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2006-02-10 Home Front: Culture Wars
'New populists' vs. the West
Some might call it the axle of anti-American populism.

With linchpins in Tehran on one end and Caracas on the other, a new brand of international populism is rising by fanning flames of division between Western powers and the "powerless" of the developing world.

Leaders, from Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Venezuela's President Hugo Chávez, are winning points at home by striking a nationalist and anti-American pose. Their method: Use the international stage to rail against what they see as a disconnect between the values espoused by the world's sole superpower and its actions.

• Mr. Ahmadinejad consolidates his domestic political power and wins support among several countries caught in America's cross hairs by pointing out that Washington accepts the nuclear status of Pakistan - which it needs on its side in the war on terror - while opposing Iran's program, which Iran insists is for power-generation only.

• Mr. Chávez, espousing a philosophy of "democratic socialism" in any international forum that will listen, accuses the United States of trying to overthrow his own democratically elected government. He fires up sympathetic crowds by branding "US imperialism [as] our real enemy."

Yet for all their heated rhetoric, the two leaders have a vision for the world, one that seeks to end the "sole superpower" reality. Beyond simply opposing America's robust exercise of power - a sentiment increasingly found in the developing world, especially - their aim is to join political forces to provide a significant counterweight in the international arena.

"There is no great level of love between Venezuela and Iran, but they both are seeking a multipolar world, and that's where the two of them find a point of intersection," says Miguel Tinker-Salas, a Latin America and US foreign-policy expert at Pomona College in Claremont, Calif.

The two leaders, though, are impelled by different motives. Chávez is motivated by an antiglobalization stance that vilifies Washington as the epicenter of market- oriented economics, says Thomas Carothers, an expert on democracy and rule of law at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Ahmadinejad's wrath, he says, is more focused on the Bush administration's agenda for secular democracy in the Middle East.

Russia's Vladimir Putin also belongs on the list, says Mr. Carothers, for his challenge to the West over its promotion of democracy in Russia and in the former Soviet neighboring countries.

"We're seeing on different fronts different leaders who are pushing back," he says, "with the idea of resisting the West." It is "no coincidence" that all three countries are "flush with oil money" that allows their leaders the luxury of promoting their causes, he adds.
A risk of overreaction by the West

The West's response to the populists' challenge need not - indeed, should not - be uniform, some analysts say. Each presents a different challenge.

"The Latin American populists like Chávez have a very limited capacity to do anything that threatens substantial harm to our interests, so it's key in those cases not to overreact," says Andrew Bacevich, director of the Center for International Relations at Boston University.

Iran, on the other hand, is different because of the "nuclear question" and "the importance we assign to stability in that region," he says. Iran plays a key role in events in both Iraq and Afghanistan.

In some current international controversies, it's the West, not simply America, that is in the line of fire - as with the Muslim world's fury over cartoons depicting the prophet Muhammad. But Chávez and Ahmadinejad, in particular, "are finding it pays politically to focus on the US," adds Mr. Tinker-Salas.

Iran lost no time this week announcing an end to cooperation on its nuclear program with the International Atomic Energy Agency, after the IAEA on Saturday approved a US-supported resolution that reports Iran to the United Nations Security Council.

Landing Iran in the Security Council was a goal of the Bush administration for at least two years. But the vote also revealed cracks in the international community and support for Iran - albeit from some at the top of Washington's blacklist. Syria, Venezuela, and Cuba all voted "no" on the IAEA resolution.

Iran's foreign minister will travel to Cuba and Venezuela this month in a bid to further cement support for Iran's battle against the "world oppressor" - the US. Ahmadinejad has established contact, too, with Evo Morales, the recently elected populist president of Bolivia.
Rumsfeld takes a jab

The US is also caught in what State Department officials describe as a "tit-for-tat" imbroglio with Chávez. After Caracas expelled a military attaché assigned to the US Embassy on charges of spying, the US responded last Friday by expelling a Venezuelan diplomat.

The US action followed comments by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld in which he likened Chávez to Adolf Hitler, saying both were "elected legally." The election of "populist" leaders like Chávez and Bolivia's new president, he added, "are worrisome."

