growth rates, but no mention of trends in GDP, health or anything pertaining to how well people living.
But I have total faith in UN reports.

A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
-- June 30, 1989

Posted by SteveS 2019-07-04 10:26|| 2019-07-04 10:26|| Front Page Top

#4 But will they be brown or black?

Posted by Skidmark 2019-07-04 13:09|| 2019-07-04 13:09|| Front Page Top

#5 From the article:

Last year, Egypt adopted the Itneen Kefaya (Two is Enough) birth-control programme, with the two-year campaign seeking to target 1.2 million women in 10 governorates to raise their awareness of contraception methods.

And, from the CIA World Factbook:

Total fertility rate:
3.41 children born/woman (2018 est.)
country comparison to the world: 45

Contraceptive prevalence rate:
58.5% (2014)

And from the Factbook’s Demographic Profile section:

Although the country’s total fertility rate (TFR) fell from roughly 5.5 children per woman in 1980 to just over 3 in the late 1990s, largely as a result of state-sponsored family planning programs, the population growth rate dropped more modestly because of decreased mortality rates and longer life expectancies. During the last decade, Egypt’s TFR decline stalled for several years and then reversed, reaching 3.6 in 2011, and has plateaued the last few years. Contraceptive use has held steady at about 60%, while preferences for larger families and early marriage may have strengthened in the wake of the recent 2011 revolution. The large cohort of women of or nearing childbearing age will sustain high population growth for the foreseeable future (an effect called population momentum).

Nevertheless, post-MUBARAK governments have not made curbing population growth a priority. To increase contraceptive use and to prevent further overpopulation will require greater government commitment and substantial social change, including encouraging smaller families and better educating and empowering women. Currently, literacy, educational attainment, and labor force participation rates are much lower for women than men. In addition, the prevalence of violence against women, the lack of female political representation, and the perpetuation of the nearly universal practice of female genital cutting continue to keep women from playing a more significant role in Egypt’s public sphere.

Hopefully, the last two paragraphs of this article indicate exactly that greater government commitment the UN report is calling for.

Posted by trailing wife 2019-07-04 13:27|| 2019-07-04 13:27|| Front Page Top

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