Article

2014-09-07 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Nigerian Tourist Unlikely To Have Ebola, Doctors Say

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by trailing wife 2014-09-07 00:00|| || Front Page|| [2 views ] Top

#1 I have continued to add up the WHO figures

The WHO with a $4.27 billion budget used to upload new infection and new death figures in bulletins every 2-4 days.

The last figures were from August 20. they haven't done one of those updates for 3 weeks now

So i subtracted the old total from the new total to keep my count going. It is only to August 27.

Great standardisation of reporting from WHO. Just what you'd expect from a well-funded global organisation of expert scientists...

dates...........new infected.....new dead
August 15-27.......898............363
(senegal infected)
August 1-15........663............331
(DRC infected)
July 15-31.........423............146
(Nigeria infected)
July 1-15..........285............139
June 15-30..........81.............41
June 1-15...........84.............28
May 15-31..........133.............44
May 1 – 15..........12..............9

Posted by anon1 2014-09-07 09:06|| 2014-09-07 09:06|| Front Page Top

#2 i wish i could just reprint the table so it was neat. But the mathematicians among you will note it is a roughly 150% increase in infections every 2 weeks

project that out and you get an infection rate of 1 million a month in less than a year

Posted by anon1 2014-09-07 09:08|| 2014-09-07 09:08|| Front Page Top

#3 I made a similar calculation and came up with a doubling every 30 days approx.

With an incubation period of 20 days and another 10 days to death or resolution that means onward infection rate is around 2. Similar to flu epidemics. And even with vaccines, how successful have we have been in stopping spread of the flu?

I'm waiting to see if we get a significant outbreak outside tropical Africa. Libya? Egypt?

Posted by phil_b 2014-09-07 09:27|| 2014-09-07 09:27|| Front Page Top

23:20 Bov Flimbers
22:57 JosephMendiola
22:24 tipover
22:23 49 Pan
22:21 49 Pan
22:19 Secret Master
22:17 49 Pan
22:13 Bov Flimbers
22:10 Abu Uluque
22:03 Bov Flimbers
21:22 Ebbomosh Hupemp2664
21:11 USN, Ret.
21:01 SteveS
20:57 swksvolFF
20:53 JosephMendiola
20:51 JosephMendiola
20:41 gorb
20:39 Pappy
20:38 Barbara
20:37 CrazyFool
20:35 Rambler in Virginia
20:28 Pappy
20:05 Pappy
20:03 JosephMendiola