Some experts caution against such riffs, saying they only play into the hands of the new populists, coming at a time when US standing in the world is low and more people seem to sympathize with challenges to American power.

"People see a certain hypocrisy in US actions, and what we're seeing from people like Chávez and Iran's president are attempts to exploit that," says Tinker-Salas.

"The US has a pretty good record of falling into this trap," adds Mr. Bacevich of Boston University. "The Bush administration has so overused the Hitler analogy that it's almost demeaning to history."

Iran's depiction of an "arrogant West" has "some echo" in parts of the developing world, he adds, but that doesn't mean Damascus, Havana, and Caracas are poised to lead a new anti-West movement.

Still, anti-Western sentiment shows signs of spreading, fed by economics, nationalism, or culture, says Carothers. That should give the US pause from "sparring" with the new populists, he says, "as tempting as that might be."

The current circumstances should also encourage the US to reduce its use of all foreign oil, he adds.

"It takes ready cash to fiddle with politics outside your borders," he says, "and thanks to oil prices that's something that all of these leaders have."
Posted by tipper 2006-02-10 09:37|| || Front Page|| [11134 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 All the more reason to get our assess off of oil.

Toshiba has created a battery that will recharge up to 80% capacity in a few minutes. Scale that, take GM's hydrogen car skate-board idea and replace the hydrogen with big batteries. This is tech that is five years off. Screw hydrogen, this is better. Make them hybrids so they don't waste the whole battery getting up to speed and you can have bigger cars and something usable instead of the stupid dinky electrics we have now.

America loves big vehicles. Trucks and SUVs run all over the place. Start mixing biodiesel into the diesel mix. Lesson the hydrocarbins, clean the air, and get rid of the McDonalds' fry grease. This can be done now. In some warmer areas you could go with pure biodiesel and a small heater on the oil pan.

Biodiesel sucks for faster cars. We should mix more ethanol/methanol into the fuel system to cut down on our oil usage. This would help keep the current cars running with slightly less gas usage as we shift over to electric cars.

We need to bulk up the power grid to support the increased use of electricity with pebble-bed nuclear reactors or other types of power before the electric cars become reasonable. Come on Bush, lead. There is more to the war on terror than just military.

Posted by rjschwarz">rjschwarz  2006-02-10 11:35||   2006-02-10 11:35|| Front Page Top

#2 go rj! We could also use better mass transit in major metro areas. The unions need to be fought on this issue as well. Don't know if it's still true, but in CA the taxi's union prevented mass transit from going to the airports and other useful locations.
Posted by 2b 2006-02-10 12:20||   2006-02-10 12:20|| Front Page Top

#3 In addition, nuclear-generated electricity will tend to replace natural gas, currently being wasted at power plants, also gas is skyrocketing in price due to a relative scarcity. Natural gas is a great fuel for motor vehicles like city busses.
Posted by Whutch Threth6418 2006-02-10 12:51||   2006-02-10 12:51|| Front Page Top

#4 The scarcity of natural gas is self-imposed via a series of lefty lawsuits blocking all attempts at buidling port facilities to handle imports of LNG. Three port facilities exist, twenty five are planned and all are either bogged down in litigation and/or hopelessly entangled in regulatory red tape.
Posted by AzCat 2006-02-10 13:43||   2006-02-10 13:43|| Front Page Top

#5 Since this is the web, and readers deserve footnotes instead of empty claims I thought I'd footnote my screed above.

Toshiba's battery with increased charge speeds. Methonal/Ethonal according to Robert Zubrin the rocket scientist. Dead Cat biodiesel to make the folks at PETA extra confused and lastly pebble-bed nuclear reactors.
Posted by rjschwarz">rjschwarz  2006-02-10 13:55||   2006-02-10 13:55|| Front Page Top

#6 Imported LNG is still imported. On the other hand, I would very much like to pay the $2 per 1000 cubic feet I was paying in 1980 to heat my home, rather than the $13.50 I paid last month.
Posted by Snuns Thromp1484 2006-02-10 19:37||   2006-02-10 19:37|| Front Page Top

#7 Nice graphics, RJ! I'll hafta come back after the gin has worn off.
Posted by Bobby 2006-02-10 21:12||   2006-02-10 21:12|| Front Page Top

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