Article

2019-05-19 China-Japan-Koreas

By Shelley Rigger

[Foreign Policy Research Institute] Over the past 30 years there have been many moments when Taiwan-watchers worked themselves into a tizzy worrying about the potential for conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Until now, though, I have been confident that worst-case thinking was unjustified, and the chances of open conflict were low.

Until now, but no longer.

At this moment, as Taiwan’s political parties battle over their presidential nominations, I am more worried about the future of the Taiwan Strait than I have ever been. Ominous trends are building on all three sides of the triangle, and conflict could be the result. It is by no means inevitable, or even the most likely future. But for the first time in decades, I can see a plausible path to disaster in the Taiwan Strait.

I'm too uninformed to pass judgement on this take, but maybe someone here will have something to add.

Posted by ryuge 2019-05-19 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11130 views ] Top

#1 The US Navy (plus Japan, India, Commonwealth, etc) would defeat the Chines Navy. A total embargo of China enforced by same would send the Chicom economy into a free-fall. Result: Bye-bye Xi.

Try it. Better now than in 40 years.

Posted by Unoluque Whinemble8555 2019-05-19 11:51|| 2019-05-19 11:51|| Front Page Top

#2 China have many people. They have the economy to survive. The whole world would be in freefall.

Posted by Spanky Whuter1088 2019-05-19 17:34|| 2019-05-19 17:34|| Front Page Top

#3 China have many people. They have the economy to survive.

Those many people would go back to being peasants instead of working in factories. China needs a market for her exports more than the world needs cheap cell phones.

Posted by Steve 2019-05-19 19:22|| 2019-05-19 19:22|| Front Page Top

#4 China makes all the little things for the KMT forces. You know toothpaste without poison, soap without poison, shampoo without poison, boot polish without waxy explosive in it. Toothbrushs, combs etc... All state made for the Army of the Republic of China by the Peoples Republic of China... Nah ... I don't think so.

Posted by 3dc 2019-05-19 19:48|| 2019-05-19 19:48|| Front Page Top

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