Article

2006-01-12 Israel-Palestine-Jordan

Kadima does well in polling despite Sharon's illness

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Posted by Fred 2006-01-12 00:00|| || Front Page|| [1 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Kadima will do well for several factors. First of all, Israel has long been in need of a centrist party that is not swayed by either its extremist factions, as are Labor and Likud; nor is in a balance with the other party so equally matched that tiny third parties control the agenda.

This means that Kadima shoots to be the "silent majority" party, focused on majority, not minority issues.

Second of all, Kadima has a minimal platform and no political baggage. By standing for only a few things, its "negatives" are very low, it hasn't pissed off the voters as have the older parties who have both made unpopular decisions in the past.

Third, of the little parties in Israel, those with a centrist leaning have a strong motive to join with Kadima, in the hopes of evolving its eventual platform in their direction. Or at least getting some of their favored issues to the forefront.

Fourth, by winning big, lots of pork projects to the other parties will be put at risk. This means that everybody invested in these projects will want Kadima to continue with their cut, so they will have to both support and strongly lobby Kadima.

All told, things are looking good for them.

Posted by Anonymoose 2006-01-12 10:18|| 2006-01-12 10:18|| Front Page Top

#2 Let me pull out my crystal ball.
Kadima will break up before the election.

Posted by gromgoru 2006-01-12 11:21|| 2006-01-12 11:21|| Front Page Top

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